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Midlincoln Research
Morning Meeting
MidLincoln Research
Morning Meeting
March 3, 2017
Best 15 Markets Yesterday
Country
ChangePct
EGYPT
2.37
PAKISTAN
1.64
KUWAIT
1.21
MALAYSIA
0.96
PHILIPPINES
0.92
MOROCCO
0.78
ESTONIA
0.78
OMAN
0.70
INDONESIA
0.67
MAURITIUS
0.59
SAUDI ARABIA DOMESTIC
0.58
SERBIA
0.45
AUSTRIA
0.38
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
0.31
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
0.27
Worst 15 Markets Yesterday
Country
ChangePct
PERU
-2.25
BRAZIL
-1.87
BELGIUM
-1.82
BAHRAIN
-1.31
ARGENTINA
-1.24
BULGARIA
-1.21
COLOMBIA
-1.09
BOTSWANA
-1.08
ROMANIA
-0.97
SWEDEN
-0.97
HUNGARY
-0.95
ANDEAN
-0.79
ANDEAN
-0.79
RUSSIA
-0.72
SPAIN
-0.70
Best 10 Markets YTD
Country
ChangePct
KAZAKHSTAN
30.11
ARGENTINA
21.62
UKRAINE
20.34
JAMAICA
19.07
POLAND
18.88
BAHRAIN
17.42
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
14.11
CROATIA
13.09
BRAZIL
13.05
ROMANIA
11.94
Worst 10 Markets YTD
Country
ChangePct
KENYA
-11.89
ZIMBABWE
-11.35
GHANA
-8.81
NIGERIA
-8.27
RUSSIA
-5.97
GREECE
-3.78
FM AFRICA
-3.37
FM AFRICA
-3.37
OMAN
-3.14
SRI LANKA
-2.83
Best 10 Markets Last 12 months
Country
ChangePct
BRAZIL
74.44
KAZAKHSTAN
57.23
PAKISTAN
42.08
PERU
38.61
UKRAINE
38.54
ZIMBABWE
36.94
HUNGARY
36.63
RUSSIA
36.00
CROATIA
35.36
JAMAICA
35.06
Worst 10 Markets Last 12 months
Country
ChangePct
GHANA
-37.37
NIGERIA
-34.85
KENYA
-17.83
BOTSWANA
-17.79
SLOVENIA
-14.63
ISRAEL
-14.28
TUNISIA
-11.01
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
-9.58
DENMARK
-9.34
FM AFRICA
-9.19
Country USD Yields and Week Changes
Country
Average Yield
Yield Average WkChange % pts
Cote D'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)
6.84
0.08
Ukraine
8.30
0.06
Pakistan
4.82
0.03
Kenya
7.23
0.02
Costa Rica
6.48
0.02
Gabon
7.35
0.01
Morocco
3.60
0.00
Trinidad and Tobago
4.50
0.00
Ethiopia
7.59
0.00
United States
0.78
0.00
South Africa
4.58
0.00
Vietnam
4.53
-0.01
Uruguay
4.55
-0.02
Oman
4.57
-0.02
Kazakhstan
4.56
-0.02
Serbia
3.95
-0.02
Slovak Republic
2.63
-0.03
Hungary
3.55
-0.03
Philippines
3.23
-0.04
Paraguay
5.86
-0.04
Turkey
5.29
-0.04
Malaysia
3.37
-0.05
Azerbaijan
5.01
-0.05
Peru
4.02
-0.05
Russian Federation
4.02
-0.05
Dominican Republic
5.66
-0.06
Jordan
6.22
-0.06
Indonesia
4.13
-0.06
China
2.96
-0.07
Panama
3.46
-0.07
Croatia (Hrvatska)
3.82
-0.07
Jamaica
5.99
-0.08
Lebanon
6.19
-0.08
Colombia
3.96
-0.08
Poland
2.90
-0.08
Brazil
4.89
-0.09
El Salvador
8.68
-0.09
Lithuania
2.77
-0.09
India
3.86
-0.09
Romania
3.82
-0.09
Argentina
6.57
-0.10
Angola
9.41
-0.11
Sri Lanka
5.64
-0.13
Tunisia
6.57
-0.14
Chile
2.94
-0.14
Ghana
8.58
-0.17
Egypt
6.29
-0.17
Mexico
4.72
-0.19
Zambia
8.32
-0.20
Iraq
8.25
-0.26
Ecuador
7.84
-0.39
Venezuela
22.21
-0.84
