Weekly Strategy

May 17, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity 29.79
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity2.47
countryAUSTRALIAEquity-16.03
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-0.52
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation -0.02
countryBRAZILEquity14.68
countryBRAZILFixed Income4.53
countryCHINAEquity-419.68
countryCHINAFixed Income-81.40
countryINDIAEquity114.29
countryINDIAFixed Income7.76
countryISRAELEquity0.00
countryJAPANEquity55757.09
countryKOREAEquity15.28
countryKOREAFixed Income-0.01
countryPOLANDEquity5.78
countryRUSSIAEquity28.06
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-16.58
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity0.04
countrySPAINEquity9.16
countryTURKEYEquity4.81
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-46.89
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-26.08
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity3.08
industryENERGY SECTOREquity224.04
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity6.68
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity273.83
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-6.45
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity0.76
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.11
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAsian Pacific Region -0.16
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-600.80
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity18.06
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity28.67
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-6.69
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income0.00
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-23.37
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income81.18
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity105.05
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income0.56
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity2.29
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income0.09
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity47.90
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-42.13
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation -0.08
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity82.60
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income5.69
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-0.09
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-9.19
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity81.98
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income0.09
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-542.67
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income177.74
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative83.57
RiskLONG SHORTEquity2498.24
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income42.98
segmentBRICEquity-47.60
segmentBRICFixed Income-0.37
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity1757.38
segmentEMEAEquity-1.15
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity186.86
segmentGCCEquity-0.41
segmentMENAEquity-0.15
segmentMENAFixed Income0.52
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity5402.72
SizeMID-CAPEquity195.82
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity13.64

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed 186.9 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed -0.4 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed 14.7 USD mn of inflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 4.5 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -419.7 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -81.4 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 114.3 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed 7.8 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 15.3 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Fixed Income funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 28.1 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed -16.6 USD mn of outflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed 4.8 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 3.1 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 224.0 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 6.7 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.1 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Asian Pacific Region funds showed -0.2 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -600.8 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 18.1 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 28.7 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed 83.6 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 2498.2 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 43.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND SEB Fund 2 - SEB Russia Fund is an FPC4.20
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end4.05
Equity ETF Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an3.76
Equity OPEN-END FUND East Capital Lux - Russian Fund is an open-end3.32
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity2.95

Russia Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"-11.53
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND-1.86
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-1.41
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Russia Securities Feeder Investment-0.94
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Russia Equity Investment Trust-0.49

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese99.99
Equity ETF Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -91.37
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese35.86
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end35.64
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end32.06

China Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND Hanwha Nest-Egg Dream China A Share SEcurities
Equity ETF iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China-99.99
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND BNP Paribas Flexi IV Bond Medium Term RMB-99.99
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity-56.72
Equity ETF db x-trackers Harvest CSI300 INDEX UCITS-56.63

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded0.15
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00
Equity ETF0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.11
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00
Equity ETF0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an7.71
Equity OPEN-END FUND KIM Investment Funds - Korea Value Fund5.30
Equity OPEN-END FUND INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified2.08
Equity ETF Direxion Daily Korea Bull 3x Shares is an2.03
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity1.50

Korea Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Korea UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-3.82
Equity OPEN-END FUND KIM Investment Funds - Korea Navigator-2.26
Equity FUND OF FUNDS Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end-0.13
Equity CLOSED-END FUND Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,-0.05
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-0.04

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded52.00
Equity ETF WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded21.78
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity15.95
Equity OPEN-END FUND Kotak Funds - India Midcap Fund is a SICAV13.66
Equity OPEN-END FUND Matthews Asia Funds - India Fund is an7.62

India Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND Pictet - Indian Equities is an open-end-13.15
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - India Fund is an open-end-12.39
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - India Fund is an open-end-5.20
Equity OPEN-END FUND Pictet - Indian Equities is an open-end fund-3.74
Equity OPEN-END FUND Danske Invest - India is an open-end investment-2.50

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,3.80
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded1.01

Turkey Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded1.01
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,3.80

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND DWS Brazil Bond Fund is an open-end investment6.39
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF is an exchange-traded5.19
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Equity4.82
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Equity4.08
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an3.89

Brazil Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Brazil Small-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-4.12
Equity ETF ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short-3.51
Equity OPEN-END FUND Shinhan BNP Bonjour Brazil Investment Trust-1.29
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado-1.28
Equity OPEN-END FUND Deutsche Invest I Brazilian Equities is-0.67

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia ETF is an exchange-traded9.88
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia2.27
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring1.15
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring0.93
Equity OPEN-END FUND NESTOR Australien Fonds is an open-end0.04

Australia Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,-10.46
Equity OPEN-END FUND UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD)-6.56
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,-6.42
Equity OPEN-END FUND Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-4.24
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia - B UCITS ETF is an-3.57

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada ETF is an exchange-traded9.23
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETF is an open-ended,0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada Small-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF First Trust Canada AlphaDEX Fund is an exchange-traded-4.77

Canada Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF First Trust Canada AlphaDEX Fund is an exchange-traded-4.77
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETF is an open-ended,0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada Small-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada ETF is an exchange-traded9.23

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 May 17, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com