Industry/Sectors May 11, 2018
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Global Sector Last Month Performance

SectorMonthChangePct
Telecommunication Services Sector-2.83
Consumer Staples Sector-2.13
Utilities Sector-1.74
Health Care Sector-1.45
Financials Sector-0.86
Real Estate Sector-0.34
Materials Sector-0.05
Consumer Discretionary Sector-0.04
Energy Sector0.10
Industrials Sector0.75
Information Technology Sector3.69

Global Sector YTD

SectorYTDChangePct
Consumer Staples Sector-9.28
Telecommunication Services Sector-7.41
Real Estate Sector-3.89
Materials Sector-2.78
Health Care Sector-2.21
Financials Sector Sector-2.13
Industrials Sector-2.11
Utilities Sector-1.38
Consumer Discretionary Sector2.74
Energy Sector3.49
Information Technology Sector6.34

Global Bond Yields By Sector Last Month

sectorAverageYTMYieldChange
Cash and/or Derivatives1.630.54
Banking4.350.71
Finance Companies5.010.54
Technology5.080.42
Capital Goods5.100.32
Reits5.370.60
Agency5.380.76
Financial Institutions5.520.70
Owned No Guarantee5.680.40
Consumer Cyclical5.720.47
Financial Other5.810.07
Sovereign6.060.86
Industrial Other6.190.24
Utility6.310.77
Electric6.350.58
Communications6.440.32
Insurance6.440.74
Energy6.450.36
Transportation6.540.38
Basic Industry6.620.53
Consumer Non-Cyclical6.650.08
Industrial6.811.32
Brokerage/Asset Managers/Exchanges7.110.71

Global Bond Yields By Yield Change YTD

sectorAverageYTMYieldChange
Industrial6.761.21
Sovereign6.080.95
Utility6.310.81
Financial Institutions5.530.79
Insurance6.440.72
Agency5.390.71
Transportation6.540.62
Brokerage/Asset Managers/Exchanges7.110.59
Banking4.350.57
Basic Industry6.620.52
Electric6.270.44
Cash and/or Derivatives1.630.40
Technology5.080.36
Reits5.280.36
Consumer Cyclical5.720.35
Energy6.420.35
Finance Companies5.040.31
Owned No Guarantee5.680.27
Capital Goods5.100.25
Industrial Other6.190.24
Consumer Non-Cyclical6.640.18
Communications6.520.15
Financial Other5.81-0.10

Fund flows Last Month

FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity991589.68
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-1.24
industryENERGY SECTORMixed Allocation-1.31
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity-4.38
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-163.15
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-302.01
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-601.42
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-880.48
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-1019.12
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-1019.89
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-1223.07
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-1458.10
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-2089.09
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-3354.88

Fund flows YTD

FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity997496.39
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity1377.43
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity1283.98
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity466.98
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity4.73
industryENERGY SECTORMixed Allocation0.42
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-4.95
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-95.84
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-266.62
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-413.79
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-460.39
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-476.88
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-642.71
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-1027.53

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    • SectorPEFy1PEFy22018Growth
    Consumer Discretionary12.9811.2214.15
    Consumer Staples16.6714.5213.52
    Energy11.8410.5412.34
    Financials10.249.0112.75
    Health Care14.6512.9012.63
    Industrials13.3411.6813.12
    Information Technology14.5012.7612.97
    Materials9.688.728.93
    Real Estate13.6612.539.32
    Telecommunication Services11.189.9813.49
    Utilities10.759.7310.11

    Chart: Consumer Staples - The Worst Global Sector YTD Another reason to run from Magnit

    Source: ML

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    Consumer staples stocks maintain the worst in April, having been the worst YTD.
    IT stocks and Energy stocks took over in leadership from consumer discretionary sector. However consumer discretionary stocks still have the highest eps growth projection for 2018.
    If top political figures bet on stocks: Trump must be trading RSX Russia while Netanyahu - Brent futures and oil stocks.

    Zimbabwe, Greece the best markets in April. Turkey and Kazakhstan – the worst.

    Tunisia, Romania, Saudi Arabia – the best markets YTD. Turkey and Philippines are the worst.

    US, Ireland, Canada are the best bond markets YTD while Russia and Argentina are the worst.

    Steel, cocking coal, and Platinum – the worst commodities in April. Crude oil and wheat – the best.

    DXY was getting weaker ever since Trump took the office, but started advancing last month. Weaker DXY did not help US trade balance which continues to deteriorate and was in much better shape under Obama, perhaps highlighting that currency rates are not the reason for weaker US trade and trade wars will not really help to improve it. But trade war is still very much on.

    Emerging market Eurobonds are weaker. The central banks that were in the counter cycle to the US FED like Russian CB, for example, stopped cutting rates.

    Euro is weaker vs. USD and more importantly weaker against Yen. Some larger carry trades will be reversed and some smaller carry trades e.g. Ruble trade are not likely to continue.

    The risk appetite is smaller. But most of the global growth is still delivered from emerging markets, and investment levels in developed markets are quite strong. So it still looks manageable at the current moment.

    US fixed income environment is the key. Most developed markets are coming off. Gold price is off the recent highs too. Oil price is still holding up but is unlikely to keep at current levels if the dollar is to advance higher.

    More geopolitical optimism is coming from the Far East. North-South Korean meeting, upcoming Putin talks with Abe in May, 19km bridge to Crimea is to be launched before summer, Armenia political change and Russian new prime minister could also be the source of optimism.

    It looks as if sell in May rule is holding up this year but it is unlikely that the sell-off will be strong.

    Consumer Discretionary: Fidelity: Tech, Consumer Discretionary Stocks Should Do Well in Q2


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    Performance is between 2018-05-01 and 2018-03-30

    Top Longs Based On Momentum in each Sector and Period Change

    sectorPick
    Information TechnologyMICRO FOCUS INTERNATIONAL PLC United Kingdom 23.63%
    Consumer DiscretionaryCHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC United States 30.36%
    Health CareTAIMED BIOLOGICS INC Taiwan 31.88%
    FinancialsBANK OF PIRAEUS SA Greece 32.28%
    EnergySAPURA ENERGY BERHAD Malaysia 38.46%
    Consumer StaplesBGF RETAIL LTD Korea (South) 34.12%
    IndustrialsHYUNDAI ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION Korea (South) 49.49%
    MaterialsSUZANO BAHIA SUL PAPEL E CELULOSE Brazil 19.02%
    UtilitiesCHINA LONGYUAN POWER GROUP CORP LT China 27.27%
    Real EstateGREEN BAY PROPERTIES LTD Mauritius 37.50%

    Top Shorts Based On Momentum in each Sector and Period Change

    sectorPick
    Information TechnologyVAKRANGEE LTD India -58.11%
    Consumer DiscretionarySTEINHOFF INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS N South Africa -39.29%
    Health CareINCYTE CORP United States -26.74%
    FinancialsBANCO BRADESCO SA Brazil -23.60%
    EnergyPTT NON-VOTING DR PCL Thailand -89.74%
    Consumer StaplesEASTERN CO. Egypt -65.65%
    IndustrialsFAROS CONSTRUCTION CORPORATION Vietnam -39.42%
    MaterialsHOA SEN Vietnam -31.00%
    UtilitiesCIA ENERGETICA DE MINAS GERAIS PRE Brazil -15.50%
    Real EstateDOUJA PROMOTION GROUPE ADDOHA Morocco -28.57%

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