Mongolia
6.68
-0.96
Chart: Historic and Projected Revenue Growth By Sector
Source: ML
Download file in Power Point
Market Comment
Political & Economic News
Company Results and Dividends
Recent ML Reports
Key Comment
Best global markets last week EUROPE +1.13%, USA +0.56%, FM (FRONTIER MARKETS)-0.30%,
While worst global markets last week EM LATIN AMERICA -1.37%, EM (EMERGING MARKETS) -0.76%, EFM ASIA -0.56%,
Best since the start of the week among various stock markets were ITALY +4.16%, IRELAND +3.30%, KAZAKHSTAN +3.28%, BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA +2.60%, SPAIN +2.51%, GREECE +2.33%, AUSTRIA +2.06%, FRANCE +1.81%, POLAND +1.78%, SERBIA +1.78%,
While worst since the start of the week among various stock markets were KENYA -3.87%, COLOMBIA -2.93%, GHANA -2.63%, BAHRAIN -2.51%, EGYPT -2.51%, RUSSIA -2.39%, ESTONIA -2.24%, BOTSWANA -2.15%, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES -2.13%, BRAZIL -2.10%,
News
Best 10 Market Since the begining of the week
ITALY 4.16
Mayor meets visiting
Italian president
Former
Italian
PM: Le Pen Victory Is 'Game Over' for the EU
Why Europe Should Not Worry About
Italy
A record year for Made in Italy, surplus hits €51.56 bn
More than Half of Italian Population Using Social Platforms
Protectionist measures boomerang on the countries that pass them ...
Italy pledges measures to meet EU's budget concerns
Italy's Debt
Causing Problems
Econ events
moment
event
Forecast
Consensus
2017-03-02
Unemployment Rate JAN
0.119
2017-03-03
GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q4
0.011
2017-03-03
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q4
0.002
2017-03-03
Markit/ADACI Services PMI FEB
51.84
IRELAND 3.30
CBI
President
strikes right chord with Northern
Ireland
members
Enda Kenny signals readiness to step down as
Irish prime minister
Irish economy
to grow 3.4%, says European Commission
Trump's emerging tax reform threat to
Ireland's investment
model
Ireland's population
will grow to pre-famine levels in the next 20 years
Irish exports to grow, if Trump doesn't spark trade war
Irish tax
revenues
rise in January as VAT receipts surge
Ireland's debt
still over €200bn despite fall in borrowing
Econ events
moment
event
Forecast
Consensus
2017-03-03
Retail Sales YoY JAN
0.045
2017-03-03
Retail Sales MoM JAN
0.005
2017-03-03
Investec Services PMI FEB
60.77
2017-03-03
Consumer Confidence FEB
102.9
Companies Reported Yesterday Include:
Company
Country
Sector
Reported
CRH PLC
IRELAND
Materials
3/2/2017
Ex Div Stocks yesterday:
Company
Country
Sector
Reported
Bank of Ireland
IRELAND
Financials
3/2/2017
KAZAKHSTAN 3.28
Kazakh President
, ATOM Project Hon. Ambassador nominated for ...
Kazakhstan
May Determine Asia's Future. So Why Isn't America ...
