Weekly Strategy

October 25, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-3.49
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-0.43
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTORMixed Allocation-0.06
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-277.37
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation0.00
countryAUSTRALIAEquity50.77
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-0.76
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.63
countryBRAZILEquity5.91
countryBRAZILFixed Income3190.42
countryCHINAEquity30.07
countryCHINAFixed Income-204.42
countryINDIAEquity-136.09
countryINDIAFixed Income-2.47
countryISRAELEquity-0.14
countryJAPANEquity7738.58
countryJAPANFixed Income1537.38
countryKOREAEquity19.32
countryPOLANDEquity0.12
countryRUSSIAEquity27.68
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-2.27
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity1.12
countrySPAINEquity-49.38
CountryTAIWANEquity3.06
countryTURKEYEquity-12.23
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-149.90
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity71.23
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity23.82
industryENERGY SECTOREquity443.31
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity2.87
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity76.83
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity2.46
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-4.19
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.15
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity43.66
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity45.16
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity7.28
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity14.15
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity60.10
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-41.23
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-394.67
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-539.96
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-1.65
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity23.27
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-0.48
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity1552.75
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-348.99
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.28
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity36.78
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income337.47
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-0.90
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income-0.05
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity9.62
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity16.39
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income0.18
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income32.06
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income-15.42
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative168.36
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-2578.05
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income-2.00
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.23
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity10.19
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity-0.02
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity55.22
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity65.80
segmentBRICEquity-12.72
segmentBRICFixed Income0.22
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity30.43
segmentEMEAEquity-0.21
segmentEMEAFixed Income0.55
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity514.72
segmentGCCEquity-1.54
segmentGCCFixed Income0.00
segmentMENAEquity-3.75
segmentMENAFixed Income-0.21
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-1073.15
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.03
SizeMID-CAPEquity1613.56
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity94.66

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed 514.7 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 4.7 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed 5.9 USD mn of inflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 3190.4 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 30.1 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -204.4 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -136.1 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -2.5 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 19.3 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 27.7 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed -2.3 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 1.1 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -12.2 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 23.8 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 443.3 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 2.9 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.1 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 43.7 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 45.2 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 7.3 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed 168.4 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -2578.0 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed -2.0 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.2 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity12.72
Equity East Capital Lux - Russian Fund is an open-end10.55
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF9.00
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end5.93
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end5.76

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS-14.73
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-3.49
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) --3.22
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-2.94
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-2.65

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity ChinaAMC ETF Series - ChinaAMC CSI 300 Index58.70
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking51.99
Equity Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China28.45
Equity iShares Asia Trust - MSCI China Index ETF16.24

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity-67.70
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-51.74
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-51.40
Equity INVESCO PRC Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-48.55

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange1.09
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.15
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top40-0.13

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top40-0.13
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.15
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange1.09

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an9.86
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,9.60
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity3.66
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity3.20
Equity Amundi Funds - Equity Korea is a SICAV1.36

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS-4.58
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-1.20
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged-0.95
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-0.86
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-0.80

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.53.75
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio5.84
Equity Shinhan BNPP Bonjour India Equity Investment2.88
Equity Morgan Stanley Investment Funds - Indian2.76
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI INDIA UCITS ETF is a UCITS1.72

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-59.92
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant-42.71
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-28.47
Equity Comgest Growth PLC - Comgest Growth India-26.66
Equity AllianceBernstein - India Growth Portfolio-16.30

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,1.66
Equity DJ TURKEY TITANS 20 THEAM EASY UCITS ETF0.01
Equity The RBS Market Access Dow Jones Turkey Titans-0.06
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF-0.16
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-13.69

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-13.69
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF-0.16
Equity The RBS Market Access Dow Jones Turkey Titans-0.06
Equity DJ TURKEY TITANS 20 THEAM EASY UCITS ETF0.01
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,1.66

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is99.99
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an2.45
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange2.26
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI BRAZIL is an exchange-traded1.12
Equity SH BNPP Bonjour Brazil Securities Feeder1.02

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS-1.23
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado-0.50
Equity Fonditalia - Equity Brazil (F33) is an-0.41
Equity Fonditalia - Equity Brazil (F33) is an-0.41
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Equity-0.30

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is42.94
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV11.61
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,6.61
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia5.44
Equity NESTOR Australien Fonds is an open-end investment0.09

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-5.65
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-3.40
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-2.97
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring-1.21
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)-1.13

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 October 25, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com