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Tactical Stance


Costs cuts, lower capex, higher debt ebitda and deleveraging

Strategic Stance


Lower WACC on higher debt to equity ratio


Markets last Month From Best to Worst
Click On the Country Link to Go to Country Monthly Page

*Not All the Countries Have Associated Country Pages
Monthly performance is between 2020-05-01 and 2020-03-31
nameMonthChange
LEBANON23.28
PAKISTAN17.27

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Markets YTD From Best to Worst
Click On the Country Link to Go to Country Monthly Page

nameYTD Change
ZIMBABWE28.13
LEBANON23.37

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Best 15 Market Last 12 Months

CountryChangePct
DENMARK10.70
TAIWAN6.86

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Worst 15 Market Last 12 Months

CountryChangePct
TUNISIA-2.59
USA-3.02

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Country USD Yields and YTD Changes

countryYieldYieldChange
Ecuador36.1425.56
Sri Lanka26.3919.42

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Fund flows YTD

FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity29601.64
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity24661.02

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Commodities Monthly Performance

NameUnitsLastPriceCurrencyMonthChange USDpct
RBOB Gasoline (Nymex)USd/gal.1.05USD94.99
WTI Crude Oil (Nymex)USD/bbl.33.69USD66.29

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Commodities YTD Performance

NameUnitsLastPriceCurrencyYTDChange USDpct
Gold/Indian Rupee SpotINR/t oz.131991.38INR24.22
Gold/British Pound SpotGBP/t oz.1428.68GBP24.06

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Strategy

Chart: Midlincoln Strategy

April 2020

Source:

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Key Topics and News

Broad sector buy intact based

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Economies going back to normal

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Some sectors missed a quarter of earnings

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Missed earnings imply either shrinking equity or larger debt depending on fixed costs

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In either way missed earnings imply higher debt to equity ratio

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Missed earning in some cases imply dilution of current shareholders

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Because debt is cheaper for companies in the current environment this means a lower WACC

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Lower WACC could imply higher valuation for companies which managed not to increase their net debt

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This supports a broad sector buy, buybacks and larger dividends for existing key shareholder to reinvest

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On the negative side demand is weaker

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Revenues are likely to be lower in the second half of 2020

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Incomes lower

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Multiples higher across the markets

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Higher Debt EBITDA ratio

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Covenants under pressure

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Deleveraging

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Cost cuts

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Lower capex

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and on balance probably lower cashflows

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Recent Strategy Chart Art

Midlincoln Strategy

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Strategy , Emerging Markets Catching Up

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Key Equity Performance Summary

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Choose A Country

Airlines: Airline stocks suffer broad selloff as American, Delta fall to new COVID-19 lows MarketWatch Stocks Jump After Big Jobs Surprise Boosts Outlook: Markets Wrap Yahoo Canada Finance


ARGENTINA: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam stocks, FX surge amid risk rally; Brazil's real jumps 3% Yahoo Finance Billionaire Jim Simons Snaps Up These 3 Penny Stocks Yahoo Finance


AUSTRALIA: ASX set to catch global equities rally The Australian Financial Review ASX to slip, Wall St hits pause The Australian Financial Review


AUSTRIA: Pandemic hits Austrian pension funds AUM in Q1 IPE.com UBS boosts conviction in Singapore stock market's bull run The Straits Times


BAHRAIN: Use of Electronic Signatures and Electronic Records in the Kingdom ... Lexology Today's top business news: Unemployment rate in May rose to 23.48%, stocks soar as India begins to unlock, businesses run out of cash, and more The Hindu


BELGIUM: Cboe Global (CBOE) Reports Strong May Average Daily Volume Nasdaq French and Benelux stocks-Factors to watch Reuters


BRAZIL: Brazil stocks to slog through worst year since 2008 as pandemic strikes Reuters A Bounce For Beaten Up Brazil Could Be A Boon For This Exciting ETF MarketWatch


BRITAIN: UK shares set for strong weekly gains, travel stocks soar Nasdaq FTSE 100: UK stocks RISE - no panic as Bank of England urges no deal Brexit planning Express.co.uk


CANADA: Canadian Bank Capital Mkts Results Trail US Peers Amid Pandemic Fitch Ratings 5 Top Canadian Oil Stocks To Buy In 2020 Forbes


CHILE: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam stocks, FX surge amid risk rally; Brazil's real jumps 3% Reuters EMERGING MARKETS-Latam stocks at 10-week high, FX rallies Nasdaq


CHINA: China equity: a viable investment for long-term investors - Investors ... Investors' Corner BNP Paribas The Channel For U.S. - China Stock Market Contagion Seeking Alpha


