Weekly Strategy

February 28, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity0.00
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity0.22
countryBRAZILEquity0.03
countryCHINAEquity0.28
countryCHINAFixed Income-53.58
countryINDIAEquity0.00
countryJAPANEquity-12352.88
countryRUSSIAEquity-14.20
countrySPAINEquity-3.01
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity3.86
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity19.50
industryENERGY SECTOREquity41.27
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-103.52
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity0.52
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-0.56
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity44.43
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOR0-1.60
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity5.91
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity4.93
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity0.10
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-0.51
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity6.12
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-0.52
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-58.86
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income42.90
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGION00.00
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity1.08
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-183.10
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income0.01
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative1.34
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-3.87
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity0.01
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-0.23
segmentBRICEquity0.00
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity-3.35
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity21.92
segmentMENAEquity-0.09
segmentMENAFixed Income-0.87
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-127.12
SizeMID-CAPEquity1.05
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity23.52

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates



Chart: Emerging Markets Funds - Outflows Less

Emerging Markets Total Fund FLows still in negative zone, but equities show small inflow.

Source:




Emerging markets fund flow showed 21.9 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 0.3 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -53.6 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed -14.2 USD mn of outflow.


ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 41.3 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 44.4 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR 0 funds showed -1.6 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 5.9 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 4.9 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed 1.3 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -3.9 USD mn of outflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bear 3x Shares is an3.32
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS-0.08
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-4.44
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-13.01

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-13.01
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-4.44
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Russia Capped Index UCITS-0.08
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bear 3x Shares is an3.32

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Fubon SSE 180 Index ETF is an exchange-traded11.19
Equity W.I.S.E. Yuanta/P-shares CSI 300 ETF is an7.89
Equity db x-trackers HSI Short Index UCITS ETF is short3.08
Equity Yuanta/P-shares SSE50 Securities Investment2.64
Equity Guggenheim China Small Cap Index ETF is an0.79

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --24.01
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-18.46
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-18.38
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-16.74
Equity Fuh Hwa CSI 300 A Shares ETF is an exchange-traded-1.05

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows


South Africa Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows


Korea Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity KB India Securities Master Investment Trust0.00
Equity KB India Securities Investment Trust (Equity)0.00

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity KB India Securities Master Investment Trust0.00
Equity KB India Securities Investment Trust (Equity)0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows


Turkey Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity KB Brazil Securities Master Investment0.03

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity KB Brazil Securities Master Investment0.03

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows


Australia Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 February 28, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com