Chart: 2018 Market Drivers
Elections
Geopolitics
Football Cup
US Rate Policy
China Rebalancing
Investment in Infrastructure
IT Sector Expansion
Unappealing Valuations
Source: ML
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Strategy
Where it is all going?
Election are among important drivers for markets 2018 will see election in Russia, Czech, Italy, Poland, Hungary, Mexico, Egypt, Sweden and the US...
Geopolitics will be affecting Asian stocks, Saudi stocks and former Soviet Union countries stocks especially Russia in light of new sanctions
Football cup in Russia is a nervous event - given that last 2 international sports events were used by Russia to expand in the post Soviet space...
Markets could be driven by investment.. Steel price is a good proxy for the markets..China Silk Road and US infrastructure plan are 2 key initiatives affecting markets.
Increase use of aluminium in constructing and automotive could be additional driver for that metal.
Information technology stocks are markets darling as sector expands into every other industry.
US rate policy set to be tighter... as well as Europe, China and Japan.. But there are plenty of local bond markets where policy is in the counter cycle to the US. So select local bonds could be highlighted again.
Oil price has been stronger but there is little interest in oil stocks as the market contemplating that oil is the future of energy.
US gas prices have been weaker despite the initiation of US LNG exports and the arbitrage..
After major rallies Valuations are not appealing but the market infrastructure has become much more accessible in major emerging markets and that could be a continued diver..
Along this tune is the China MSCI relabalcing.
Gold is holding up despite higher rates. Platinum is dull but palladium seen stronger in the era focused ecology.
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Average Sovereign GEM Yields (USD)
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Average Sov. Dev. Markets Yields (blended currency)
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Choose A Country
ARGENTINA: US stocks had a banner year in 2017. These markets did even better
| AUSTRALIA: Markets Live: Australian resources stocks lift, Nasdaq closes above ...
| AUSTRIA: European Equity Benchmarks Close Lower; Insurance Firms, Luxury ...
| BAHRAIN: Politics to trump oil recovery in Mideast markets
| BELGIUM: Belgium shares higher at close of trade; BEL 20 up 0.04%
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BRAZIL: EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil stocks rise on deal talk, credit chatter
| BRITAIN: Britain's FTSE to end 2017 on high on strong mining, health stocks
| CANADA: TSX poised to eke out gains in 2018, despite uncertainty over ...
| CHILE: How WSP Global Builds on Engineering, Professional Services
| CHINA: Chinese stocks start the year with a bang
|
COLOMBIA: Colombia shares lower at close of trade; COLCAP down 0.50%
| CZECH: Czech Republic - Factors To Watch on Dec 20
| DENMARK: Danish pension funds back government plan for equity transparency
| EGYPT: Top Egyptian cleric forbids Muslims from Bitcoin trading
| FINLAND: What Do Founders in Fargo and Finland Have in Common?
|
FRANCE: French and Benelux stocks-Factors to watch on Jan 2
| GERMANY: Fast Europe Open: Germany unemployment, UK construction PMI
| GREECE: Brevan Howard Plans Greek Funds as Bond Rally Signals Revival
| HONG KONG: Hong Kong stocks hit 10-year high on 2018's maiden day trading
| HUNGARY: MNB: Hungarian state debt slightly lower in Q3
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INDIA: Indian stocks best performers among key global mkts in '17
| INDONESIA: Indonesia Equity ETF (EIDO) Hits a New 52-Week High
| IRELAND: Corporate debt is the one thing that could go badly wrong
| ISRAEL: Israeli Capital Markets Will Experience a Renaissance in 2018
| ITALY: Italian Stocks Beat Euro-Area Peers in 2017
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JAPAN: The case for Japanese equities
| KAZAKHSTAN: EMERGING MARKETS-Kazakh bonds slip on oil fund asset freeze
| LEBANON: LCNB Corporation (LCNB) Moves Lower on Volume Spike for ...
| MALAYSIA: Malaysia records highest net foreign inflow since 2012
| MEXICO: Mexico shares higher at close of trade; S&P/BMV IPC up 1.38%
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NETHERLANDS: Netherlands shares higher at close of trade; AEX up 0.04%
| NEW ZEALAND: Australian shares recover as miners rally; NZ hits record high
| NIGERIA: Equities open 2018 with N8b gain
| NORWAY: Norway faces dilemma over oil fund without oil
| OMAN: Miners help Britain's FTSE 100 hold below record high
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PAKISTAN: Pakistan equities close weekend session on bullish note
| PERU: Peru shares higher at close of trade; S&P Lima General up 1.53%
| PHILIPPINES: Philippine stocks hit fresh all-time high on 2017's last trading day
| POLAND: Corporate debt is the one thing that could go badly wrong
| PORTUGAL: Portugal shares higher at close of trade; PSI 20 up 1.51%
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QATAR: MIDEAST STOCKS-UAE, Qatar bought as year starts, Saudi still soft ...
