Weekly Strategy

February 15, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity0.03
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity4.60
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity12.38
countryBRAZILEquity-15.85
countryCHINAEquity59.97
countryCHINAFixed Income-77.31
countryINDIAEquity0.23
countryJAPANEquity-143.03
countryRUSSIAEquity3.61
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-2.94
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-0.10
industryENERGY SECTOREquity4.93
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-3.99
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-1.34
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-1.40
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-3.67
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity5.86
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-0.20
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-0.79
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-3.83
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-0.80
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-152.69
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income4.67
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-0.01
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity20.34
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income0.02
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income44.58
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income-0.30
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-1.85
RiskLONG SHORTEquity16.00
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-0.03
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-0.34
segmentBRICEquity0.00
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-4.74
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-5.60
segmentMENAEquity-0.48
segmentMENAFixed Income-2.56
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity245.70
SizeMID-CAPEquity-16.09
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity48.33

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Is Gold Popular?

Despite strength of gold price there is no direct evidence of inflows into gold funds.

Source: www.midlincoln.com




Emerging markets fund flow showed -5.6 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -15.8 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 60.0 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -77.3 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 0.2 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 3.6 USD mn of inflow.


ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 4.9 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -1.4 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -3.7 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 5.9 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -1.9 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 16.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an12.81
Equity World Investment Opportunities Funds -0.04
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS-0.07
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-9.18

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-9.18
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS-0.07
Equity World Investment Opportunities Funds -0.04
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an12.81

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -62.70
Equity KB China Mainland A Shares Securities Feeder0.64
Equity W.I.S.E.SSE 50 China Tracker� is an index-tracking0.44
Equity KB Star China H Index Securities Master0.34
Equity KB China Mainland A Shares Securities Master0.32

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-26.86
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-26.61
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-23.84
Equity Guggenheim China Small Cap Index ETF is an-4.78
Equity db x-trackers HSI Short Index UCITS ETF is short-0.14

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows


South Africa Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows


Korea Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity KB India Securities Master Investment Trust0.26
Equity KB India Securities Investment Trust (Equity)0.04
Equity KB India Representative Growth Securities0.00
Equity The iShares MSCI India Small-Cap ETF is an-0.07

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The iShares MSCI India Small-Cap ETF is an-0.07
Equity KB India Representative Growth Securities0.00
Equity KB India Securities Investment Trust (Equity)0.04
Equity KB India Securities Master Investment Trust0.26

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows


Turkey Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity KB Brazil Securities Feeder Investment0.03
Equity KB Brazil Securities Master Investment0.01
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded0.00
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-15.89

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-15.89
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded0.00
Equity KB Brazil Securities Master Investment0.01
Equity KB Brazil Securities Feeder Investment0.03

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows


Australia Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 February 15, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com