Weekly Strategy

July 27, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-7.14
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-22.37
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-477.29
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation-0.21
countryAUSTRALIAEquity6.56
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income0.37
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation0.05
countryBRAZILEquity-0.67
countryBRAZILFixed Income2421.51
countryCHINAEquity-409.57
countryCHINAFixed Income630.43
countryINDIAEquity184.57
countryINDIAFixed Income3.48
countryISRAELEquity-0.15
countryJAPANEquity65514.86
countryJAPANFixed Income503.24
countryKOREAEquity62.19
countryPOLANDEquity0.73
countryRUSSIAEquity-13.42
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-0.03
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity0.00
countrySPAINEquity13.46
CountryTAIWANEquity8.64
countryTURKEYEquity-14.95
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity35.90
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-1.53
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity30.26
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-268.53
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity40.15
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOR913Equity-0.34
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity197.65
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-5.41
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity0.00
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-63.53
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.45
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-101.78
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity116.50
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-48.45
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity2.64
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity75.84
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-40.91
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity224.82
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income244.09
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-4.95
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-8.51
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-2.41
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity1693.01
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-636.30
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.05
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity51.17
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income225.52
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity0.62
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income0.63
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-2.41
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-136.74
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.38
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-55.14
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation0.08
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income-10.80
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-47.06
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-1119.61
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income6.98
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.51
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity0.09
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.05
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity26.94
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity59.98
segmentBRICEquity-3.40
segmentBRICFixed Income0.10
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity368.58
segmentEMEAEquity0.27
segmentEMEAFixed Income1.92
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity516.55
segmentGCCEquity-0.25
segmentGCCMixed Allocation0.00
segmentMENAEquity-0.94
segmentMENAFixed Income-9.45
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-4942.12
SizeMID-CAPCommodity0.21
SizeMID-CAPEquity44.92
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity83.89

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed 516.5 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 2.3 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -0.7 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 2421.5 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -409.6 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed 630.4 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 184.6 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed 3.5 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 62.2 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -13.4 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -14.9 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 30.3 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -268.5 USD mn of outflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 40.1 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.5 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -101.8 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 116.5 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -48.5 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -47.1 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -1119.6 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 7.0 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.5 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D7.22
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) -4.82
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded2.62
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS2.43
Equity Raiffeisen-Russland-Aktien is an open end0.95

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-5.80
Equity Equity Russia Opportunities is an open-end-5.41
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-5.19
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-4.24
Equity SEB Fund 2 - SEB Russia Fund is an FPC-3.23

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end99.99
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end99.99
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end99.99
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end99.99
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded88.88

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity ChinaAMC ETF Series - ChinaAMC CSI 300 Index-99.99
Equity UBS (Lux) Institutional Sicav II - China-63.39
Equity UBS (Lux) Institutional Sicav II - China-63.35
Equity UBS (CAY) China A Opportunity is an exempted-47.46

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an25.10
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified13.37
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS13.34
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS6.92
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity2.17

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-0.52
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-0.44
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end-0.31
Equity Amundi Funds - Equity Korea is a SICAV-0.09
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-0.07

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio96.91
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant31.78
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded30.96
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded27.67
Equity Amundi Funds - Equity India is a SICAV12.58

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-19.47
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-11.82
Equity Fidelity India Securities Feeder Investment-8.00
Equity Fidelity India Equity Fund is an open-end-3.90
Equity Aberdeen India Growth Fund is an open-end-3.09

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-14.95

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-14.95

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is99.99
Equity Fondo Mutuo IM Trust Acciones Estrategicas1.34
Fixed Income UBS (Lux) Bond Sicav - Brazil is an open-end0.47
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond0.41
Equity Mirae Asset Index Ro Brazil Securities0.01

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Shinhan BNPP The Dream Brazil Equity Investment-0.52
Equity Bradesco Global Funds - Brazilian Equities-0.47
Equity SH BNPP Bonjour Great Emerging Securities-0.32
Equity KB Brazil Securities Feeder Investment-0.14
Equity Mirae Asset Brazil Industry Representative-0.13

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV5.92
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is4.08
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)1.30
Equity SmartMOZY is an exchange traded fund listed0.54
Equity WisdomTree Australia Dividend Fund is an0.43

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,-2.67
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-1.28
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-0.87
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring-0.59
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia-0.43

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 July 27, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com