Weekly Strategy

December 13, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-12.47
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity-6.96
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity-96.21
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation-0.21
countryAUSTRALIAEquity9.31
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-2.75
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.02
countryBRAZILEquity35.99
countryBRAZILFixed Income295.70
countryCHINAEquity4086.16
countryCHINAFixed Income-351.90
countryINDIAEquity10.72
countryINDIAFixed Income-6.17
countryISRAELEquity0.31
countryJAPANEquity-350.26
countryJAPANFixed Income-407.67
countryKOREAEquity110.28
countryPOLANDEquity1.30
countryRUSSIAEquity63.66
countryRUSSIAFixed Income0.67
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity0.00
countrySPAINEquity27.77
CountryTAIWANEquity2.37
countryTURKEYEquity-4.46
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-74.83
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity6.95
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity39.58
industryENERGY SECTOREquity-46.29
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity57.76
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity55.00
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-8.57
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity-79.50
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.10
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity184.08
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity114.44
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity86.49
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity-1.75
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity-134.23
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income-47.34
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity-357.61
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income40.65
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation-0.12
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity-4.25
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income-2.56
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity1308.64
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income76.04
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.07
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity4.28
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income207.11
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity-2.32
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income-0.65
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity4.63
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity-94.90
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-0.26
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income304.78
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income90.01
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-61.01
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-2453.56
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income-0.71
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.00
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity2.98
SectorAGRICULTUREEquity0.08
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity1.74
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity5.81
segmentBRICEquity-7.32
segmentBRICFixed Income-0.04
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity1392.33
segmentEMEAEquity-1.70
segmentEMEAFixed Income0.31
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity698.78
segmentGCCEquity-5.53
segmentGCCFixed Income0.00
segmentMENAEquity-2.69
segmentMENAFixed Income-0.68
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity-2754.79
SizeMID-CAPCommodity-0.26
SizeMID-CAPEquity630.93
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity250.99

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed 698.8 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 4.3 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed 36.0 USD mn of inflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed 295.7 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed 4086.2 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -351.9 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 10.7 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed -6.2 USD mn of outflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 110.3 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 63.7 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 0.7 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed -4.5 USD mn of outflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 39.6 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed -46.3 USD mn of outflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 57.8 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed -0.1 USD mn of outflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed 184.1 USD mn of inflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 114.4 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed 86.5 USD mn of inflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -61.0 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -2453.6 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed -0.7 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity23.26
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded17.43
Equity iShares MSCI Russi a ADR/GDR UCITS ETF17.29
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity14.16
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) -5.73

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity SEB Fund 2 - SEB Russia Fund is an FPC-4.16
Equity DWS Russia is an open-end investment fund-3.57
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-3.34
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Russia Fund is an open-end-3.11
Equity East Capital - Russian Fund is an open-end-3.01

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded99.99
Equity iShares Asia Trust - iShares FTSE A50 China99.99
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -71.09
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Chinese Equity57.44
Equity W.I.S.E. - CSI 300 China Tracker� is an index-tracking23.93

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-85.14
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-84.82
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-84.14
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-77.82

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an94.00
Equity Korea Equity Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified,8.63
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS5.24
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end3.77
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant2.00

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS-2.93
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS certified-2.78
Equity JPMorgan Funds - Korea Equity is an open-end-1.47
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity-0.51
Equity Baring Korea Feeder Fund is an open-end-0.27

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity49.14
Equity Vontobel India Fund is an open-end fund41.39
Equity iShares MSCI India ETF is an exchange-traded30.26
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded20.40
Equity Kotak Funds - India Midcap Fund is a SICAV9.28

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Invesco Funds SICAV - India Equity Fund is-40.28
Equity Jupiter JGF - India Select is an open-end-35.17
Equity Ocean Dial Gateway to India Fund is an-21.77
Equity Edmond De Rothschild India is an open-end-12.30
Equity Edmond De Rothschild India is an open-end-12.22

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.46
Equity DJ TURKEY TITANS 20 THEAM EASY UCITS ETF-0.18
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-4.74

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The Lyxor ETF Turkey (DJ Turkey Titans 20)-4.74
Equity DJ TURKEY TITANS 20 THEAM EASY UCITS ETF-0.18
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.46

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is99.99
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange16.10
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an13.19
Fixed Income DWS Brazil Bond Fund is an open-end investment2.25
Equity Fonditalia - Equity Brazil (F33) is an2.12

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity ProShares UltraShort MSCI Brazil Capped is short-1.78
Fixed Income Santander FIC FI Renda Fixa I Credito Privado-0.98
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Equity-0.89
Equity Victoire Brasil Investment Funds - Select-0.88
Equity Fondo Mutuo IM Trust Acciones Estrategicas-0.72

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)5.44
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia3.01
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV2.86
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end1.70
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia1.64

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV-3.38
Fixed Income-2.07
Equity WisdomTree Australia Dividend Fund is an-1.42
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring-0.76
Fixed Income Daiwa Bond Fund Series - Monthly Dividend-0.68

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 December 13, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com