Weekly Strategy

January 21, 2017

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-36.73
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity388.97
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-1266.72
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation8.31
countryAUSTRALIAEquity-118.10
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income8.45
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation0.08
countryBRAZILEquity-130.06
countryBRAZILFixed Income38.04
countryCHINAEquity361.98
countryCHINAFixed Income0.96
CountryEGYPTEquity-1.37
countryINDIAEquity-84.89
countryINDIAFixed Income19.02
countryISRAELEquity-0.26
countryJAPANEquity-31.28
countryJAPANFixed Income23.36
countryJAPANMixed Allocation1.19
countryKOREAEquity-69.75
countryPOLANDEquity0.90
countryRUSSIAEquity-502.69
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-67.48
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity-0.39
countrySPAINEquity-18.94
CountryTAIWANEquity-76.95
countryTURKEYEquity-86.57
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-289.65
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity283.79
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-30.06
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-606.03
industryENERGY SECTORMixed Allocation0.01
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-172.11
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-662.69
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-25.99
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity-0.04
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity37.77
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-1.45
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity267.15
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity207.73
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity261.13
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-8.24
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income-10.67
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-297.79
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-2.72
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONMixed Allocation-5.34
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-228.89
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-7.13
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation8.68
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-98.42
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-1423.19
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.44
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity370.08
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-64.52
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.89
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity101.54
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income12.21
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity1.99
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income-0.28
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-134.37
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity3.86
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income0.08
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDAlternative-0.18
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDEquity0.00
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-977.06
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation0.70
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil1.71
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income-287.19
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDMixed Allocation3.69
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative35.70
RiskLONG SHORTEquity304.20
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income-0.73
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.03
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-27.39
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity1.10
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity345.34
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity670.70
segmentBRICEquity-10.56
segmentBRICFixed Income10.59
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-440.27
segmentEMEAEquity10.74
segmentEMEAFixed Income-2.65
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-1086.43
segmentGCCEquity-0.18
segmentGCCFixed Income-0.01
segmentGCCMixed Allocation0.75
segmentMENAEquity0.49
segmentMENAFixed Income1.28
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity6592.74
SizeMID-CAPCommodity0.55
SizeMID-CAPEquity914.69
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity-111.43

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Results of some of the larger quant or quasi quant funds

Source: ML

Download file in Power Point


Emerging markets fund flow showed -1086.4 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed 0.5 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -130.1 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 38.0 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 362.0 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed 1.0 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -84.9 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed 19.0 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -69.8 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -502.7 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed -67.5 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed -0.4 USD mn of outflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -86.6 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -30.1 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -606.0 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -172.1 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -1.4 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 267.2 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 207.7 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 261.1 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed 35.7 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 304.2 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed -0.7 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfonden is an open-end11.69
Equity East Capital Lux - Russian Fund is an open-end5.37
Equity East Capital - Russian Fund is an open-end3.76
Fixed Income Ikra Sicav - Russian Taste is a SICAV incorporated0.43
Fixed Income AMCFM Fund Russia Bonds is an open-end0.01

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-99.99
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-99.99
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-85.99
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-77.16
Fixed Income DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"-67.88

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -99.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese99.99
Equity GAM Star plc - China Equity is a UCITS19.71
Equity K China Equity Fund is an open-ended fund19.16
Equity First State Global Umbrella PLC - China16.80

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China-51.64
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded-39.32
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-31.30
Equity BlackRock Global Funds - China Fund is-5.06
Equity BlackRock Global Funds - China Fund is-4.91

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS compliant5.20
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS5.20
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.15
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.15
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top400.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded-9.59
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-1.37
Equity HSBC MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an exchange-traded-0.14
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top400.00
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.15

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS6.67
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index6.45
Equity Fidelity Funds - Korea Fund is an open-end3.70
Equity JPMorgan Korea Fund is a unit trust incorporated3.17
Equity Matthews Korea Fund is an open-end fund2.19

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-82.83
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant-4.56
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-4.33
Equity iShares MSCI Korea UCITS ETF (Acc) is an-1.34
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-0.45

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Franklin Templeton Investment Funds - Franklin43.96
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity24.82
Equity db x-trackers CNX Nifty UCITS ETF is a UCITS16.66
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity15.72
Fixed Income K Debt Opportunities Fund Ltd is an open-end13.49

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-66.26
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-43.97
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded-34.07
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-19.93
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio-11.33

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity DJ TURKEY TITANS 20 THEAM EASY UCITS ETF0.00
Equity The RBS Market Access Dow Jones Turkey Titans0.00
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.00
Equity HSBC MSCI TURKEY UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.42
Equity-0.46

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded-60.86
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-12.49
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-12.34
Equity-0.46
Equity HSBC MSCI TURKEY UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.42

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado36.11
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS9.72
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded3.52
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded3.52
Fixed Income DWS Brazil Bond Fund is an open-end investment2.99

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange-10.38
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-7.29
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-7.15
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-6.77

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income11.18
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end8.83
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV5.50
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV1.36
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is1.17

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia ETF is an exchange-traded-87.14
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,-24.69
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end-9.67
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end-9.63
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD)-2.95

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 January 21, 2017· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com