Weekly Strategy

December 27, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-0.50
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-20.29
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-181.62
countryAUSTRALIAEquity62.67
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-2.21
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.18
countryBRAZILEquity-0.59
countryBRAZILFixed Income-0.23
countryCHINAEquity6861.56
countryCHINAFixed Income-5.62
countryINDIAEquity55.37
countryISRAELEquity0.07
countryJAPANEquity-17049.29
countryKOREAEquity68.25
countryRUSSIAEquity65.13
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity0.94
CountryTAIWANEquity-0.16
countryTURKEYEquity9.44
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity36.90
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity-0.90
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity-9.02
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-9.17
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity32.41
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity63.60
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-7.05
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-91.24
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative5.41
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity693.64
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity50.39
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity532.22
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-0.77
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity23.17
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-20.29
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity182.12
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income0.02
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity20.64
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity-655.81
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-5.53
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity1.91
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity0.57
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-4.18
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income-120.67
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income31.56
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-19.23
RiskLONG SHORTEquity116.88
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-5.75
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-0.77
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity44.37
segmentBRICEquity-2.42
segmentBRICFixed Income-0.08
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity122.37
segmentEMEAEquity0.69
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity495.44
segmentMENAEquity-0.75
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity7210.83
SizeMID-CAPCommodity0.01
SizeMID-CAPEquity-91.32
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity55.81

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed 495.4 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed -3.1 USD mn of outflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -0.6 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed -0.2 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 6861.6 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -5.6 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 55.4 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 68.2 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 65.1 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.9 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed 9.4 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed -9.0 USD mn of outflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -9.2 USD mn of outflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 32.4 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed 5.4 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 693.6 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 50.4 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 532.2 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -19.2 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed 116.9 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded50.38
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF13.83
Equity Kiwoom Russia Explorer Securities Investment0.57
Equity JPMorgan Russia Securities Feeder Investment0.55
Equity JPMorgan Russia Equity Investment Trust0.20

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-0.75
Equity Voya Russia Fund is an open-end fund incorporated-0.14
Equity NEXT FUNDS Russia RTS Linked Exchange Traded-0.07
Equity HANA UBS Russia Securities Feeder Investment-0.02
Equity SPDR S&P Russia ETF is an exchange-traded-0.02

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China99.99
Equity Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund is a non-diversified,88.64
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese33.25
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity31.13
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese16.59

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-27.16
Equity Eastspring China Dragon A Share Securities-20.68
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series --19.92
Equity Powershares Golden Dragon Halter USX China-13.61
Equity Threadneedle Specialist Investment Funds-12.84

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.94
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked Exchange0.94

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an58.12
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,9.71
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity0.79
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity0.15
Equity NEXT NOTES F-KOSPI200 Inverse ETN is an Exchange0.05

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity WisdomTree Korea Hedged Equity Fund is an-0.22
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged-0.19
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end-0.13
Equity Horizons Korea KOSPI 200 ETF is an exchange-traded-0.04
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,-0.03

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund, Inc.54.57
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity40.54
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded5.58
Equity Fidelity India Securities Feeder Investment0.48
Equity Fidelity India Equity Fund is an open-end0.22

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded-31.68
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-4.07
Equity The iShares MSCI India Small-Cap ETF is an-3.59
Equity iPath MSCI India Index ETN is an exchange-traded-1.87
Equity iShares India 50 ETF is an exchange-traded-1.82

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,9.44

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS ETF is an open-end,9.44

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS Ibovespa Linked Exchange Traded0.42
Equity ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short0.14
Equity Mirae Asset Brazil Industry Representative0.09
Equity KB Brazil Securities Feeder Investment0.04
Equity Mirae Asset Brazil Industry Representative0.02

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Shinhan BNP Bonjour Brazil Investment Trust-0.80
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil Index ETF is an exchange-traded-0.30
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado-0.21
Equity SH BNPP Bonjour Great Emerging Securities-0.11
Equity KDB Samba Brazil Securities Feeder Investment-0.04

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is51.41
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia6.68
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia4.61
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring1.79
Equity WisdomTree Australia Dividend Fund is an0.25

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income-1.54
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD)-1.19
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-0.78
Fixed Income Daiwa Bond Fund Series - Monthly Dividend-0.67
Mixed Allocation Commonwealth Australia/New Zealand Fund-0.18

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 December 27, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com