Weekly Strategy

February 7, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-7.04
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity116.07
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity912.43
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation-0.04
countryAUSTRALIAEquity21.53
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-2.15
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation0.00
countryBRAZILEquity-16.12
countryBRAZILFixed Income-1226.30
countryCHINAEquity300.90
countryCHINAFixed Income-36.26
countryINDIAEquity27.11
countryINDIAFixed Income-10.64
countryISRAELEquity0.02
countryJAPANEquity-72454.13
countryJAPANFixed Income-1397.52
countryKOREAEquity68.35
countryPOLANDEquity2.09
countryRUSSIAEquity116.93
countryRUSSIAFixed Income3.84
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity0.25
countrySPAINEquity-13.65
CountryTAIWANEquity-23.46
countryTURKEYEquity-11.90
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity27.22
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity24.77
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity24.36
industryENERGY SECTOREquity562.47
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity7.57
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity21.38
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-4.58
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity0.00
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity50.67
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.45
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity79.87
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity22.41
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-51.02
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-7.83
regionAFRICAN REGIONFixed Income-3.15
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity3.67
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income97.71
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-14.14
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-22.44
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-0.30
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity18.04
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income0.42
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity452.56
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-281.44
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.13
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-20.46
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-457.88
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-0.95
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income0.28
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-6.50
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-137.00
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.36
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-4.93
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation1.38
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDBrazil-0.34
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income38.25
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative19.75
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-2697.92
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income9.62
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.03
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity0.40
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity-0.06
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-76.46
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity51.33
segmentBRICEquity-0.50
segmentBRICFixed Income-0.07
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity1341.51
segmentEMEAEquity-0.66
segmentEMEAFixed Income0.33
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity1131.05
segmentGCCEquity-4.34
segmentGCCMixed Allocation-0.01
segmentMENAEquity-0.33
segmentMENAFixed Income-7.67
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-1520.90
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.08
SizeMID-CAPEquity1086.17
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity315.86

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Emerging Market Fund Flow Ticks Up

In the past such upticks meant good news for the markets

Source: MidLincoln Research




Emerging markets fund flow showed 1131.0 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 4.9 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -16.1 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed -1226.3 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 300.9 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -36.3 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 27.1 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -10.6 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 68.3 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 116.9 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 3.8 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.3 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -11.9 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 24.4 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 562.5 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 7.6 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.4 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 79.9 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 22.4 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -51.0 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed 19.7 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -2697.9 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 9.6 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity22.04
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded18.43
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF18.26
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) -15.67
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D11.07

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity OTP Russia Equity Fund is an open-end investment-2.15
Equity Raiffeisen-Russland-Aktien is an open end-0.85
Equity Credit Suisse Lux Russia Equity Fund is-0.76
Equity The RBS Market Access DAXglobal� Russia Index-0.76
Fixed Income AMCFM Fund Russia Bonds is an open-end-0.46

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -99.99
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking18.04
Equity ChinaAMC ETF Series - ChinaAMC CSI 300 Index17.93

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - China Opportunity-99.99
Equity Robeco Chinese Equities is an open-end-59.31
Equity Robeco Chinese Equities is an open-end investment-41.25
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-23.36
Equity First State Global Umbrella PLC - China-17.01

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.59
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.34

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.34
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.59

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an56.73
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,9.73
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end3.55
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified2.94
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS2.82

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged-12.46
Equity KIM Investment Funds - Korea Value Fund-0.71
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-0.34
Equity iShares MSCI Korea UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-0.09
Equity KIM Investment Funds - Korea Navigator-0.08

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity33.45
Equity AllianceBernstein - India Growth Portfolio22.62
Equity iShares India 50 ETF is an exchange-traded18.95
Equity Kotak Funds - India Midcap Fund is a SICAV11.35

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded-32.23
Equity Pictet - Indian Equities is an open-end fund-29.94
Equity Invesco Funds SICAV - India Equity Fund is-23.13
Equity Jupiter JGF - India Select is an open-end-15.16
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant-13.79

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.33
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.79
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-11.44

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-11.44
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,-0.79
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.33

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond2.62
Equity Direxion Daily Brazil Bull 3x Shares is an1.90
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI BRAZIL is an exchange-traded1.46
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end1.02
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Brazil Equity is an open-end0.97

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is-99.99
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange-7.20
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-5.24
Equity Shinhan BNP Bonjour Brazil Investment Trust-3.11
Equity Fondo de Inversion iFund MSCI Brazil Small-1.82

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Swisscanto AST Avant Aktien Ausland Index20.51
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia8.96
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end4.34
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia1.22
Equity NESTOR Australien Fonds is an open-end investment0.41

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,-4.72
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-4.35
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring-2.16
Fixed Income-1.95
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)-1.51

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 February 7, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com