Weekly Strategy

July 14, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-5.53
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity73.70
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTORMixed Allocation0.01
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity91.52
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation-0.19
countryAUSTRALIAEquity16.67
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-1.04
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.06
countryBRAZILEquity-18.45
countryBRAZILFixed Income8.78
countryCHINAEquity-1118.95
countryCHINAFixed Income-37.42
countryINDIAEquity-463.82
countryINDIAFixed Income2.00
countryISRAELEquity-0.76
countryJAPANEquity-50726.30
countryJAPANFixed Income334.13
countryKOREAEquity-36.79
countryPOLANDEquity-0.43
countryRUSSIAEquity37.09
countryRUSSIAFixed Income0.71
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity1.12
countrySPAINEquity38.44
CountryTAIWANEquity-5.85
countryTURKEYEquity-19.65
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-123.14
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-0.30
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-30.88
industryENERGY SECTOREquity258.77
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity43.65
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOR913Equity0.63
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity78.00
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-4.66
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity0.00
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-132.47
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-2.01
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-200.51
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-78.02
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity238.37
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-38.64
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-139.38
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-174.83
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-726.45
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income85.19
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation0.05
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-9.22
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-1.74
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-2351.78
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-491.86
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation-0.03
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-53.06
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-4.09
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-69.96
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income0.35
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-27.92
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity271.91
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.59
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-156.61
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation0.00
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil0.05
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income115.82
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative93.29
RiskLONG SHORTEquity336.43
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income2.64
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.80
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-8.70
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.02
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-69.09
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-6.32
segmentBRICEquity-16.25
segmentBRICFixed Income0.14
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-442.42
segmentEMEAEquity-0.41
segmentEMEAFixed Income0.71
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-1270.15
segmentGCCEquity-4.09
segmentGCCFixed Income1.60
segmentGCCMixed Allocation-0.01
segmentMENAEquity5.34
segmentMENAFixed Income-2.35
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity9136.59
SizeMID-CAPCommodity0.21
SizeMID-CAPEquity-616.48
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity39.30

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed -1270.1 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed -3.6 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -18.5 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 8.8 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -1118.9 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -37.4 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -463.8 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed 2.0 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -36.8 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 37.1 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 0.7 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 1.1 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -19.6 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -30.9 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 258.8 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 43.6 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -2.0 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -200.5 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -78.0 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 238.4 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed 93.3 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 336.4 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 2.6 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.8 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OTP Russia Equity Fund is an open-end investment67.93
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF25.09
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an22.57
Equity Equity Russia Opportunities is an open-end17.70
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) -12.26

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-46.43
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-14.73
Equity East Capital - Russian Fund is an open-end-11.53
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-9.65
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-8.65

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -99.99
Equity ChinaAMC ETF Series - ChinaAMC CSI 300 Index99.99
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking61.16
Equity Fuh Hwa CSI 300 A Shares ETF is an exchange-traded22.96
Equity AssetPlus China Rich Together Securities21.36

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China-99.99
Equity INVESCO PRC Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-99.99
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-90.59
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-87.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange1.03
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top400.10
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.01

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked-0.01
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top400.10
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange1.03

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,8.01
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged7.35
Equity KIM Investment Funds - Korea Navigator1.50
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified1.22
Equity NEXT NOTES F-KOSPI200 Inverse ETN is an Exchange0.08

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-15.33
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-10.84
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-5.20
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant-4.25
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-3.97

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.52.60
Equity Natixis International Funds Lux I - IDFC2.99
Equity Shinhan BNPP Bonjour India Securities Master2.27
Equity Baring Investment Funds - India Fund is1.86
Fixed Income K Debt Opportunities Fund Ltd is an open-end1.58

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-55.79
Equity AllianceBernstein - India Growth Portfolio-43.19
Equity Comgest Growth PLC - Comgest Growth India-41.75
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded-40.54
Equity Jupiter JGF - India Select is an open-end-38.40

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.05
Equity The RBS Market Access Dow Jones Turkey Titans-0.13
Equity DJ TURKEY TITANS 20 THEAM EASY UCITS ETF-0.14
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF-0.16
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-19.16

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-19.16
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF-0.16
Equity DJ TURKEY TITANS 20 THEAM EASY UCITS ETF-0.14
Equity The RBS Market Access Dow Jones Turkey Titans-0.13
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.05

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income DWS Brazil Bond Fund is an open-end investment6.95
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an5.29
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange4.15
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond2.82
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI BRAZIL is an exchange-traded1.79

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Equity-7.40
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Acc) is an-4.58
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS-2.89
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-2.87
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-2.34

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV15.23
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV14.20
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,14.08
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)0.63
Fixed Income ZKB-CIF I Australia Govt. Bond Index is0.42

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is-10.88
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD)-6.18
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-5.25
Equity WisdomTree Australia Dividend Fund is an-2.65
Fixed Income-1.61

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 July 14, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com