Weekly Strategy

March 2, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity 0.06
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity -47.69
countryAUSTRALIAEquity -8.18
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income -0.24
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation 0.01
countryBRAZILEquity -21.75
countryBRAZILFixed Income 0.73
countryCHINAEquity -105.73
countryCHINAFixed Income -0.22
countryINDIAEquity 150.89
countryINDIAFixed Income 11.36
countryISRAELEquity 0.01
countryJAPANEquity 13133.28
countryJAPANMixed Allocation 3612.98
countryKOREAEquity 76.49
countryPOLANDEquity 1.07
countryRUSSIAEquity 85.81
countryRUSSIAFixed Income 31.33
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity 3.39
countrySPAINEquity 0.28
countryTURKEYEquity 0.82
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity -15.35
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity -37.07
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity -128.41
industryENERGY SECTOREquity 1836.47
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity -24.03
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity 93.65
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity 9.52
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity 4.53
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity -236.73
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity -25.24
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity 39.55
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity -23.79
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income -0.04
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity -41.45
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income 4.09
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity 312.74
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income 0.80
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation 0.00
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity -97.33
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income -0.67
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity 5149.17
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income 684.25
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity -37.33
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income 5.45
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity -0.07
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity -12.90
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity -84.46
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income -0.54
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income 89.78
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income -133.27
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative -13.55
RiskLONG SHORTEquity 3685.70
segmentBRICEquity -3.90
segmentBRICFixed Income -0.58
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity 692.63
segmentEMEAEquity -0.12
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity 564.78
segmentGCCEquity -0.26
segmentMENAEquity -0.63
segmentMENAFixed Income 0.34
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity -299.44
SizeMID-CAPEquity 134.93
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity -10.11

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed 564.8 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 209.5 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -21.8 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 0.7 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -105.7 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -0.2 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 150.9 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed 11.4 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 76.5 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 85.8 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 31.3 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 3.4 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed 0.8 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -128.4 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 1836.5 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -24.0 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -236.7 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -25.2 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 39.5 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -13.6 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 3685.7 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Russia Capped ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"23.68
Equity ETF Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded13.50
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Russia Sec urities Feeder Investment5.69
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Russia Securities Feeder Investment5.67

Russia Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND Shinhan BNPP The Dream Russia Equity Investment-99.99
Equity OPEN-END FUND SEB Fund 2 - SEB Russia Fund is an FPC investment-56.91
Equity ETF Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-7.77
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-6.84
Equity ETF Direxion Daily Russia Bear 3x Shares is an-4.67

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity OPEN-END FUND KB China Mainland A Shares Securities Feeder32.55
Equity ETF Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -26.24
Equity OPEN-END FUND Eastspring China Dragon A Share Securities21.91
Equity OPEN-END FUND Shinhan BNPP China Mainland Securities21.04

China Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF Guggenheim China All-Cap ETF is an exchange-tra 0000183C ded
Equity ETF ProShares Short FTSE /Xinhua China 50 short
Equity ETF CSOP Source FTSE China A50 UCITS ETF is an-99.99
Equity ETF CSOP Source FTSE China A50 UCITS ETF is an-99.99
Equity OPEN-END FUND PineBridge Global Select Funds - China-62.71

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is 000031C8 an1.87
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an1.60
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded-0.07
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity ETF NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged59.18
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an18.44
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end1.14
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Korea UCITS ETF (Acc) is an0.20
Equity OPEN-END FUND INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified0.11

Korea Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF Value Korea ETF is an exchange-traded fund-80.98
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Korea UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-3.92
Equity OPEN-END FUND KIM Investment Funds - Korea Value Fund-2.65
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-2.55
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity-1.60

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio99.99
Equity ETF iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded34.38
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND UTI Indian Fixed Income Fund PLC is an22.33
Equity OPEN-END FUND Kotak Funds - India Midcap Fund is a SICAV14.38
Equity ETF iShares India 50 ETF is an exchange-traded9.06

India Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND Pictet - Indian Equities is an open-end fund-57.12
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-13.40
Equity OPEN-END FUND Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-9.77
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - India Fund is an open-end-8.03
Equity OPEN-END FUND Jupiter India Fund is an authorised Unit-3.15

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded2.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-1.17

Turkey Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-1.17
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded2.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF is an exchange-traded9.88
Equity ETF ProShares Ultra MSCI Brazil Capped is an5.27
Equity ETF ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short4.13
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond2.81
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Equity2.28

Brazil Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Acc) is an-31.80
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-4.15
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-3.93
Equity ETF First Trust Brazil AlphaDEX Fund is an exchange-traded-2.83

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,9.30
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia ETF is an exchange-traded8.90
Equity OPEN-END FUND Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end1.69
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND1.02
Equity OPEN-END FUND UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD)0.45

Australia Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring-6.52
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring-6.51
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring-6.30
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-4.96
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring-4.65

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETF is an open-ended,33.01
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada Small-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF First Trust Canada AlphaDEX Fund is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada ETF is an exchange-traded-20.16

Canada Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada ETF is an exchange-traded-20.16
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada Small-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF First Trust Canada AlphaDEX Fund is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETF is an open-ended,33.01

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 March 2, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com