Weekly Strategy

September 9, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-39.34
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-62.12
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-865.18
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation1.51
countryAUSTRALIAEquity7.94
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income13.30
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.48
countryBRAZILEquity-11.65
countryBRAZILFixed Income525.85
countryCHINAEquity-3849.49
countryCHINAFixed Income-16.75
countryINDIAEquity-203.06
countryINDIAFixed Income-6.88
countryISRAELEquity0.16
countryJAPANEquity26775.79
countryJAPANFixed Income-5.51
countryKOREAEquity-45.93
countryPOLANDEquity2.77
countryRUSSIAEquity-39.92
countryRUSSIAFixed Income0.01
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity-2.78
countrySPAINEquity41.70
CountryTAIWANEquity-20.92
countryTURKEYEquity-17.25
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-123.89
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity5.14
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity49.40
industryENERGY SECTOREquity79.35
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity7.71
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity7.65
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-0.10
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity0.52
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-69.30
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.26
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-338.23
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-11.75
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-492.52
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity2.13
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income6.02
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-1.57
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income125.90
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-345.35
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-153.69
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-0.27
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity3.56
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income8.47
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-432.49
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-0.32
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.26
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity288.87
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income103.07
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity0.13
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income-0.95
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity1.09
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-3.81
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.11
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income385.08
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation-4.57
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil-0.79
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income623.23
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-99.54
RiskLONG SHORTEquity5969.58
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income12.92
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation-0.02
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-15.42
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.00
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity44.17
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-21.71
segmentBRICEquity-14.31
segmentBRICFixed Income0.05
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity147.14
segmentEMEAEquity5.06
segmentEMEAFixed Income2.97
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-198.56
segmentGCCEquity-0.34
segmentGCCFixed Income0.00
segmentGCCMixed Allocation-0.01
segmentMENAEquity-0.09
segmentMENAFixed Income3.25
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity5209.39
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.14
SizeMID-CAPEquity519.10
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity128.77

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: GEM Fund Flows Show Outflows - Ahead of the FED meet

Source: ML




Emerging markets fund flow showed -198.6 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -11.6 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 525.9 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -3849.5 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -16.8 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -203.1 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -6.9 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -45.9 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -39.9 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed -2.8 USD mn of outflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -17.2 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 49.4 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 79.3 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 7.7 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.3 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -338.2 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -11.7 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -492.5 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -99.5 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 5969.6 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 12.9 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity18.99
Equity DWS Russia is an open-end investment fund6.61
Equity HSBC MSCI Russia Capped UCITS ETF $ is a6.06
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF3.21
Equity Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfonden is an open-end0.69

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-24.41
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-18.49
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-11.46
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) --8.94
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS-4.10

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund is a non-diversified,76.53
Equity Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China24.06
Equity GAM Star plc - China Equity is a UCITS13.43
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking11.03
Equity K China Equity Fund is an open-ended fund5.84

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --99.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-99.99
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded-50.90
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-46.11
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity-31.94

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.62
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-3.40

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-3.40
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.62

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,6.93
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant1.22
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end0.67
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end0.43
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.09

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-19.80
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-15.16
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-15.01
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS-4.89
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end-0.34

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.67.49
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio19.16
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is5.79
Equity K India Equity Fund is an open-end fund2.96
Fixed Income K India Income Fund Segregated Portfolio0.88

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-71.19
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-66.43
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-41.78
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-40.56
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant-27.19

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-4.68
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-12.57

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-12.57
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-4.68

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is99.99
Equity ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short4.29
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded1.20
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS0.75
Fixed Income DWS Brazil Bond Fund is an open-end investment0.02

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange-5.86
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-5.54
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-3.27
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-3.01
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond-2.55

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is20.66
Fixed Income13.42
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end9.39
Equity SmartOZZY is an investment fund incorporated1.25
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV1.20

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,-13.46
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)-5.15
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-4.94
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-1.69
Mixed Allocation Commonwealth Australia/New Zealand Fund-0.48

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 September 9, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com