COLOMBIA: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam stocks, FX surge amid risk rally; Brazil's real jumps 3% Reuters EMERGING MARKETS-Latam assets slip on China-U.S. tensions, but gain in May Yahoo Finance


Consumer Entertainment: Genius Brands International Raises Equity Financing to Further Fuel ... GlobeNewswire (press release) ITC, Emami identify emerging consumer trends amid 'new normal' ETRetail.com


CZECH: CEE MARKETS-Stocks rise, currencies stable on economic hope Yahoo Finance CEE MARKETS-Stocks rise tracking rally in Western European equities Reuters


DENMARK: Global stocks rise on economic rebound optimism Financial Times Market Outlook: Equities make new ground, travel stocks soar Investors Chronicle


EGYPT: MIDEAST STOCKS-Markets lifted by global rally and oil prices Reuters Egypt seeks economic haven from coronavirus threat Al-Monitor


FINLAND: LONDON MARKET EARLY CALL: Stocks Pointed Higher Despite ... Morningstar Risk Appetite Increases as Europe Union Steps in to Save Bond Market ETF Trends


FRANCE: French and Benelux stocks-Factors to watch Reuters Emergence from lockdown gives equities a boost - Investors' Corner Investors' Corner BNP Paribas


GERMANY: German stocks outperform Europe as business morale rebounds Reuters European stocks climb as global recovery and stimulus hopes MarketWatch


GREECE: FTSE-100 set to leap as Europe rebounds Evening Standard FTSE 100 lifted by surging travel and leisure shares UK Investor Magazine


HONG KONG: MPF portfolio: after May rout, are Hong Kong stock funds a wise choice? South China Morning Post Vanke Taps $1 Billion Hong Kong Placement to Repay Overseas ... Caixin Global


HUNGARY: CEE MARKETS-Stocks rise tracking rally in Western European equities Reuters CEE MARKETS-Stocks rise, currencies stable on economic hope Yahoo Finance


INDIA: Indian stock market seen rangebound Friday; RIL, SBI shares to be in focus Livemint Today's top business news: Shares pare gains, economy to contract 10% due to "faulty" lockdown, China fuels oil rally, and more The Hindu


INDONESIA: Asia-Pacific pension funds boosting alts, equities – report Pensions & Investments Indonesia Bourse May Extend Thursday's Losses Nasdaq


IRELAND: Stocks slip on concerns over second wave of Covid-19 infections The Irish Times Stocks in Europe slip ahead of ECB decision MarketWatch


ISRAEL: Why The World's Largest Asset Manager Has Seen Its Shares Soar OilPrice.com Wed: TASE edges higher as Israel eases out of lockdown Globes


ITALY: Italy - Factors to watch on June 5 Reuters FTSE-100 leaps 350 points in a week as Europe rebounds on hopes of end to travel bans, boosting British Airways owner IAG, Carnival cruises and WHSmith Evening Standard


JAPAN: European investors hit the brakes on Japanese equity funds Expert Investor Pictet chief strategist cautious on equities rebound, warning on UK ... HedgeWeek


KAZAKHSTAN: Cash, equity holdings help wealth funds through pandemic Pensions & Investments Asia in Friday-Mode Ahead of US Data MarketPulse (blog)


LEBANON: Markaz: Global and regional equities move up in May; Oil price up ... marketscreener.com Playing Bitcoin And Gold Rally Through Equities Seeking Alpha


MALAYSIA: Foreign funds sell more Malaysian equities New Straits Times Online KLCI narrows losses as glove makers pace higher The Star Online


MEXICO: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam stocks, FX surge amid risk rally; Brazil's real jumps 3% Reuters Brazil stocks to slog through worst year since 2008 as pandemic strikes Reuters


NETHERLANDS: Cboe Global (CBOE) Reports Strong May Average Daily Volume Nasdaq Got $3,000? Buy These 5 Stocks for the New Bull Market Nasdaq


NEW ZEALAND: Optimistic view of New Zealand equities likely to continue [+VIDEO] goodreturns.co.nz Bargain or long shot? The sharemarket has never been harder to read Stuff.co.nz


NIGERIA: Why Nigeria's banking stocks performed well in May Nairametrics Ecobank, Dangote rally Nigerian stocks as markets close. Nairametrics


NORWAY: Norway Pension Giant Dumps Nearly $3 Billion in Coal, Oil Stocks ... Chief Investment Officer Shares in Norwegian Zoom rival Pexip soar on stock market debut Financial Times


OMAN: Today's top business news: Unemployment rate in May rose to 23.48%, stocks soar as India begins to unlock, businesses run out of cash, and more The Hindu COVID-19 stops share buybacks that fuelled equities rally Times of Oman


