Weekly Strategy

September 14, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-2.81
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity25.13
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity418.08
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation0.64
countryAUSTRALIAEquity183.21
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income9.26
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation0.41
countryBRAZILEquity6.04
countryBRAZILFixed Income581.97
countryCHINAEquity9080.49
countryCHINAFixed Income20.22
countryINDIAEquity-95.78
countryINDIAFixed Income-6.95
countryISRAELEquity-0.06
countryJAPANEquity8771.99
countryJAPANFixed Income1.96
countryKOREAEquity-17.75
countryPOLANDEquity2.16
countryRUSSIAEquity51.21
countryRUSSIAFixed Income0.57
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity-1.40
countrySPAINEquity-0.11
CountryTAIWANEquity10.53
countryTURKEYEquity-5.46
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity36.72
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity116.28
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity111.88
industryENERGY SECTOREquity835.82
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity53.98
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-90.62
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity133.89
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity-0.95
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity33.20
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.21
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity890.93
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity59.66
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity326.15
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity5.64
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income3.02
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity254.02
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-24.53
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity128.25
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income8.98
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation0.03
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity6.46
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income1.56
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity980.94
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-0.73
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.28
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity492.51
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income62.98
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity1.83
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income0.19
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity109.18
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity133.18
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income1.69
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income169.35
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation0.00
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil-0.06
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income-442.07
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDMixed Allocation18.90
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-58.26
RiskLONG SHORTEquity126.64
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income-1.60
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation-0.02
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity4.25
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.01
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity140.00
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity690.78
segmentBRICEquity27.38
segmentBRICFixed Income-0.64
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity92.79
segmentEMEAEquity1.77
segmentEMEAFixed Income1.86
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity40.13
segmentGCCEquity0.22
segmentGCCFixed Income0.00
segmentGCCMixed Allocation-0.01
segmentMENAEquity-0.06
segmentMENAFixed Income2.08
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-1582.55
SizeMID-CAPEquity-137.87
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity687.19

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Sector Funds Show Mostly Inflows (between Sep 7 and 14)

Source: ML




Emerging markets fund flow showed 40.1 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed -0.1 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed 6.0 USD mn of inflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 582.0 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 9080.5 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed 20.2 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -95.8 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -6.9 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -17.8 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 51.2 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 0.6 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed -1.4 USD mn of outflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -5.5 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 111.9 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 835.8 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 54.0 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.2 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 890.9 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 59.7 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 326.2 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -58.3 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 126.6 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed -1.6 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity24.05
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end9.08
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end8.52
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity7.08
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) -6.98

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-8.37
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-4.81
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-2.66
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-1.00
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS-0.33

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese99.99
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded87.50
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese78.86
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity77.14
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded21.76

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity K China Equity Fund is an open-ended fund-7.97
Equity GAM Star plc - China Equity is a UCITS-5.57
Equity BOCIP China Value Fund is an open-end fund-1.98
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking-1.74
Fixed Income Flexifund - Bond RMB is an open-end fund short-0.12

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.63
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-2.03

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-2.03
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.63

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Matthews Korea Fund is an open-end fund9.18
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS8.76
Equity Fidelity Funds - Korea Fund is an open-end7.82
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,5.91
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant4.24

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-51.86
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-1.08
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-1.01
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged-0.43
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an-0.36

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity53.93
Equity Fidelity Funds - Indonesia Fund is a UCITS25.02
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant22.60
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio2.53
Equity db x-trackers CNX Nifty UCITS ETF is a UCITS2.12

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-57.73
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded-47.72
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-29.22
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-24.96
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-20.45

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,4.62
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-10.08

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-10.08
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,4.62

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is99.99
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an5.40
Equity BNY Mellon Global Funds PLC - Brazil Equity5.39
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond4.16
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange2.89

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS-5.50
Equity ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short-4.44
Fixed Income UBS (Lux) Bond Sicav - Brazil is an open-end-0.89
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado-0.39
Equity HSBC Brazil Fund is an open-end fund incorporated-0.03

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end80.00
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is30.16
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV17.55
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end13.49
Equity Fidelity Funds - Australia Fund is an open-end13.48

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Daiwa Bond Fund Series - Monthly Dividend-0.28
Equity SmartOZZY is an investment fund incorporated-0.27
Equity SmartMOZY is an exchange traded fund listed-0.03
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-0.03
Fixed Income ZKB-CIF I Australia Govt. Bond Index is0.04

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 September 14, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com