Weekly Strategy

May 31, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity -5.95
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity 3.85
countryAUSTRALIAEquity 0.05
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income 0.53
countryBRAZILEquity -15.92
countryBRAZILFixed Income 4.15
countryCHINAEquity 36.17
countryCHINAFixed Income 62.36
countryINDIAEquity 25.87
countryINDIAFixed Income 15.78
countryJAPANEquity 5.15
countryJAPANEquity 47984.70
countryJAPANEquity 702.19
countryKOREAEquity 142.02
countryKOREAFixed Income 0.00
countryPOLANDEquity -0.63
countryRUSSIAEquity -36.13
countryRUSSIAFixed Income -7.96
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity -0.09
countryTURKEYEquity 2.52
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity 50.53
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity -12.63
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity 2.84
industryENERGY SECTOREquity 1.61
industryFINANCIAL SECTORE quity -0.01
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity 12.11
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity 188.93
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity -3.11
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity -20.01
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity -39.50
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity 0.00
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity 11.21
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity -36.25
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity -22.34
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income -0.01
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity -4.86
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income -28.45
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEqui ty -5.01
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity -123.40
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income 0.24
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity -30.44
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income 0.04
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity -1423.25
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFix ed Income 2.62
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income 218.64
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation 0.00
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEq uity -0.13
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity -0.08
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity -46.87
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income -0.55
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity -0.13
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity 2.87
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity -95.81
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income -0.02
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income -0.01
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income -1.02
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income 157.66
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative 85.81
RiskLONG SHORTEquity 10849.08
RiskLONG SHORTEquity -0.54
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income 0.90
segmentBRICEquity -33.86
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity 121.00
segmentEMEAEquity -0.22
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity 11.41
segmentGCCEquity -0.68
segmentMENAEquity -1.06
segmentMENAFixed Income -7.21
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity -1797.23
SizeMID-CAPEquity -0.26
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity 0.00

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed 11.4 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 0.4 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -15.9 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 4.2 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 36.2 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed 62.4 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 25.9 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed 15.8 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 142.0 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Fixed Income funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -36.1 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed -8.0 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed -0.1 USD mn of outflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed 2.5 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 2.8 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 1.6 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR E quity funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 12.1 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -39.5 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 11.2 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -36.2 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed 85.8 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 10849.1 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -0.5 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 0.9 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an14.77
Equity OPEN-END FUND Pioneer Invest Russia Stock is an open-end13.10
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity2.04
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Russia Securities Feeder Investment1.73
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Russia Equity Investment Trust0.79

Russia Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-8.76
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-8.22
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"-6.30
Equity OPEN-END FUND East Capital Lux - Russian Fund is an open-end-6.06
Equity OPEN-END FUND East Capital - Russian Fund is an open-end-5.13

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity ETF Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China99.99
Equity ETF iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded89.12
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese61.35
Equity OPEN-END FUND UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - China Opportunity60.72

China Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND Mirae Asset China A Share Securities Feeder
Equity ETF iShares MSCI China ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity FUND OF FUNDS KB China Mainland A Share Leverage Securities-70.12
Equity FUND OF FUNDS KB China Mainland A Share Leverage Securities-35.04
Equity OPEN-END FUND UBS (CAY) China A Opportunity is an exempted-29.34

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.01
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange-0.01
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.08
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded-1.58

South Africa Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded-1.58
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.08
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.01
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange-0.01
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Korea UCITS ETF (Dist) is an99.99
Equity ETF WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an4.70
Equity OPEN-END FUND INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS4.55
Equity OPEN-END FUND INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified3.28
Equity ETF Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged1.74

Korea Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-20.63
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-6.30
Equity ETF Direxion Daily Korea Bull 3x Shares is an-1.75
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity-1.41
Equity OPEN-END FUND KIM Investment Funds - Korea Navigator-0.97

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded77.33
Equity OPEN-END FUND GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio52.33
Equity ETF WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded28.81
Equity OPEN-END FUND Kotak Funds - India Midcap Fund is a SICAV21.50
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND UTI Indian Fixed Income Fund PLC is an10.22

India Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-33.10
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-24.48
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - India Fund is an open-end-9.02
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-8.10
Equity OPEN-END FUND Jupiter JGF - India Select is an open-end-6.04

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,2.52
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded-3.37

Turkey Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded-3.37
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,2.52

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND DWS Brazil Bond Fund is an open-end investment4.92
Equity ETF Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an4.31
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an0.85
Equity OPEN-END FUND Mirae Asset Brazil Industry Representative0.07
Equity OPEN-END FUND KB Brazil Securities Feeder Investment0.05

Brazil Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF ProShares Ultra MSCI Brazil Capped is an
Equity ETF ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF is an exchange-traded-67.41
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Equity-3.31
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-3.18

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND0.88
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,0.82
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND0.67
Mixed Allocation OPEN-END FUND Commonwealth Australia/New Zealand Fund0.07
Equity OPEN-END FUND First State Global Umbrella PLC - Australian0.01

Australia Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia ETF is an exchange-traded-3.89
Equity OPEN-END FUND Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-2.20
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring-1.46
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-1.29
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-0.86

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETF is an open-ended,2.69
Equity ETF First Trust Canada AlphaDEX Fund is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada Small-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-0.02
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada ETF is an exchange-traded-41.07

Canada Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada ETF is an exchange-traded-41.07
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada Small-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-0.02
Equity ETF First Trust Canada AlphaDEX Fund is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETF is an open-ended,2.69

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 May 31, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com