PAKISTAN: Stocks dragged down by cements, E&Ps amid thin trade The News International Name's matter, even in the stock market Profit by Pakistan Today


PERU: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam stocks, FX surge amid risk rally; Brazil's real jumps 3% Yahoo Finance Trade war fear shifting EM fund flows The Malaysian Reserve


PHILIPPINES: Southeast Asia stocks - Philippines leads regional retreat after ... marketscreener.com SE Asia Stocks-Philippines leads gains as recovery hopes build Reuters


POLAND: Poland - Factors to Watch June 4 Reuters CEE MARKETS-Stocks rise, currencies stable on economic hope Yahoo Finance


PORTUGAL: Stocks soar as investors welcome easing lockdowns Telegraph.co.uk News & Tips: Equities surge, AstraZeneca, Ryanair, Burford Capital ... Investors Chronicle


QATAR: Strong buying in industrials lifts Qatar shares above 9,200 level Gulf Times Qatar shares edges higher to inch near 8900 level Gulf Times


QATAR: Strong buying in industrials lifts Qatar shares above 9,200 level Gulf Times Qatar shares edges higher to inch near 8900 level Gulf Times


ROMANIA: Romania - Factors to watch on June 4 Reuters Romania - Factors to watch on May 15 Reuters


RUSSIA: In Russia, World-Beating Trading Day Is About to Get Longer Bloomberg Russian rouble firms again as Brent crude hits $42/bbl Nasdaq


SINGAPORE: UBS boosts conviction in Singapore stock market's bull run The Straits Times Top 5 Singapore stocks to watch in June 2020 IG


SOUTH AFRICA: African equities investing: what lies ahead? Africa Global Funds (press release) Local or offshore equities? Moneyweb.co.za


SOUTH KOREA: S.Korean shares edge up on recovery, stimulus hopes Reuters UK South Korea ETF Rallies on Reopening Economy, 3rd Stimulus ... ETF Trends


SPAIN: FTSE 100 rally resumes as investors bet on recovery City A.M. FTSE 100 LIVE: Travel stocks SOAR after holiday boost - Spain to REOPEN tourism in July Express.co.uk


SWEDEN: Sweden's Första AP-fonden (AP1) Selects eVestment for Asset ... GlobeNewswire (press release) ?AMF injects €10.8m to cash-strapped Swedish auto supplier IPE.com


SWITZERLAND: Citi appoints markets head for Switzerland and Lichtenstein The TRADE News Fund of funds gives Swiss investors option to deploy capital into SMEs IPE.com


TAIWAN: Asia-Pacific pension funds boosting alts, equities – report Pensions & Investments Taiwan Business Quick Take Taipei Times


THAILAND: Stocks up, foreign inflows returning Bangkok Post Thai stocks hit 10-week high amid regional rise on vaccine hopes Bangkok Post


TURKEY: Locals Replace Foreigners in Turkey’s Record Stock Market Rally Bloomberg Turkey’s leading defense firm ASELSAN grows 30% in Q1 | Daily Sabah Daily Sabah


UAE: Dubai stocks settle after trading turns briefly volatile Gulf News Saudi Stocks Lead Mideast Markets Higher as Economies Reopen Yahoo Canada Finance


UKRAINE: U.S. Freedom Holding to acquire 20% stake in Ukrainian Exchange UNIAN-Economy POLL-Ukraine to cut its key rate following IMF loan approval next week Nasdaq


UNITED STATES: ABC Of Equities Recovery Rally - Rudi Filapek-Vandyck Livewire Markets United States Lime & Minerals Inc. (USLM) Soars 1.58% on June 04 Equities.com


VIETNAM: SE Asia Stocks-Vietnam jumps on hopes of economy activity reviving; Philippines falls Reuters Vietnam Is Asia’s Best Stock Market Performer in May Yahoo Canada Finance


Comment

Monthly performance is between 2020-05-01 and 2020-03-31

Best global markets YTD EFM ASIA-11.51%, USA-12.18%, EM (EMERGING MARKETS)-17.75%,

While worst global markets YTD EM LATIN AMERICA -43.82%, FM (FRONTIER MARKETS) -23.39%, EUROPE -20.88%,

Best global markets last month USA +9.83%, EFM ASIA +8.37%, EM (EMERGING MARKETS) +8.04%,

While worst global markets last month EM LATIN AMERICA 3.98%, EUROPE 5.23%, FM (FRONTIER MARKETS) 6.01%,
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Best last month among various countries' equity markets were LEBANON +23.28%, PAKISTAN +17.27%, INDIA +16.13%, AUSTRIA +15.71%, VIETNAM +15.66%, CHILE +15.52%, THAILAND +14.99%, UKRAINE +14.39%, LITHUANIA +14.15%, TAIWAN +14.10%,

