Weekly Strategy

February 1, 2016

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-11.75
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity123.55
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-95.12
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation-0.10
countryAUSTRALIAEquity-0.61
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-1.60
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.35
countryBRAZILEquity1.79
countryBRAZILFixed Income-1303.87
countryCHINAEquity-433.56
countryCHINAFixed Income-94.10
countryINDIAEquity-281.78
countryINDIAFixed Income-8.21
countryISRAELEquity0.18
countryJAPANEquity72391.80
countryJAPANFixed Income1518.54
countryKOREAEquity-18.97
countryPOLANDEquity2.08
countryRUSSIAEquity36.60
countryRUSSIAFixed Income-0.02
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity0.98
countrySPAINEquity-38.15
CountryTAIWANEquity-3.63
countryTURKEYEquity0.84
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity71.66
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity11.79
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity24.22
industryENERGY SECTOREquity593.97
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity1.71
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity-154.76
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-9.36
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-88.45
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.46
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity360.09
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity-18.58
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity285.70
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-4.56
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity276.57
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-15.51
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-562.87
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income30.95
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation0.22
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity11.45
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-0.14
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-1942.36
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-416.87
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.00
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-74.50
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-1733.20
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity0.09
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income-1.04
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity-5.13
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-52.44
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.30
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income318.42
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation-0.05
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income-150.09
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-77.44
RiskLONG SHORTEquity19509.69
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income-2.41
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.00
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-2.74
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity-0.06
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-72.45
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity47.86
segmentBRICEquity-12.27
segmentBRICFixed Income0.17
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity870.46
segmentEMEAEquity0.46
segmentEMEAFixed Income0.49
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity-1092.65
segmentGCCEquity10.68
segmentGCCMixed Allocation0.00
segmentMENAEquity-8.19
segmentMENAFixed Income-8.52
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity2273.98
SizeMID-CAPEquity-2896.33
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity-662.09

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed -1092.7 USD mn of outflow.. While Frontier Markets funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed 1.8 USD mn of inflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed -1303.9 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -433.6 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -94.1 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed -281.8 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -8.2 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed -19.0 USD mn of outflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 36.6 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 1.0 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed 0.8 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 24.2 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 594.0 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 1.7 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.5 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 360.1 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -18.6 USD mn of outflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 285.7 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -77.4 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 19509.7 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed -2.4 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF19.28
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded11.38
Equity East Capital Lux - Russian Fund is an open-end5.01
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity2.25
Equity SEB Fund 2 - SEB Russia Fund is an FPC1.62

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity-2.15
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-1.45
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-1.33
Equity Raiffeisen-Russland-Aktien is an open end-1.17
Equity Shinhan BNPP The Dream Russia Equity Investment-0.55

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity INVESCO PRC Equity Fund is a UCITS certified82.42
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded45.99
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking17.10
Equity Fubon SSE 180 Index ETF is an exchange-traded12.95
Equity W.I.S.E. Yuanta/P-shares CSI 300 ETF is an10.70

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - China Opportunity-99.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity-55.05
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --48.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese-32.77

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.74
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.24
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an0.24
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.74

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,8.55
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS6.76
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified6.74
Equity KIM Investment Funds - Korea Navigator3.04
Equity First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX Fund is0.18

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an-34.88
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant-4.05
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-3.11
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity-1.20
Equity KIM Investment Funds - Korea Value Fund-0.44

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.56.41
Equity AllianceBernstein - India Growth Portfolio14.39
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio12.88
Equity Edmond De Rothschild India is an open-end12.83
Equity Edmond De Rothschild India is an open-end12.78

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-78.60
Equity The Lyxor ETF MSCI India is a UCITS compliant-60.57
Equity Invesco Funds SICAV - India Equity Fund is-29.14
Equity iShares India 50 ETF is an exchange-traded-27.08

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,1.00
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF-0.16

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF-0.16
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,1.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS1.34
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond1.13
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Acc) is an0.83
Equity Bradesco Global Funds - Brazilian Equities0.57
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI BRAZIL is an exchange-traded0.47

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is-99.99
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange-1.62
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado-1.13
Equity Amundi Funds - Equity Brazil is a SICAV-0.35
Equity Fonditalia - Equity Brazil (F33) is an-0.29

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia10.39
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,3.29
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia2.33
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring1.64
Equity Swisscanto AST Avant Aktien Ausland Index0.02

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-4.79
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)-4.77
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-4.11
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-4.01
Fixed Income-1.62

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 February 1, 2016· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com