Weekly Strategy

December 29, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-14.06
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity913.80
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-2720.64
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation1.28
countryAUSTRALIAEquity-321.70
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-51.47
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation0.36
countryBRAZILEquity96.82
countryBRAZILFixed Income49.30
countryCHINAEquity-1401.22
countryCHINAFixed Income-103.51
CountryEGYPTEquity2.80
countryINDIAEquity-195.50
countryINDIAFixed Income-38.43
countryISRAELEquity-3.78
countryJAPANEquity-155.58
countryJAPANFixed Income-71.21
countryJAPANMixed Allocation-3.78
countryKOREAEquity-111.02
countryPOLANDEquity13.15
countryRUSSIAEquity143.87
countryRUSSIAFixed Income52.22
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity-43.22
countrySPAINEquity-68.90
CountryTAIWANEquity-217.00
countryTURKEYEquity5.42
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-387.63
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity936.27
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-21.86
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-798.55
industryENERGY SECTORMixed Allocation-0.75
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-103.19
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity1804.01
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-307.75
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity-5.71
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-146.81
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.40
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity1553.29
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-644.13
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-799.89
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-8.01
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income-1.42
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity177.60
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income110.76
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONMixed Allocation-130.57
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-1621.84
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-319.52
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-133.52
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-313.49
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-15.51
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation-4.14
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-4657.25
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-3528.77
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation9.51
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-356.11
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-33.24
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-23.10
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income0.54
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-373.87
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-320.73
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-166.48
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDAlternative7.29
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDEquity-0.06
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income306.23
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation3.64
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil7.23
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income716.45
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDMixed Allocation7.29
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-307.56
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-745.46
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income-0.96
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation-0.58
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-36.97
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity1.00
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-854.25
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-215.80
segmentBRICEquity-25.92
segmentBRICFixed Income9.60
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-1813.60
segmentEMEAEquity-11.71
segmentEMEAFixed Income-1.45
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity971.52
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquityA-1.43
segmentGCCEquity-4.99
segmentGCCFixed Income0.04
segmentGCCMixed Allocation2.41
segmentMENAEquity-6.29
segmentMENAFixed Income-8.68
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity1289.94
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.39
SizeMID-CAPEquity1636.06
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity-1755.69

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Largest Inflows/Outflows By Fund Focus (US$ mn) - Healthcare funds are the Biggest Winners, European Funds are the biggest losers

Source: ML

Download file in Power Point


Emerging markets fund flow showed 971.5 USD mn of inflowEmerging markets fund flow showed -1.4 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed -0.6 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed 96.8 USD mn of inflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 49.3 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -1401.2 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -103.5 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -195.5 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -38.4 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -111.0 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 143.9 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 52.2 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed -43.2 USD mn of outflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed 5.4 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -21.9 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -798.6 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Mixed Allocation funds showed -0.8 USD mn of outflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -103.2 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.4 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 1553.3 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -644.1 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -799.9 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -307.6 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -745.5 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed -1.0 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed -0.6 USD mn of outflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Fixed Income DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"52.83
Equity East Capital - Russian Fund is an open-end35.47
Equity East Capital Lux - Russian Fund is an open-end24.06
Equity Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfonden is an open-end16.58

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity JPMorgan Russian Securities plc is an investment-48.06
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-39.14
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-25.42
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-24.09
Equity DWS Russia is an open-end investment fund-9.62

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity BlackRock Global Funds - China Fund is an22.68
Equity China Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified, closed-end16.17
Equity China Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,16.17
Equity Hang Seng Investment Series - China H-Share7.79
Equity Hang Seng Investment Series - China H-Share5.43

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China-99.99
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --99.99
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-99.99
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded-81.96

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an exchange-traded-0.18
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.27
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange-0.27
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top40-0.37
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.92

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded-17.48
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS compliant-11.87
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS-11.87
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.92
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top40-0.37

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified, closed-end10.98
Equity Korea Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,10.98
Equity JPMorgan Korea Fund is a unit trust incorporated7.33
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant4.59
Equity Fidelity Funds - Korea Fund is an open-end4.46

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-99.99
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-8.85
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index-8.63
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-6.19
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged-4.98

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is99.99
Equity Franklin Templeton Investment Funds - Franklin99.99
Equity Fidelity Funds - Indonesia Fund is a UCITS47.48
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio24.82
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded15.24

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-99.99
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is a-72.73
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant-70.01
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-56.07
Equity India Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified, closed-end-44.68

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,9.14
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)2.64
Equity-0.01
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF-0.08
Equity DJ TURKEY TITANS 20 THEAM EASY UCITS ETF-0.13

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded-5.74
Equity The RBS Market Access Dow Jones Turkey Titans-0.25
Equity HSBC MSCI TURKEY UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.15
Equity DJ TURKEY TITANS 20 THEAM EASY UCITS ETF-0.13
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF-0.08

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado66.04
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS17.51
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond0.23
Fixed Income Planetarium Fund - Queluz Latam Bonds Fund0.06

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (IBOVESPA) EUR is an exchange-30.88
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange-16.47
Fixed Income Quadris Environmental Forestry Fund PCC-11.62
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-6.65
Equity Handelsbanken Funds - Brazil is an open-end-5.91

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Australia Equity Fund, Inc. is a2.93
Equity Aberdeen Australia Equity Fund, Inc. is2.93
Mixed Allocation Commonwealth Australia/New Zealand Fund0.36
Equity iShares MSCI Australia - B UCITS ETF is an0.00
Equity CIMB-Principal Australian Equity Fund is-0.02

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia ETF is an exchange-traded-60.65
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end-42.97
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end-42.87
Equity Swisscanto AST Avant Aktien Ausland Index-31.01
Fixed Income-26.58

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 December 29, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com