Weekly Strategy

January 17, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity0.55
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity34.16
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity694.40
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation-0.02
countryAUSTRALIAEquity48.88
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-1.03
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation0.09
countryBRAZILEquity7.06
countryBRAZILFixed Income601.08
countryCHINAEquity1671.07
countryCHINAFixed Income-62.41
countryINDIAEquity-206.50
countryINDIAFixed Income-1.39
countryISRAELEquity0.26
countryJAPANEquity-25478.92
countryJAPANFixed Income158.10
countryKOREAEquity62.98
countryPOLANDEquity0.68
countryRUSSIAEquity23.02
countryRUSSIAFixed Income1.74
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity0.71
countrySPAINEquity-36.52
CountryTAIWANEquity1.00
countryTURKEYEquity-4.33
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity114.39
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-3.15
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity6.12
industryENERGY SECTOREquity151.89
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity-12.57
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-6.29
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity0.05
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-19.04
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.91
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-24.03
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-66.43
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity143.50
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-21.24
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-115.67
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income398.80
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-408.10
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-188.79
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation0.00
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity4.01
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income2.50
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity960.46
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income35.90
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation-0.03
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity29.05
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-74.67
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity0.09
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-8.82
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-15.60
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.46
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-40.71
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation0.00
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income-270.16
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-49.73
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-4252.73
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income-4.30
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.00
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity2.49
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.08
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-44.56
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity-31.92
segmentBRICEquity0.77
segmentBRICFixed Income0.15
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity958.58
segmentEMEAEquity-0.73
segmentEMEAFixed Income0.46
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-177.68
segmentGCCEquity3.77
segmentGCCFixed Income0.00
segmentMENAEquity-2.04
segmentMENAFixed Income-0.39
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity4862.74
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.14
SizeMID-CAPEquity266.16
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity-74.92

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed -177.7 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed 4.8 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed 7.1 USD mn of inflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 601.1 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 1671.1 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -62.4 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -206.5 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -1.4 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 63.0 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 23.0 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 1.7 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.7 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -4.3 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 6.1 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 151.9 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed -12.6 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.9 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -24.0 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -66.4 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 143.5 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -49.7 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -4252.7 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed -4.3 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) -19.40
Equity OTP Russia Equity Fund is an open-end investment13.46
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D5.28
Equity Raiffeisen-Russland-Aktien is an open end3.07
Fixed Income DWS Russia Bond Fund is a "specialized"1.74

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-8.52
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-8.22
Equity Shinhan BNPP Bonjour Russia Securities-2.71
Equity SEB Fund 2 - SEB Russia Fund is an FPC-1.24
Equity DWS Russia is an open-end investment fund-1.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China99.99
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded89.19
Equity INVESCO PRC Equity Fund is a UCITS certified54.72
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking17.57
Equity db x-trackers CSI300 Index UCITS ETF is a17.36

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - China Opportunity-99.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-73.15
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --65.19
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded-51.27
Equity Robeco Chinese Equities is an open-end-48.83

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.47
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.24
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.24
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.47

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an58.44
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS6.37
Equity KIM Investment Funds - Korea Navigator1.96
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged1.51
Equity Amundi Funds - Equity Korea is a SICAV1.05

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-3.87
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-3.72
Equity KIM Investment Funds - Korea Value Fund-2.21
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-0.71
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity-0.53

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant47.55
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity8.88
Equity Morgan Stanley Investment Funds - Indian7.64
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI INDIA UCITS ETF is a UCITS7.01
Equity AllianceBernstein - India Growth Portfolio5.48

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio-45.99
Equity Pictet - Indian Equities is an open-end fund-40.97
Equity Invesco Funds SICAV - India Equity Fund is-37.18
Equity Jupiter JGF - India Select is an open-end-35.44
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund-19.41

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,8.33
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.30
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-12.95

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-12.95
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.30
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,8.33

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is99.99
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange9.08
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI BRAZIL is an exchange-traded1.54
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded1.27
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded1.24

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Fonditalia - Equity Brazil (F33) is an-1.77
Equity Fonditalia - Equity Brazil (F33) is an-1.76
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-1.45
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Acc) is an-1.18
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end-1.15

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,23.40
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia13.38
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia7.55
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring4.10
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV2.55

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-2.30
Fixed Income-1.17
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-1.10
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD)-0.13
Equity First Trust Australia AlphaDEX Fund is an-0.09

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 January 17, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com