Rough Rice (last value 13.87) USD/cwt
Key Rough Rice (CBOT) News
As of early August 2026, rough rice futures prices have edged modestly lower amid easing concerns over U.S. crop conditions following favorable mid-summer weather. The main driver is robust output forecasts in key producing regions, supporting near-term supply. However, uncertainty remains from international demand fluctuations, especially from Southeast Asia, and potential export policy shifts in major exporters like India and Thailand, which could tighten global availability and reinstate upward price pressure.
USDA August 2026 Rice Outlook Report
Chicago Rough Rice Futures Update – CME Group July 2026
International Rice Market Review – FAO July 2026
Rice Export Policy Changes in India and Impact on Prices – Reuters July 30, 2026
As of early August 2026, U.S. rough rice supply tightness persists due to below-average harvest projections driven by adverse weather in key southern states, notably Texas and Arkansas. Export demand remains robust, sustained by strong purchases from Asia and Africa, tightening global availability. However, elevated domestic prices and potential shifts in import policies among top buyers pose downside risks to demand growth. Inventory withdrawals remain elevated, keeping stocks at historically low levels relative to use, underscoring vulnerability to further supply disruptions or demand shocks.
USDA August 2026 Rice Outlook Report
International Rice Research Institute: Global Rice Market Update July 2026
Reuters: U.S. Rough Rice Harvest Disrupted by Summer Drought
World Bank Agriculture Commodities Report July 2026: Rice Sector Analysis
Chicago Board of Trade Rice Futures Summary July 2026
As of August 2026, the rough rice cost curve signals moderate upward pressure due to tighter U.S. water supply constraints impacting key production areas like Arkansas and Texas. Elevated irrigation costs and sporadic drought conditions have shifted marginal production costs higher, compressing low-cost output capacity. However, genetic improvements and low fertilizer prices partly offset cost pressures. The main risk remains unpredictable regional weather variability, which could sharply shift the supply-cost balance during the key harvest window.
USDA August 2026 Rice Outlook Report
July 2026 USDA Rice Cost of Production Survey
Arkansas Rice Cost Pressures Rise Amid Water Supply Issues - Bloomberg, July 28, 2026
Regional Drought Impact on Southern U.S. Rice Production - USDA Drought Monitor, July 2026
Global Rice Cost Curve and Production Trends Q2 2026 - International Grains Council
