Weekly Strategy

December 13, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity40.11
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-3848.55
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-1633.01
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation12.05
countryAUSTRALIAEquity18.94
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-25.37
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.08
countryBRAZILEquity73.19
countryBRAZILFixed Income131.67
countryCHINAEquity-263.42
countryCHINAFixed Income-41.10
CountryEGYPTEquity3.48
countryINDIAEquity-1607.19
countryINDIAFixed Income-22.77
countryISRAELEquity6.35
countryJAPANEquity331.58
countryJAPANFixed Income58.73
countryJAPANMixed Allocation0.56
countryKOREAEquity-183.96
countryPOLANDEquity24.02
countryRUSSIAEquity405.02
countryRUSSIAFixed Income27.03
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity37.70
countrySPAINEquity-64.26
CountryTAIWANEquity63.41
countryTURKEYEquity9.86
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity296.58
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity296.20
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-388.72
industryENERGY SECTOREquity821.47
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity1135.72
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity3553.37
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity365.68
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity0.00
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity301.25
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative0.18
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-2888.17
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity490.35
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-1368.31
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-16.65
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income3.01
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-355.35
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-864.44
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-1507.56
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-991.70
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation79.80
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-18.49
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income5.03
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-2318.21
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-1369.08
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation19.58
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-865.10
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-177.52
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-14.55
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income0.21
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity316.10
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity373.17
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income4.99
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDAlternative16.85
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-953.72
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation-1.53
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil10.81
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income-685.08
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDMixed Allocation-22.43
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-350.62
RiskLONG SHORTEquity729.20
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income9.87
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.24
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity6.18
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.01
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity154.30
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-1828.63
segmentBRICEquity-253.89
segmentBRICFixed Income68.35
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-1460.55
segmentEMEAEquity-1.50
segmentEMEAFixed Income1.16
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-481.38
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquityA0.33
segmentGCCEquity0.92
segmentGCCFixed Income-0.89
segmentGCCMixed Allocation5.43
segmentMENAEquity-5.92
segmentMENAFixed Income-1.07
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity6201.55
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.86
SizeMID-CAPEquity2395.84
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity4988.00

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Distribution of Active Managers Beating Their Benchmark - within statistics. Just 1/3 of them are beating their benchmark.

Source: ML, BI




Emerging markets fund flow showed -481.4 USD mn of outflow.Emerging markets fund flow showed 0.3 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed -5.0 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed 73.2 USD mn of inflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 131.7 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -263.4 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -41.1 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -1607.2 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -22.8 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -184.0 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 405.0 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 27.0 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 37.7 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed 9.9 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -388.7 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 821.5 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 1135.7 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed 0.2 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -2888.2 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 490.3 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -1368.3 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -350.6 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 729.2 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 9.9 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.2 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfonden is an open-end85.96
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end47.39
Equity East Capital - Russian Fund is an open-end31.30
Equity East Capital Lux - Russian Fund is an open-end31.17

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-29.80
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-26.89
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-14.25
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-13.77
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-11.51

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity BlackRock Global Funds - China Fund is43.98
Equity BlackRock Global Funds - China Fund is43.79
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese43.43
Equity BlackRock Global Funds - China Fund is42.47
Equity LYXOR UCITS ETF CHINA ENTERPRISE HSCEI-C-USD31.81

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-99.99
Equity iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China-99.99
Equity GAM Star plc - China Equity is a UCITS-65.17
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity-40.02
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --32.43

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded44.12
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS compliant1.43
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS1.43
Equity HSBC MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an exchange-traded0.11
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.34

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-8.72
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.34
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange-0.34
Equity HSBC MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an exchange-traded0.11
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS compliant1.43

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Matthews Korea Fund is an open-end fund15.29
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant4.73
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end2.22
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end1.73
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end1.05

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-91.27
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged-31.84
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS-26.56
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index-24.68
Equity JPMorgan Korea Fund is a unit trust incorporated-17.50

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity34.15
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund28.23
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded13.41
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant5.45
Equity PowerShares India Portfolio is an exchange-traded4.62

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is a-99.99
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-99.99
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-99.99
Equity Fidelity Funds - Indonesia Fund is a UCITS-99.99
Equity Franklin Templeton Investment Funds - Franklin-99.99

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded17.78
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,1.09
Equity HSBC MSCI TURKEY UCITS ETF is an open-end,0.18
Equity0.08
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-9.26

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-9.26
Equity0.08
Equity HSBC MSCI TURKEY UCITS ETF is an open-end,0.18
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,1.09
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded17.78

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado99.99
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF is an exchange-traded87.64
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an12.17
Equity Handelsbanken Funds - Brazil is an open-end9.92
Equity Fondo de Inversion iFund MSCI Brazil Small1.85

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity BNY Mellon Global Funds PLC - Brazil Equity-23.03
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond-5.93
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS-5.33
Fixed Income Aberdeen Global - Brazil Bond Fund is a-5.03
Fixed Income Aberdeen Global - Brazil Bond Fund is a-5.03

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia ETF is an exchange-traded56.30
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end9.90
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end8.41
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end8.10
Equity SmartOZZY is an investment fund incorporated2.54

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Swisscanto AST Avant Aktien Ausland Index-30.20
Fixed Income-26.47
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD)-14.98
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-12.88
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is-9.89

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 December 13, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com