Weekly Strategy

July 26, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity15.54
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-118.71
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-102.53
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation1.34
countryAUSTRALIAEquity19.10
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income4.03
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.14
countryBRAZILEquity-9.23
countryBRAZILFixed Income-349.74
countryCHINAEquity-99.13
countryCHINAFixed Income-19.41
countryINDIAEquity-185.88
countryINDIAFixed Income-4.12
countryISRAELEquity0.01
countryJAPANEquity-45759.37
countryJAPANFixed Income-32.12
countryKOREAEquity-9.97
countryPOLANDEquity0.62
countryRUSSIAEquity34.81
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-2.29
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity3.15
countrySPAINEquity0.98
CountryTAIWANEquity10.59
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity15.44
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity5.53
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity21.03
industryENERGY SECTOREquity57.19
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-0.54
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity51.11
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-0.57
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity0.95
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-21.89
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-1.69
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity73.31
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-0.19
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity180.62
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity29.89
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity39.72
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-121.54
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity85.72
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-76.81
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-0.21
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-1.71
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income5.41
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-741.66
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income1.80
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.10
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity124.46
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income267.58
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-1.89
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income1.75
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-1.23
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-17.54
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income0.47
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income352.55
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation0.07
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil-0.33
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income167.52
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-300.34
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-19210.26
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income-0.23
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.21
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity20.49
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.01
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-29.39
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity4.22
segmentBRICEquity-2.66
segmentBRICFixed Income0.25
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-1085.14
segmentEMEAEquity-0.25
segmentEMEAFixed Income1.92
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity1084.93
segmentGCCEquity5.88
segmentGCCFixed Income0.00
segmentGCCMixed Allocation-0.02
segmentMENAEquity0.26
segmentMENAFixed Income-0.45
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-72.32
SizeMID-CAPCommodity0.28
SizeMID-CAPEquity67.93
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity43.15

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Funds flow out of developed and into emerging market funds

Source: ML




Emerging markets fund flow showed 1084.9 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 0.2 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -9.2 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed -349.7 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -99.1 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -19.4 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -185.9 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -4.1 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -10.0 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 34.8 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed -2.3 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 3.1 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 21.0 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 57.2 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -0.5 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -1.7 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 73.3 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -0.2 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 180.6 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -300.3 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -19210.3 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed -0.2 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.2 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity21.75
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D12.29
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF11.74
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) -7.75
Equity HSBC MSCI Russia Capped UCITS ETF $ is a6.05

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-17.83
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS-4.80
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-3.34
Fixed Income DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"-2.28
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-0.85

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking21.42
Equity GAM Star plc - China Equity is a UCITS12.17
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded5.86
Equity KB China Mainland A Share Leverage Securities4.28
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end3.81

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --35.24
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-30.97
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-23.59
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity-16.87
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-15.43

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an2.38
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.76
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.76
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an2.38

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,5.38
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end1.25
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS0.62
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,-0.08
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end-0.09

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-7.57
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-4.07
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an-1.80
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-1.53
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-0.98

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.60.32
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio3.70
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI INDIA UCITS ETF is a UCITS0.49
Equity Kotak Fund of Funds is an open-end fund0.00
Fixed Income Emerging India Focus Funds - Fixed Income0.00

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Aberdeen Global - India Equity Fund is-99.99
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-38.65
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-21.67
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-17.93
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded-17.73

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows


Turkey Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an6.80
Equity ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short1.09
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded0.80
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond0.37
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Acc) is an0.17

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is-99.99
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an-13.50
Fixed Income DWS Brazil Bond Fund is an open-end investment-2.94
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange-2.05
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-1.44

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is26.21
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end4.87
Fixed Income4.15
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,1.28
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)0.83

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Swisscanto AST Avant Aktien Ausland Index-8.43
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-2.64
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-2.40
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-0.96
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD)-0.40

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 July 26, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com