2017
Economic Growth
in
Kazakhstan
Forecast at
Kaznex Invest reveals top four sectors for international investors
Income of
Kazakhstan population
4.5% down in 2016
Zinc Production Reached 325500 Tonnes in 2016
Finance Ministry: Azerbaijani GDP to grow in 2017
Kazakhstan's Debt
Focus Turns Domestic as Bond Buyback an Option
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA 2.60
Bosnian
genocide case revival slammed by Serbs
Bosnian
genocide case revival slammed by Serbs
Bosnian
War Anniversary: Sarajevo's 'Romeo and Juliet' Still Resonate
Sarajevo Rises in Popularity with Middle East Property Buyers
YUGOSLAVIA 25 YEARS ON: Population displacement is now set in ...
Competition Council: 2016 at a glance
SPAIN 2.51
Readout of the
President's
Call with Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy of ...
Spain
has appointed a '
minister
for sex' to urge couples to have ...
Spain's
Competitiveness Improves As
Economic Growth
Strengthens
Global Investment Guide: How To Invest In Spain
Airbnb's Troubles in Spain Grow Alongside Greater Use
Spain's Merchandise Exports Notch Up Yet Another Record – Analysis
Spain budget
: Cuts to
total
27bn euros this year
Spain's debt
surges above 100 per cent of GDP
Econ events
moment
event
Forecast
Consensus
2017-03-02
Unemployment Change FEB
-8.4K
2017-03-02
GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q4
0.03
2017-03-02
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q4
0.007
2017-03-03
Consumer Confidence FEB
97.8
2017-03-03
Markit Services PMI FEB
54.1
Companies Reported Yesterday Include:
Company
Country
Sector
Reported
ACS Actividades de Construccion y Servicios SA
SPAIN
Industrials
3/2/2017
Ex Div Stocks yesterday:
Company
Country
Sector
Reported
CaixaBank SA
SPAIN
Financials
3/2/2017
GREECE 2.33
Greek president's
visit shows potential of Saudi ties
Prime Minister
:
Greece
Made 'Honorable Compromise' on Reforms
Bank of
Greece
:
Economy
to grow by 2.5% in 2017 on conditions
Greece offers no increase in taxes to attract big investments
Living through the Greek crisis: an anthropologist reports from ...
Michael Fry: Only a Scotland exporting kale and oatmeal could be ...
Bailout Is Back on Track
German finance minister hints at REFUSING
Greece debt
cut paving ...
AUSTRIA 2.06
Austria President
Alexander Van der Bellen: The European idea is ...
Turkey referendum: Erdogan rallies not welcome in
Austria
GDP Grows 3.4% in Fourth Quarter, Most Since 2008
COVER STORY: Global Biotech Report
Growing
immigration will 'keep Austria young'
Austria aims to boost wine exports
Fitch Affirms Sovereign Ratings Of Austria & Portugal
EU orders fine for Austria over region's false debt data
Econ events
moment
event
Forecast
Consensus
2017-03-02
PPI YoY JAN
0.012
2017-03-02
PPI MoM JAN
0.003
2017-03-03
Retail Sales YoY JAN
0.0144
2017-03-03
Retail Sales MoM JAN
0.0173
FRANCE 1.81
French
election: Petition for Barack Obama to run for
President
...
Support for Marine Le Pen hits record high in new poll as former ...
Will
France's
Flash Manufacturing PMI Affect
Economic Growth
?
Has the Juncker Plan really boosted investment in Europe?
France's Muslim Demographic Future
France's imports from Iran up 45 folds in 2016: Eurostat
Riviera and French News Friday 24th February 2017
France's Debt
to Raise by $32Bln in Case of Euro Exit – Central ...
Econ events
moment
event
Forecast
Consensus
2017-03-02
10-Year OAT Auction
2017-03-03
Retail Sales YoY JAN
0.0347
2017-03-03
Retail Sales MoM JAN
-0.0012
2017-03-03
Markit Services PMI Final FEB
56.7
2017-03-03
Markit Composite PMI Final FEB
56.2
Companies Reported Yesterday Include:
Company
Country
Sector
Reported
Engie SA
FRANCE
Utilities
3/2/2017
POLAND 1.78
Britain To Investigate Whether Russia Assassinated
Poland's
...
