Weekly Strategy

January 6, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity -6.52
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity -69.32
countryAUSTRALIAEquity -9.24
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation -0.05
countryBRAZILEquity -162.52
countryBRAZILFixed Income 0.54
countryCHINAEquity -133.87
countryCHINAFixed Income 3.85
countryINDIAEquity 17.71
countryISRAELEquity 0.00
countryJAPANEquity 223.42
countryKOREAEquity -47.23
countryPOLANDEquity -3.58
countryRUSSIAEquity 17.39
countryRUSSIAFixed Income 0.00
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity -0.04
countrySPAINEquity -2.23
countryTURKEYEquity 1.80
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity -66.11
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity 4.24
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity 0.25
industryENERGY SECTOREquity 46.40
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity -2.16
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity -1.09
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity 5.56
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity -32.66
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity -213.40
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity 20.85
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity 27.71
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity -0.54
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONAlternative 0.21
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity 33.45
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income -0.23
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity 1.60
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income 0.00
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity -12.86
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity 82.16
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity -14.06
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity -2.10
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity 28.67
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income -1.08
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income -247.55
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income 39.77
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative 299.67
RiskLONG SHORTEquity -5.53
segmentBRICEquity -28.93
segmentBRICFixed Income -0.14
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity 5.44
segmentEMEAEquity -0.39
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity -57.40
segmentMENAEquity 0.77
SizeLARGE-CAPAlternative 10.45
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity -122.26
SizeMID-CAPEquity 891.55
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity 185.86

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates




Emerging markets fund flow showed -57.4 USD mn of outflow.While Frontier Markets funds showed 7.8 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -162.5 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 0.5 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -133.9 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed 3.8 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 17.7 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -47.2 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 17.4 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed 1.8 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 0.3 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 46.4 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -2.2 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -213.4 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 20.8 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 27.7 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed 299.7 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -5.5 USD mn of outflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"10.53
Equity ETF Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an9.34
Equity ETF Direxion Daily Russia Bear 3x Shares is an4.11
Equity OPEN-END FUND Shinhan BNPP Bonjour Russia Securities3.86
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end2.30

Russia Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-19.35
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Russia ADR/GDR UCITS ETF is-10.65
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-9.20
Equity ETF Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-5.33
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-5.27

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - China Opportunity67.52
Equity ETF Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China27.41
Equity OPEN-END FUND INVESCO PRC Equity Fund is a UCITS certified25.10
Equity OPEN-END FUND Guinness Atkinson China & Hong Kong Fund16.79
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity13.03

China Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF WisdomTree China Dividend Ex-Financials Fund
Equity ETF ProShares Short FTSE/Xinhua China 50 is an short
Equity ETF ProShares Ultra FTSE China 50 is an exchange-traded
Equity ETF Proshares UltraShort FTSE China 50 is short
Equity OPEN-END FUND Shinhan BNPP Bonjour China Securities Investment-65.42

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.07
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded-0.02
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded-0.02

South Africa Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded-0.02
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa ETF is an exchange-traded-0.02
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa - B UCITS ETF is0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.07

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF Value Korea ETF is an exchange-traded fund0.00
Equity ETF Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged0.00
Equity ETF WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an0.00
Equity ETF First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX Fund is0.00

Korea Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF i s
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-42.87
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Korea UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-6.80
Equity ETF iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-4.30
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-1.26

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded17.93
Equity OPEN-END FUND Jupiter JGF - India Select is an open-end8.65
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity7.43
Equity OPEN-END FUND Kotak Funds - India Midcap Fund is a SICAV5.19
Equity OPEN-END FUND PineBridge Global Funds - PineBridge India3.93

India Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF Direxion Daily India Bull 3X Shares is an
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-21.06
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - India Fund is an open-end-8.63
Equity OPEN-END FUND Jupiter JGF - India Select is an open-end-1.25
Equity OPEN-END FUND Natixis International Funds Lux I - IDFC-1.03

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded1.80
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,1.63
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,0.02
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded0.00

Turkey Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,0.02
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,1.63
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Turkey ETF is an exchange-traded1.80

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an0.80
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado0.39
Equity OPEN-END FUND KB Brazil Securities Feeder Investment0.37
Fixed Income OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond0.19
Equity OPEN-END FUND KB Brazil Securities Master Investment0.18

Brazil Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF ProShares Ultra MSCI Brazil Capped is an
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Equity-11.66
Equity OPEN-END FUND JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-4.83
Equity OPEN-END FUND HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Equity-3.49

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

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assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OPEN-END FUND Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end4.84
Equity OPEN-END FUND NESTOR Australien Fonds is an open-end investment0.44
Equity OPEN-END FUND NESTOR Australien Fonds is an open-end0.09
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia0.08
Equity OPEN-END FUND Mirae Asset Australia Discovery Securities0.00

Australia Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia - B UCITS ETF is an
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia ETF is an exchange-traded
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia ETF is an exchange-traded-9.24
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,-3.69
Equity OPEN-END FUND Baring International Umbrella - Baring-0.40

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada Small-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF First Trust Canada AlphaDEX Fund is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada ETF is an exchange-traded-1.99
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETF is an open-ended,-2.51

Canada Outflows

assclassTypeprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada UCITS ETF is an open-ended,-2.51
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada ETF is an exchange-traded-1.99
Equity ETF iShares MSCI Canada Small-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded0.00
Equity ETF First Trust Canada AlphaDEX Fund is an exchange-traded0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 January 6, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com