Weekly Strategy

March 14, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity0.03
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-2.30
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity5.91
countryBRAZILEquity-16.17
countryCHINA00.90
countryCHINAEquity51.83
countryCHINAFixed Income-3.72
countryINDIAEquity0.00
countryJAPANEquity-2335.31
countryRUSSIAEquity-10.86
countrySPAINEquity-7.81
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-14.05
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity17.78
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity0.00
industryENERGY SECTOREquity19.86
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity25.85
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity0.22
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-0.74
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity13.61
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOR0-0.91
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity9.09
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity21.53
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-0.31
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-1.08
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-0.51
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGION00.00
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity0.19
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-154.66
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income23.33
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGION00.00
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-0.08
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity27.92
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.01
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income37.14
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income144.45
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-16.44
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-17.76
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-0.10
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-0.29
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity7.86
segmentBRICEquity-0.05
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-1.37
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity25.72
segmentMENAEquity-1.82
segmentMENAFixed Income-3.92
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity1672.00
SizeMID-CAPEquity-16.05
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity44.63

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Emerging Markets Funds - Outflows Less

Emerging Markets Total Fund FLows still in negative zone, but equities show small inflow.

Source:




Emerging markets fund flow showed 25.7 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -16.2 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA 0 funds showed 0.9 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 51.8 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -3.7 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -10.9 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 19.9 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 13.6 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR 0 funds showed -0.9 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 9.1 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 21.5 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -16.4 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -17.8 USD mn of outflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bear 3x Shares is an4.04
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D0.88
Equity World Investment Opportunities Funds -0.00
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS0.00
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-15.77

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-15.77
Equity World Investment Opportunities Funds -0.00
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS0.00
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D0.88
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bear 3x Shares is an4.04

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -38.18
Equity Fubon SSE 180 Index ETF is an exchange-traded5.74
Equity Fuh Hwa CSI 300 A Shares ETF is an exchange-traded4.66
Equity Yuanta/P-shares SSE50 Securities Investment3.73
Equity KB China Mainland A Shares Securities Feeder2.68

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity W.I.S.E. Yuanta/P-shares CSI 300 ETF is an-4.01
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-1.27
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-1.27
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-1.19
Equity KB China Mainland A Share Leverage Securities-0.79

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows


South Africa Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows


Korea Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity KB India Securities Investment Trust (Equity)0.05
Equity KB India Securities Master Investment Trust0.02
Equity KB India Representative Growth Securities0.00
Equity The iShares MSCI India Small-Cap ETF is an-0.06

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The iShares MSCI India Small-Cap ETF is an-0.06
Equity KB India Representative Growth Securities0.00
Equity KB India Securities Master Investment Trust0.02
Equity KB India Securities Investment Trust (Equity)0.05

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows


Turkey Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity KB Brazil Securities Feeder Investment0.15
Equity KB Brazil Securities Master Investment0.07
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded0.00
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-16.40

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-16.40
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded0.00
Equity KB Brazil Securities Master Investment0.07
Equity KB Brazil Securities Feeder Investment0.15

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows


Australia Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 March 14, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com