Polish
Deputy
Prime Minister
Believes Party Will Rule For 12 Years
UPDATE 1-Consumption drove
Polish economy
in Q4, investment ...
Poland's investment
declines at fastest pace in 6 years
To avoid a demographic winter, Europe must understand human ...
HSBC: Rapid
growth
forecast for Polish service exports
The Morawiecki Plan Promises a Brighter Future for Poland
beyondbrics
Econ events
moment
event
Forecast
Consensus
2017-03-03
Retail Sales MoM JAN
0.0099
SERBIA 1.78
Serbian President
Nikolic Abandons Bid for Second Term
Serbia
-Germany relations "at very high level"
Serbia's GDP growth
slows to 2.5% in Q4
Serbia Champions Early Childhood Development: 17000 Additional ...
Macedonian system could slash Irish waiting lists
Croatian Exports to Serbia Fall Behind Imports
Serbia's Budget
Gap May Come in at Half of Government's Plan
Vucic, Putin to discuss
Serbia's debt
for gas
Worst 10 Market Since Begining of the Week
KENYA -3.87
Practise what you preach,
President
tells politicians over polls
Kenya
: Politicians Plot to Bring Back Office of
Prime Minister
Illegal trade impedes
economic growth
Kenyan SME's flourish as e-commerce spikes
Kenya's 2017 economic outlook
Kenya: Economic
Growth
to Slowdown in 2017
Why the state can't afford to give every Kenyan money
IMF gives
Kenya's debt
level clean bill of health
COLOMBIA -2.93
Colombia President
helps 8 year old student with her homework
Tokyo sees promise in
Colombia
, Mexico
Colombia's economic growth
rate hits 2% in 2016, lowest in 7 years
Congress Approves Controversial Tax Reform to Shore Up Budget ...
Study confirms 4-fold
rise
in Zika microcephaly in Colombia
Maersk Sees Colombia's Infrastructure, Ports, and New Markets ...
The Daily Shot: Make Sense of Tuesday's Markets in 57 Charts
Colombia's debt
head says fiscal reforms on track
Econ events
moment
event
Forecast
Consensus
2017-03-02
Exports YoY JAN
2017-03-03
PPI YoY FEB
0.029
2017-03-04
Inflation Rate MoM FEB
0.011
2017-03-04
Inflation Rate YoY FEB
0.054
Companies Reported Yesterday Include:
Company
Country
Sector
Reported
Isagen SA ESP
COLOMBIA
Utilities
3/2/2017
GHANA -2.63
Offer Frank Criticism—
President
Akufo-Addo
Why Nkrumah wanted Jomo Kenyatta exiled in
Ghana
Stop vilification; NDC holds record for highest
economic growth
...
Ghana: Investment
in Agriculture,
Growth
Mosaic Shows the Way
Every Ghanaian owes GHC 4519
GNCC, Indian businesses strategize to boost
Ghana's exports
GHANA'S BUDGET
AND ECONOMIC STATEMENT : A KEY ...
Ghana's debt
to GDP hits 74%- Ken Ofori Atta
BAHRAIN -2.51
Sheikh Saif inspects UAE forces in
Bahrain
Sheikh Saif inspects UAE forces in
Bahrain
Kingdom of
Bahrain
Targets “Country Level†Blockchain Adoption
GCC healthcare set to top non-oil investments
2. Economic
growth
attracts migrants to Persian Gulf
'Indian merchandise exports to 6 Gulf countries down 18.7% in 2015 ...
Sewage tax plan to bridge
Bahrain's budget
deficit
Moody's cuts Saudi, Oman,
Bahrain debt
ratings
EGYPT -2.51
Rift widens between
Egyptian president
, Al-Azhar
Egypt
launches
Ministers
' Council on Social Affairs to discuss ...
