Weekly Strategy

November 28, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity74.48
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-29.01
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-2999.93
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation6.44
countryAUSTRALIAEquity-11.51
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-44.93
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.07
countryBRAZILEquity-39.80
countryBRAZILFixed Income34.23
countryCHINAEquity-501.51
countryCHINAFixed Income-65.48
CountryEGYPTEquity2.90
countryINDIAEquity-239.14
countryINDIAFixed Income-29.63
countryISRAELEquity-2.56
countryJAPANEquity100.36
countryJAPANFixed Income199.56
countryKOREAEquity-116.10
countryPOLANDEquity-24.18
countryRUSSIAEquity426.43
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-7.67
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity-15.29
countrySPAINEquity-41.76
CountryTAIWANEquity-119.26
countryTURKEYEquity-16.87
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-248.63
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity26.13
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-60.64
industryENERGY SECTOREquity60.30
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity35.62
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-22.46
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity3.09
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity-1.91
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-161.30
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative5.08
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-33.60
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity59.49
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-881.43
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-2.87
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income0.00
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-76.24
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-248.35
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-951.16
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-39.89
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-53.96
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity15.32
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-4.49
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-1545.85
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-39.16
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation-0.95
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-128.74
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-30.62
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-9.14
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income0.18
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-27.79
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity327.51
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-7.05
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income1149.84
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation1.56
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil1.43
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income297.12
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-200.34
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-409.72
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income3.17
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.42
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-47.02
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.00
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity254.14
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-899.05
segmentBRICEquity-14.64
segmentBRICFixed Income10.62
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-239.81
segmentEMEAEquity-3.22
segmentEMEAFixed Income0.72
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-572.65
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquityA-0.66
segmentGCCEquity-2.87
segmentGCCFixed Income-0.20
segmentGCCMixed Allocation3.21
segmentMENAEquity-4.13
segmentMENAFixed Income-3.46
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-9789.70
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-1.86
SizeMID-CAPEquity2642.00
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity893.85

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Distribution of Active Managers Beating Their Benchmark - within statistics. Just 1/3 of them are beating their benchmark.

Source: ML, BI




Emerging markets fund flow showed -572.6 USD mn of outflow.Emerging markets fund flow showed -0.7 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed -0.5 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -39.8 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 34.2 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -501.5 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -65.5 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -239.1 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -29.6 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -116.1 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 426.4 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed -7.7 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed -15.3 USD mn of outflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -16.9 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -60.6 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 60.3 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 35.6 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed 5.1 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -33.6 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 59.5 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -881.4 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -200.3 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -409.7 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 3.2 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.4 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) -99.99
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D99.99
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded84.07
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end17.90
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity14.80

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-10.96
Fixed Income VTB Capital Russia & CIS Fixed Income Fund-2.92
Fixed Income VTB Capital Russia & CIS Fixed Income Fund-2.91
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF-2.19
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-2.14

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -99.99
Equity iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China99.99
Equity K China Equity Fund is an open-ended fund3.64
Equity BOCIP China Value Fund is an open-end fund0.36
Equity HSBC China Dragon Fund is a closed-end fund0.10

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-99.99
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-76.93
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity-62.88
Equity LYXOR UCITS ETF CHINA ENTERPRISE HSCEI-C-USD-51.01
Equity GAM Star plc - China Equity is a UCITS-37.45

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.06
Equity HSBC MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an exchange-traded-0.07
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.38
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange-0.38
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS compliant-0.96

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded-12.48
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS compliant-0.96
Equity The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS-0.96
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.38
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange-0.38

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end0.58
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.06
Equity Value Korea ETF is an exchange-traded fund0.01
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,-0.03
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,-0.03

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-58.07
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged-23.65
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index-10.90
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant-8.95
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS-5.93

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded64.90
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity20.98
Fixed Income UTI Indian Fixed Income Fund PLC is an10.17
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI INDIA UCITS ETF is a UCITS3.55
Equity K India Equity Fund is an open-end fund1.22

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant-92.54
Equity iShares MSCI India Index ETF is an exchange-traded-61.57
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-39.30
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is a-39.17
Fixed Income K Debt Opportunities Fund Ltd is an open-end-27.16

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,1.69
Equity HSBC MSCI TURKEY UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.21
Equity-0.33
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-1.83
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded-16.19

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded-16.19
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-1.83
Equity-0.33
Equity HSBC MSCI TURKEY UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.21
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,1.69

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado47.73
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end9.85
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end9.75
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an6.23
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an0.30

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange-49.54
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (IBOVESPA) EUR is an exchange-7.82
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is-5.63
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond-5.42
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF is an exchange-traded-2.86

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,31.29
Equity Lyxor ETF Australia (S&P ASX 200)-A is an4.00
Equity The UBS (Irl) ETF Plc - MSCI Australia UCITS3.52
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is2.88
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)1.81

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income-45.74
Equity Swisscanto AST Avant Aktien Ausland Index-19.11
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-13.02
Equity iShares MSCI Australia ETF is an exchange-traded-10.77
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-6.28

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 November 28, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com