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Report: ML September Strategy
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You will be able to download all slides in power point for this report
China markets in focus
China has not had an economic crisis since 1978 reforms
Even in 2008 China recorded above growth above 9%
And to all surprise even in 2020 China real growth was positive
Looking at China macro statistics is difficult
Any trend in China stats is always up
If there was a drop in second quarter of 2020 in any China indicator
The chart will show symmetrical rise for third quarter of 2020 in China stats
In 2020 it was the closest that China has been to an edge of economic crisis
China economy grew 2.3% in 2020 in real terms
China recorded growth rate in 2020 that was less than half its average growth
And last but not least are global inflation rates
Most developed countries would be happy to record similar growth even in normal year
There is not a single China economic measure that is in decline compare to 2019 except China inflation
Inflation worries most developed countries in 2021 while China inflation is tiny in 2021
There is probably no use in predicting and China economic crisis
Debt problems of China SOE
Cracking on China private sector
Or banning crypto in China, there will be only positive effect on China stats
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