| QATAR: MIDEAST STOCKS-UAE, Qatar bought as year starts, Saudi still soft ...
| ROMANIA: Deloitte Central Europe PE Survey: Romania plays in the big league
| RUSSIA: GLOBAL MARKETS-Global equity markets rise in new year, dollar falls
| SINGAPORE: Manulife Asset Management hires Amundi's Chan Hock Fai to lead ...
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SOUTH AFRICA: Top stock picks for 2018
| SOUTH KOREA: Bitcoin and S Korea: what next is anybody's guess
| SPAIN: Spanish stocks dented by political uncertainty
| SWEDEN: Sweden shares higher at close of trade; OMX Stockholm 30 up 0.18%
| SWITZERLAND: Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) Rises 2.51% for December 26
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TAIWAN: Asian markets mostly higher as 2018 trading opens
| THAILAND: SET rises on first day of trade, Asian stocks extend advance
| TURKEY: US stocks had a banner year in 2017. These markets did even better
| UAE: MIDEAST STOCKS-UAE, Qatar bought as year starts, Saudi still soft ...
| UKRAINE: Bloomberg: It was a great year for Ukrainian stocks
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UNITED STATES: United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) Rises 3.59% for January 02
| VIETNAM: Vietnam Surges, China Disappoints in Stellar Year for Asian Stocks
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Comment
Monthly performance is between 2018-01-01 and 2017-12-01
Best global markets YTD EM (EMERGING MARKETS) +31.48%, FM (FRONTIER MARKETS) +25.12%, EUROPE +20.48%,
While worst global markets YTD USA 17.41%, EM LATIN AMERICA 18.71%, EUROPE 20.48%,
Best global markets last month EM (EMERGING MARKETS) +3.81%, EM LATIN AMERICA +3.60%, EFM ASIA +3.03%,
While worst global markets last month USA 1.16%, FM (FRONTIER MARKETS) 2.52%, EUROPE 2.65%, Stand by for more of the same in US equitiesAsia Pacific markets rally after US stocks set new recordsThe Case For Emerging Markets In 2018Emerging market currencies head for six-year highsChina stocks rise for 5th day on robust services sector activityShould Top China Tech Stocks Alibaba, Baidu Be On Your Radar?European Equities Poised for "Another Solid Year"LIVE MARKETS-Gnawing on the bone of European equities: enjoy it ...What Is Keeping Oil From Breaking $70?OPEC vs Shale: The Oil Saga ContinuesPRICING NOTICE: Amendment of Brazilian domestic steel pricesAK Steel (AKS) to Increase Price of Carbon Steel ProductsWho sets gold price? This will change your outlook for the yellow metalGold price today – latest rate per gram in GBP and USD as gold ...
Best last month among various countries' equity markets were CHILE +15.33%, QATAR +14.74%, TURKEY +14.22%, GREECE +13.62%, SOUTH AFRICA +11.01%, INDONESIA +8.55%, KAZAKHSTAN +8.02%, ESTONIA +7.76%, ISRAEL +7.71%, COLOMBIA +7.28%,
While worst last month among various countries' equity markets were ZIMBABWE -17.93%, BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA -6.78%, BAHRAIN -2.86%, LITHUANIA -2.31%, SRI LANKA -2.26%, KENYA -2.12%, OMAN -1.96%, BULGARIA -1.53%, MOROCCO -1.09%, ROMANIA -0.92%,
Best YTD among various country equities were ZIMBABWE +165.88%, JAMAICA +74.88%, ARGENTINA +72.27%, KAZAKHSTAN +68.12%, VIETNAM +61.16%, AUSTRIA +54.97%, POLAND +52.25%, CHINA +51.10%, KOREA +45.51%, ESTONIA +43.91%,
While worst YTD among various country equities were PAKISTAN -28.05%, OMAN -16.11%, QATAR -14.40%, LEBANON -8.32%, BOTSWANA -5.81%, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES -1.27%, SRI LANKA -0.99%, RUSSIA 0.27%, ISRAEL 0.47%, UKRAINE 1.91%,
