Weekly Strategy

January 12, 2017

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-25.13
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity2056.47
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-437.02
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation-44.98
countryAUSTRALIAEquity-154.24
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-83.43
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.76
countryBRAZILEquity81.92
countryBRAZILFixed Income-293.34
countryCHINAEquity989.42
countryCHINAFixed Income-8.78
CountryEGYPTEquity0.14
countryINDIAEquity512.19
countryINDIAFixed Income-41.09
countryISRAELEquity-3.13
countryJAPANEquity-994.21
countryJAPANFixed Income-187.70
countryJAPANMixed Allocation9.70
countryKOREAEquity133.60
countryPOLANDEquity2.20
countryRUSSIAEquity-470.20
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-80.58
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity-33.98
countrySPAINEquity-142.57
CountryTAIWANEquity53.56
countryTURKEYEquity14.90
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-322.67
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity1286.33
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-386.02
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-884.61
industryENERGY SECTORMixed Allocation-0.82
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-959.34
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity5118.68
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-704.35
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity-5.33
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity10.01
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.13
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-1034.85
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity704.77
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-1056.07
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity3.26
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income0.16
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity754.63
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income190.49
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONMixed Allocation231.06
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity27.81
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income574.46
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-334.89
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-356.72
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-32.69
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation2.06
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-3610.21
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-1363.42
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation-14.51
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity274.32
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-179.26
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-29.45
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income2.21
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-562.00
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-498.46
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-151.17
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDAlternative11.04
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDEquity-0.13
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-34.93
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation-8.37
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil-21.69
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income-401.48
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDMixed Allocation-8.06
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative282.10
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-174.83
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income-41.55
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation-1.43
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-12.95
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity-0.01
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity232.70
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-742.27
segmentBRICEquity208.51
segmentBRICFixed Income-129.68
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-491.42
segmentEMEAEquity-10.43
segmentEMEAFixed Income-10.50
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity1315.54
segmentGCCEquity11.46
segmentGCCFixed Income0.09
segmentGCCMixed Allocation-10.42
segmentMENAEquity-7.63
segmentMENAFixed Income-9.90
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-13029.98
SizeMID-CAPCommodity1.87
SizeMID-CAPEquity-2958.26
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity-7680.18

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: GEM Total Inflows Last Month

Source: ML

Download file in Power Point


Emerging markets fund flow showed 1315.5 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 2.3 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed 81.9 USD mn of inflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed -293.3 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 989.4 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -8.8 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 512.2 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -41.1 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 133.6 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -470.2 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed -80.6 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed -34.0 USD mn of outflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed 14.9 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -386.0 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -884.6 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Mixed Allocation funds showed -0.8 USD mn of outflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -959.3 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.1 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -1034.9 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 704.8 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -1056.1 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed 282.1 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -174.8 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed -41.5 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed -1.4 USD mn of outflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an11.87
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D11.76
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) -1.92
Fixed Income VTB Capital Russia & CIS Fixed Income Fund0.00
Fixed Income VTB Capital Russia & CIS Fixed Income Fund0.00

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Fixed Income DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"-79.15
Equity Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfonden is an open-end-63.91
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-53.76
Equity East Capital - Russian Fund is an open-end-46.98

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity BlackRock Global Funds - China Fund is99.99
Equity BlackRock Global Funds - China Fund is99.99
Equity BlackRock Global Funds - China Fund is99.99
Equity BlackRock Global Funds - China Fund is an99.99

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --60.06
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity-47.86
Equity LYXOR UCITS ETF CHINA ENTERPRISE HSCEI-C-USD-18.82
Equity AMP Capital China Growth Fund is an investment-18.36
Equity GAM Star plc - China Equity is a UCITS-16.75

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an exchange-traded-0.01
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top40-0.41
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.42
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange-0.42
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-2.65

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded-19.49
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS compliant-5.30
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS-5.30
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-2.65
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.42

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an74.99
Equity Matthews Korea Fund is an open-end fund14.88
Equity Korea Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified, closed-end12.37
Equity Korea Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,12.37
Equity JPMorgan Korea Fund is a unit trust incorporated10.59

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-5.01
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant-3.06
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-1.23
Equity iShares MSCI Korea UCITS ETF (Acc) is an-1.11
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index-0.88

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity PowerShares India Portfolio is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is99.99
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is99.99
Equity Franklin Templeton Investment Funds - Franklin99.99
Equity Fidelity Funds - Indonesia Fund is a UCITS44.07

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-75.13
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant-63.88
Fixed Income K Debt Opportunities Fund Ltd is an open-end-30.12
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is a-24.75
Equity India Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified, closed-end-22.18

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,14.30
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded6.44
Equity0.59
Equity HSBC MSCI TURKEY UCITS ETF is an open-end,0.50
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF-0.09

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-6.43
Equity The RBS Market Access Dow Jones Turkey Titans-0.27
Equity DJ TURKEY TITANS 20 THEAM EASY UCITS ETF-0.15
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF-0.09
Equity HSBC MSCI TURKEY UCITS ETF is an open-end,0.50

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF is an exchange-traded83.01
Equity Handelsbanken Funds - Brazil is an open-end14.55
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an13.30
Equity BNY Mellon Global Funds PLC - Brazil Equity9.96
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is9.62

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado-99.99
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS-17.82
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (IBOVESPA) EUR is an exchange-16.81
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond-4.10
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded-2.39

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,71.00
Equity Aberdeen Australia Equity Fund, Inc. is a5.09
Equity Aberdeen Australia Equity Fund, Inc. is5.09
Equity WisdomTree Australia Dividend Fund is an0.44
Equity CIMB-Principal Australian Equity Fund is0.10

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income-57.42
Equity Swisscanto AST Avant Aktien Ausland Index-40.28
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end-28.09
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-26.64
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end-25.63

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 January 12, 2017· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com