Weekly Strategy

January 6, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity3.38
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-35.25
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-312.92
countryAUSTRALIAEquity83.43
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation0.00
countryBRAZILEquity-1.32
countryBRAZILFixed Income0.32
countryCHINAEquity2674.60
countryCHINAFixed Income-1.59
countryINDIAEquity74.69
countryISRAELEquity0.57
countryJAPANEquity31.86
countryKOREAEquity59.44
countryRUSSIAEquity130.99
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity0.91
CountryTAIWANEquity16.20
countryTURKEYEquity-0.06
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity139.11
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity9.07
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-0.46
industryENERGY SECTOREquity124.36
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity25.56
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-77.58
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity3.18
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-119.21
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.85
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity86.44
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity22.65
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity31.53
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-0.59
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity29.95
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income2.08
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity110.44
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income0.05
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-0.49
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity37.88
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income61.80
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-5.13
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity0.60
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity117.11
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income167.26
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income-13.06
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-21.31
RiskLONG SHORTEquity71.37
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity5.00
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity41.98
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity109.01
segmentBRICEquity3.36
segmentBRICFixed Income0.13
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-55.74
segmentEMEAEquity-0.44
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity1400.79
segmentMENAEquity-0.35
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-3516.55
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.53
SizeMID-CAPEquity545.49
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity55.04

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed 1400.8 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 0.5 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -1.3 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 0.3 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 2674.6 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -1.6 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 74.7 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 59.4 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 131.0 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.9 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -0.1 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -0.5 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 124.4 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 25.6 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.8 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 86.4 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 22.6 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 31.5 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -21.3 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 71.4 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded92.80
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF16.90
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an13.37
Equity Shinhan BNPP Bonjour Russia Securities2.43
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bear 3x Shares is an1.80

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Voya Russia Fund is an open-end fund incorporated-0.26
Equity Shinhan BNPP The Dream Russia Equity Investment-0.07
Equity Deutsche DW Russia Securities Master Investment0.00
Equity KITM Russia Securities Master Investment0.00
Equity Kiwoom Russia Index Securities Convertible0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -99.99
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China99.99
Equity Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China85.67
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity39.47

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-75.20
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-27.25
Equity UBS (Lux) Institutional Sicav II - China-14.03
Equity Threadneedle Specialist Investment Funds-9.39
Equity Eastspring China Dragon A Share Securities-9.35

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.91

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.91

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an55.61
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged3.39
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.28
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end0.19
Equity First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX Fund is0.03

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,-0.03
Equity Horizons Korea KOSPI 200 ETF is an exchange-traded-0.02
Equity First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX Fund is0.03
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end0.19
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.28

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.53.87
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded28.12
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity21.04
Equity Direxion Daily India Bull 3X Shares is an3.44
Equity Samsung India Securities Feeder Investment3.29

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded-31.45
Equity iShares India 50 ETF is an exchange-traded-5.92
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-2.17
Equity Mirae Asset India Sector Leader Equity-0.50
Equity Mirae Asset India Solomon Securities Investment-0.30

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.06

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.06

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an0.89
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado0.31
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded0.16
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI Brazil Hedged Equity0.08
Equity Mirae Asset Index Ro Brazil Securities0.06

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short-1.91
Equity Shinhan BNP Bonjour Brazil Investment Trust-0.60
Equity SH BNPP Bonjour Great Emerging Securities-0.14
Equity Mirae Asset Brazil Industry Representative-0.13
Equity KDB Samba Brazil Securities Feeder Investment-0.02

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is48.18
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,26.32
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia4.34
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia3.38
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring1.57

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-0.67
Equity First Trust Australia AlphaDEX Fund is an-0.10
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD)-0.01
Equity Mirae Asset Australia Discovery Securities0.00
Mixed Allocation Commonwealth Australia/New Zealand Fund0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 January 6, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com