While worst last month among various countries' equity markets were TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO -14.39%, JAMAICA -10.31%, MAURITIUS -7.85%, BOTSWANA -4.74%, BAHRAIN -3.96%, TUNISIA -3.79%, SERBIA -3.37%, BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA -2.12%, SRI LANKA -0.66%, BANGLADESH -0.06%,

Best YTD among various country equities were ZIMBABWE +28.13%, LEBANON +23.37%, BOTSWANA +1.14%, DENMARK-1.63%, CHINA-5.92%, TAIWAN-7.94%, SWITZERLAND-8.42%, JORDAN-9.94%, TUNISIA-9.96%, NEW ZEALAND-10.48%,

While worst YTD among various country equities were BRAZIL -48.67%, COLOMBIA -47.99%, MAURITIUS -42.78%, GREECE -39.96%, SRI LANKA -36.00%, ARGENTINA -35.40%, MEXICO -35.35%, SOUTH AFRICA -35.28%, HUNGARY -35.18%, PERU -34.96%,



News

Best 10 Markets Last Month


LEBANON 23.28%

  • macro strategy bonds quick news
  • Lebanon president says reform begins with confronting corruption Middle East Monitor
  • Kaak Abou Arab Is Closing All Its Branches In Lebanon The961
  • Lebanese PM visits UN peacekeepers amid dispute over mandate Israel Hayom
  • Prime Minister Diab visits UNIFIL UNIFIL
  • IMF Says Having Constructive Talks With Lebanon on Economic ... The New York Times
  • Who is to blame for Lebanon's crisis? Aljazeera.com
  • IMF says having constructive talks with Lebanon on economic ... Investing.com
  • Lebanon to reinstate total lockdown amid spike in infections Minneapolis Star Tribune
  • Economic Crisis Is Killing Lebanon's Middle Class Foreign Policy (blog)
  • Who is to blame for Lebanon's crisis? Aljazeera.com
  • Explainer: Why is Lebanon in an economic and political mess? Reuters
  • Exports must be part of economic growth strategy Executive
  • Downtown projects cut in City of Lebanon budget for 2020-21 Lebanon Express
  • City budget for 2020-21 proposes 5.9 percent increase lebanonlocalnews.com
  • Long road ahead for Lebanon debt negotiations GlobalCapital
  • Lebanon banks reject rescue plan as government asks IMF for help Reuters
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    Worst 10 Market Last Month


    TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO -14.39%

  • macro bonds quick news
  • 'T&T NOT BOUND BY RIO TREATY' Trinidad & Tobago Express Newspapers
  • Le Hunte, Marlene screen for PNM today Trinidad & Tobago Express Newspapers
  • 'T&T NOT BOUND BY RIO TREATY' Trinidad & Tobago Express Newspapers
  • Office of Prime Minister of Trinidad and Tobag : Prime Minister ... marketscreener.com
  • Trinidad and Tobago's economy in the era of COVID-19 MENAFN.COM
  • Rising risk for C’bean economies Trinidad & Tobago Express Newspapers
  • Touchstone agrees $20m loan to develop Ortoire assets in Trinidad Value The Markets
  • Fintech: an asset for our post-COVID-19 economy Trinidad & Tobago Express Newspapers
  • Trinidad and Tobago Insurance Market Analysis and Outlook During ... Cole of Duty
  • Tracking COVID-19 Pandemic in CARICOM - Trinidad and Tobago Reliefweb
  • The mechanics of the path to recovery Trinidad & Tobago Express Newspapers
  • COVID-19 Pandemic and the Caribbean: Navigating Uncharted ... International Monetary Fund (blog)
  • Demerit system about saving lives Trinidad & Tobago Express Newspapers
  • $449m in VAT bonds ready Trinidad & Tobago Express Newspapers
  • Digicel debt ‘unsustainable’ Trinidad & Tobago Express Newspapers
  • Auditor General highlights T&T’s debt sustainability Trinidad & Tobago Express Newspapers
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    Top 10 Longs Based on Momentum

    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    OVVOVINTIV INCCanadaEnergy85.70
    TRGPTARGA RESOURCES CORPUnited StatesEnergy82.07

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    Top 10 Shorts Based on Momentum

    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    LTMLATAM AIRLINES GROUP SAChileIndustrials-51.76
    300529JAFRON BIOMEDICAL CO LTD AChinaHealth Care-47.26

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    Z-rankings Methodology - Top Global Long Picks


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