Consolidated Numbers
2017 Revenue grew to 62bn rub +27%
Headline EBITDA declined by 7% but EBITDA less government support was up 14%. Net income was small negative.
Valuations metrics remain large with current debt load
Large EV/EBITDA numbers are explained by nature of the business half of which is essentially has financial leasing business model rather than industrial business model
OVK has been able to post additional 20% rise in railcar production in 2017 increasing the total to 19100
Growth rates are not as steep as in the past but the base is much higher as well
Revenues from railcar sales in 2017 are close to 1bn$ and average unit railcar prices adjust nicely to post devaluation ruble rates
Theoretically revenue growth could decelerate in upcoming year but the chart doesn’t show it
EBITDA margin in production rerated last year
And is likely to remain strong as the business grows more
vertically integrated
However despite smaller share of leasing revenues in total, EBITDA from leasing is roughly half of EBITDA from production
Theoretically OVK could sell its park of railcars reducing overall debt load, but its EBITDA will be halved
And this is due to very healthy EBITDA margin in leasing
OVK will have to find substitutes for leasing EBITDA if it decides
To restructure business
DEBT/EBITDA is down to levels of 8x
But high debt to EBITDA multiples do not imply financial susceptibility of the company. It could be compared to operating income to liabilities of the financial institution and yields 12% return on liabilities for OVK vs. only e.g. 2.8% for Sberbank. Even if EBITDA of OVK is accounted for interest expense which is roughly 8% of Net Debt, EBTDA/Net Debt comes to 4.2% and this is still higher number than for Sberbank
News
Top Headlines
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- Russia's STLC to buy 5122 freight railcars from UWC
Results
Important Reports
United Wagon Co PJSC Presentation
Select Equity Data Snapshot
Historic and Consesus Forecast numbers from Bloomberg USD mn
United Wagon Co PJSC, , Capital Goods
Fundamentals
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 96.48 | 451.74 | 608.07 | 728.02 | 1,122.89 | 1,183.11 | 1,252.18 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Profit | 15.29 | 11.96 | 27.24 | 120.61 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTP | -162.79 | -22.24 | -166.76 | -37.21 | 14.17 | 38.97 | 113.35 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income | 6.19 | 11.69 | 30.82 | 90.15 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | 0.06 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 44.08 | 94.59 | 115.03 | 206.58 | 324.12 | 359.54 | 398.50 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BPS | 10,516.20 | 12,905.31 | 0.19 | 2.36 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capex | -336.41 | -412.74 | -67.52 | -89.38 | -61.99 | -53.13 | -35.42 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCF | -398.92 | -606.34 | -85.72 | 60.71 |
Growth
| Year | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| revenue Growth | 368.2% | 34.6% | 19.7% | 54.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% |
| Year | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Profit Growth | -21.8% | 127.7% | 342.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Year | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTP Growth | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 175.0% | 190.9% |
| Year | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income Growth | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 88.9% | 163.6% | 192.5% |
| Year | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA Growth | 114.6% | 21.6% | 79.6% | 56.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% |
| Year | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BPS Growth | 22.7% | -100.0% | 1,112.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Year | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capex Growth | 22.7% | -83.6% | 32.4% | -30.6% | -14.3% | -33.3% |
Ratios
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV TO T12M EBIT | 109.00 | 23.00 |
| Year | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEST CURRENT EV BEST EBIT | 13.00 | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 26.00 | 13.00 | 9.00 | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/S | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/B | 52.00 | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GROSS MARGIN | 45.00 | 12.00 | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -9.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | 0.00 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE | -64.00 | 10.00 | -210.00 | 6.00 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CUR RATIO | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOT DEBT TO TOT CAP | 94.00 | 92.00 | 98.00 |
| Year | 2016 |
|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1,591.00 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA Margin | 45.00 | 20.00 | 18.00 | 28.00 | 28.00 | 30.00 | 31.00 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Margin | 15.00 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| Year | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Margin | -186.00 | 3.00 | -26.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Year | 2017 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 1,239.00 |
| Year | 2018 |
|---|---|
| 1 month return | -22.00 |
| Year | 2018 |
|---|---|
| 6 month return | -20.00 |
Key Info
United Wagon Co PJSC Web - www.uniwagon.com
Tel - 7-499-999-15-20