Weekly Strategy

August 9, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity8.05
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity62.90
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity1541.63
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation10.05
countryAUSTRALIAEquity127.92
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income7.27
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.24
countryBRAZILEquity-4.27
countryBRAZILFixed Income273.94
countryCHINAEquity-361.40
countryCHINAFixed Income-18.83
countryINDIAEquity256.72
countryINDIAFixed Income-3.89
countryISRAELEquity0.16
countryJAPANEquity-57897.36
countryJAPANFixed Income37.39
countryKOREAEquity-23.31
countryPOLANDEquity-0.46
countryRUSSIAEquity-111.61
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-3.37
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity3.27
countrySPAINEquity-12.42
CountryTAIWANEquity4.49
countryTURKEYEquity-2.22
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-17.04
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity9.87
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity2.96
industryENERGY SECTOREquity62.04
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-3.04
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity65.26
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-0.21
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity0.00
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-97.84
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.62
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity78.08
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-13.10
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-28.22
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity28.19
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income0.00
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity45.73
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income121.36
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity108.90
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-160.21
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation0.00
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity17.61
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income4.91
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-602.18
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income77.42
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.15
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-39.12
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-88.30
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-6.27
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income0.75
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-4.62
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity136.74
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income0.19
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-1.78
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation0.00
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil-0.17
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income256.61
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-169.34
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-7963.62
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income3.03
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation-0.01
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-1.21
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.00
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity3.04
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity8.59
segmentBRICEquity-3.08
segmentBRICFixed Income-0.13
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-373.81
segmentEMEAEquity0.91
segmentEMEAFixed Income1.20
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-349.14
segmentGCCEquity-12.51
segmentGCCFixed Income0.00
segmentGCCMixed Allocation0.03
segmentMENAEquity0.50
segmentMENAFixed Income0.22
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-1192.00
SizeMID-CAPCommodity0.25
SizeMID-CAPEquity-21.04
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity-35.35

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Weekly Equity Sector Flows out of Tech into Realestate and Energy

Source: ML




Emerging markets fund flow showed -349.1 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed -0.2 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -4.3 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 273.9 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -361.4 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -18.8 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 256.7 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -3.9 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -23.3 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -111.6 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed -3.4 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 3.3 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -2.2 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 3.0 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 62.0 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -3.0 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.6 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 78.1 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -13.1 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -28.2 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -169.3 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -7963.6 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 3.0 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity24.42
Equity HSBC MSCI Russia Capped UCITS ETF $ is a4.82
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity4.71
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end4.27
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end3.98

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-80.07
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-21.03
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) --20.69
Equity Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfonden is an open-end-12.85
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF-8.12

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity20.68
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking18.66
Equity K China Equity Fund is an open-ended fund3.01
Equity KB China Mainland A Share Leverage Securities1.45
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese1.35

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --99.99
Equity First State Global Umbrella PLC - China-74.08
Equity ChinaAMC ETF Series - ChinaAMC CSI 300 Index-55.34
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-51.29
Equity LYXOR UCITS ETF CHINA ENTERPRISE HSCEI --46.57

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an2.82
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.45
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.45
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an2.82

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,7.21
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant3.11
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.24
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,0.00
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-0.14

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-22.71
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-2.97
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-2.81
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-2.40
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS-1.56

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is99.99
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is99.99
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.61.30
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant27.14
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity13.83

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded-37.52
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio-22.55
Equity db x-trackers CNX Nifty UCITS ETF is a UCITS-20.59
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-17.68
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-14.21

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-2.22

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-2.22

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is99.99
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end8.70
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end8.62
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an2.50
Equity ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short1.94

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange-19.26
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an-7.01
Fixed Income UBS (Lux) Bond Sicav - Brazil is an open-end-2.07
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado-1.08
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS-0.74

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,99.99
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is12.44
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end11.84
Fixed Income7.13
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV5.44

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-4.68
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-4.33
Equity WisdomTree Australia Dividend Fund is an-0.49
Mixed Allocation Commonwealth Australia/New Zealand Fund-0.24
Fixed Income ZKB-CIF I Australia Govt. Bond Index is-0.03

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 August 9, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com