Egypt's Economy
Is in Crisis. So Why Is the Government Spending ...
Egypt- Investment
minister studies measures to improve business ...
Cairo is fastest-
growing
city worldwide in terms of population in ...
Egypt exports
talent to the world: LinkedIn - Daily News Egypt
Setting the Terms for US-Egypt Relations
Foreign holdings of
Egypt debt
rise as banks attract billions
RUSSIA -2.39
Heed former
President
George W. Bush's call for answers on
Russia
'
Russia
plotted to overthrow Montenegro's government by ...
Russian
economy to grow 2% this year –
economic development
...
Yamal, Gazprom Neft sign environmental agreement
Labor minister says
Russia's population
grows naturally by 80000 in ...
How Russia managed to double its exports to Iran in 2016
Ex-finance minister does not rule out income tax hike for boosting ...
Kiev Still Not in Touch With Russia on Ukraine's $3Bln Debt
Econ events
moment
event
Forecast
Consensus
2017-03-03
Markit Services PMI FEB
56
Companies that will report Today:
Company
Country
Sector
Reported
TMK PJSC
RUSSIA
Energy
3/3/2017
TMK PJSC
RUSSIA
Energy
3/3/2017
ESTONIA -2.24
Estonian president
: Estonia will never stand alone again
Estonia
braced to resist 'fake news:' PM
Estonia
Q4
Economic Growth
Improves
Nordic meat company to invest in Estonia
Shedding Soviet history, Estonia aims to be world's most pro-tech ...
Estonia`s exports and imports increased in November
Estonia passes 2017 record level budget spending to bolster defense
Estonia reports smallest government debt in EU in Q3
BOTSWANA -2.15
Botswana
:
President
Khama Hails Farmers
David Oyelowo visited by
Botswana
president during film shoot
Botswana
cenbank sees
economic growth
above 4 pct in next two ...
Thumps up to the budget
John Maynard: Can high income earners keep propping up SA ...
Botswana seeks increased trade with Zim
Botswana's Budget
Seeks To Broaden Tax Base
Shrenuj Nears Debt Deal to Ease Liquidity Crisis
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES -2.13
United Arab Emirates
' Officials Praise
President
Trump's Moratorium
Spinneys to sell ugly veg in the
United Arab Emirates
Wrong path
UAE keen to enhance investment in Pakistan
Clinicians Debate Management, Diagnosis of Respiratory Illnesses ...
Pomegranates turn bitter for Koppal farmers
UAE govt approves higher federal spending for 2015 - PM
UAE Bonds Pulling Away as Cash Reserves Beat OPEC Woes
BRAZIL -2.10
Brazil's President
Temer nominates close ally to Supreme Court
Explained: The bribery scandal engulfing
Brazilian
construction ...
Brazil
Chinese market becomes stabilizer for foreign trade in Latin America
Datora Mobile to Launch Ingenu's RPMA Network in Brazil
Wake Up and Smell the Coffee
Brazil Budget
Gap Widens More Than Forecast as
Revenue
Falls
Brazil: Debt
Means Bankruptcy For PDG Realty
Econ events
moment
event
Forecast
Consensus
2017-03-02
Net Payrolls JAN
-98.5K
2017-03-02
Markit Manufacturing PMI FEB
44.2
Our Recent Research Reports
2017-03-02 ML Commodities Weekly
2017-03-01 ML Weekly
2017-02-27 ML Fixed Income Weekly
2017-02-27 ML Fund Atlas
2017-02-27 ML Index Atlas
Recent Chart Art
Historic and Projected Revenue Growth By Sector
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Price of Aluminium on LME
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MidLincoln Comics:
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Key Performing Index Ideas YTD
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Weekly Fund Flows For Select GEM Countries
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Bonds vs. Equities Larger Set
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Total Capex By Sector 2017 Forecast (USDmn)
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Debt vs. Equity
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