Weekly Strategy

March 31, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity 8.25
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity 18.89
countryAUSTRALIAEquity -7.00
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income 0.67
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation 0.00
countryBRAZILEquity -159.20
countryBRAZILFixed Income 0.16
country0
countryCHINAEquity -789.59
countryCHINAFixed Income -15.32
countryINDIAEquity -48.30
countryINDIAFixed Income 19.62
countryISRAELEquity -3.77
countryJAPANEquity 12566.13
countryJAPANFixed Income 0.01
countryKOREAEquity 0.47
countryKOREAFixed Income 0.00
countryPOLANDEquity -0.59
countryRUSSIAEquity -77.43
countryRUSSIAFixed Income 4.85
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity 0.06
countrySPAINEquity 43.47
countryTURKEYEquity -0.81
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity -6189.62
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity -33.80
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity -149.39
industryENERGY SECTOREquity -26.68
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity 0.98
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity 156.02
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity -24.60
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity 0.00
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity -4.63
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative -0.17
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity -161.01
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity -1.56
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity 8.53
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity -1.26
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income -0.01
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity -360.84
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income 27.05
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity -182.99
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income -0.93
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity -15.69
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income -0.48
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity 2640.42
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income 727.17
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity -1.85
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income -2.88
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity -0.10
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity -18.35
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity -137.11
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income -0.01
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income -45.33
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income 23.22
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative 7.54
RiskLONG SHORTEquity 1121.27
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income 8.67
segmentBRICEquity -34.08
segmentBRICFixed Income -0.37
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity 434.74
segmentEMEAEquity -0.89
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity -1041.46
segmentGCCEquity -0.14
segmentMENAEquity -0.96
segmentMENAFixed Income -2.07
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity 5321.16
SizeMID-CAPEquity -573.44
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity 183.16

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed -1041.5 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed -20.6 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -159.2 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 0.2 USD mn of inflow.

CHINA Equity funds showed -789.6 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -15.3 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -48.3 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed 19.6 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 0.5 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Fixed Income funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -77.4 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 4.8 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.1 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -0.8 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -149.4 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -26.7 USD mn of outflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 1.0 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.2 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -161.0 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -1.6 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 8.5 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed 7.5 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 1121.3 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 8.7 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end17.04
Equity OPEN-END FUND Equity Russia Opportunities is an open-end7.39
Equity OPEN-END FUND Equity Russia Opportunities is an open-end6.73
Equity ETF Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded5.69
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"3.23

Russia Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF
Equity ETF db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS-81.42
Equity ETF LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-21.87
Equity ETF Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-14.08
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Russia Capped ETF is an exchange-traded-10.38

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND KB China Mainland A Shares Securities Feeder99.99
Equity OPEN-END FUND Robeco Chinese Equities is an open-end investment96.52
Equity OPEN-END FUND KB China Mainland A Shares Securities Master85.70
Equity OPEN-END FUND Dongbu China Main Land Securities Feeder61.88
Equity OPEN-END FUND Edmond De Rothschild Chinagora is an open-end40.73

China Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND BOCHK Investment Funds - China Equity is
Equity ETF Guggenheim China All-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded
Equity ETF CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity ETF iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China-99.99
Equity ETF db x-trackers MSCI CHINA TRN INDEX UCITS-99.99

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.06
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.02
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF The Lyxor South Africa ETF is a UCITS compliant-0.61
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded-0.02
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Kor 00001A12 ea Capped14.62
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an3.94
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Korea UCITS ETF (Dist) is an2.12
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end1.79
Equity ETF Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is an Exchange Traded1.28

Korea Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged-13.20
Equity OPEN-END FUND INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-3.46
Equity ETF db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS-3.34
Equity FUND OF FUNDS Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end-1.89
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-1.60

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded37.29
Equity OPEN-END FUND GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio17.89
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity14.73
Equity OPEN-END FUND Kotak Funds - India Midcap Fund is a SICAV9.14
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity8.96

India Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF db x-trackers MSCI INDIA TRN INDEX UCITS-99.99
Equity OPEN-END FUND Emerging India Focus Funds - HEF Feeder-39.24
Equity OPEN-END FUND Jupiter JGF - India Select is an open-end-33.02
Equity OPEN-END FUND Jupiter JGF - India Select is an open-end-23.90
Equity ETF Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant-10.87

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.10
Equity ETF HSBC MSCI TURKEY UCITS ETF is an open-end,0.00
Equity ETF The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)0.00
Equity ETF UBS ETF - MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an exchange0.00
Equity ETF HSBC MSCI TURKEY UCITS ETF is an open -end,-0.01

Turkey Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF-4.33
Equity ETF The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-3.95
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.80
Equity ETF HSBC MSCI TURKEY UCITS ETF is an open -end,-0.01
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded-0.01

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange2.74
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end2.59
Equity ETF Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exch ange2.20
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND DWS Brazil Bond Fund is an open-end investment1.57
Equity ETF db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index1.07

Brazil Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND UBS (Lux) Bond Sicav - Brazil is an open-end
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Equity-9.59
Equity ETF db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS-6.77
Equity ETF ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short-5.43

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia2.29
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring1.90
Equity OPEN-END FUND Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV1.11
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND1.08
Equity ETF db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)0.61

Australia Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia ETF is an exchange-traded-4.70
Equity OPEN-END FUND Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-4.04
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,-3.73
Equity ETF The Lyxor ETF S&P ASX 200 is an open-ended-1.10
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia ETF is an exchange-traded-0.80

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF UBS ETF - MSCI Canada UCITS ETF is an exchange71.04
Equity ETF db x-trackers MSCI Canada TRN Index UCITS0.30
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada Small-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF First Trust Canada AlphaDEX Fund is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF Lyxor ETF Canada (S&P TSX 60)-A is an open-ended0.00

Canada Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF 000019DF iShares MSCI Canada ETF is an-26.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETF is an open-ended,-10.37
Equity ETF The UBS ETFs plc - MSCI Canada SF UCITS ETF-1.81
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada ETF is an exchange-traded-0.78
Equity ETF HSBC MSCI Canada UCITS ETF is an exchange-traded-0.33

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 March 31, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com