Weekly Strategy

July 21, 2015

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

BIG Data Global Investment Strategy with focus on GEMs

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for week ending last Friday (inclusive)

                                     
FocusObjectiveAsset ClassFlow USD mn
CommoditiesINDUSTRIAL METALSCommodity-20.94
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METAL SECTOREquity1.07
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSCommodity132.28
CommoditiesPRECIOUS METALSMixed Allocation-0.23
countryAUSTRALIAEquity1.77
countryAUSTRALIAFixed Income-1.48
countryAUSTRALIAMixed Allocation-0.02
countryBRAZILEquity-17.12
countryBRAZILFixed Income-293.16
countryCHINA00.32
countryCHINAEquity-265.69
countryCHINAFixed Income-248.65
countryINDIAEquity66.61
countryINDIAFixed Income4.14
countryISRAELEquity-0.22
countryJAPAN00.02
countryJAPANEquity51217.85
countryJAPANFixed Income659.25
countryKOREAEquity90.93
countryPOLANDEquity1.85
countryRUSSIAEquity47.25
countryRUSSIAFixed Income0.00
countrySOUTH AFRICAEquity-0.32
countrySPAINEquity-143.67
CountryTAIWANEquity7.67
countryTURKEYEquity0.52
countryUNITED KINGDOMEquity-26.25
industryBASIC MATERIALS SECTOREquity42.31
industryCOMMUNICATIONS SECTOREquity35.37
industryENERGY SECTOREquity16.41
industryENERGY SECTORMixed Allocation0.42
industryFINANCIAL SECTOREquity24.82
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOR913Equity-0.04
industryHEALTH CARE SECTOREquity214.11
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOR0-0.06
industryINDUSTRIAL SECTOREquity-9.13
industryMULTIPLE SECTOREquity0.00
industryNATURAL RESOURCES SECTOREquity2.21
industryREAL ESTATE SECTORAlternative-0.04
industryREAL ESTATE SECTOREquity-163.26
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOR0-3.77
industryTECHNOLOGY SECTOREquity60.14
industryUTILITIES SECTOR01.71
industryUTILITIES SECTOREquity-18.52
regionAFRICAN REGIONEquity12.08
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION0-0.23
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONEquity117.14
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGIONFixed Income21.46
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPAN0-9.56
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANEquity244.68
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANFixed Income-369.26
regionASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPANMixed Allocation0.82
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGION0-0.01
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONEquity8.63
regionEASTERN EUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income0.43
regionEUROPEAN REGION01.52
regionEUROPEAN REGIONEquity2299.86
regionEUROPEAN REGIONFixed Income1027.39
regionEUROPEAN REGIONMixed Allocation0.52
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGION00.00
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONEquity-25.18
regionLATIN AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income-53.00
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONEquity13.24
regionMIDDLE EAST REGIONFixed Income0.51
regionNORDIC REGIONEquity6.66
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONEquity152.29
regionNORTH AMERICAN REGIONFixed Income0.04
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDFixed Income11.81
RiskGOVERNMENT BONDMixed Allocation-0.08
RiskINFLATION PROTECTED00.06
RiskINFLATION PROTECTEDFixed Income467.64
RiskLONG SHORTAlternative-4.83
RiskLONG SHORTEquity-4424.42
RiskLONG SHORTFixed Income9.12
RiskLONG SHORTMixed Allocation0.23
SectorAGRICULTURECommodity-4.95
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEq90Duity0.11
SectorCONSUMER DISCRETIONARYEquity-29.46
SectorCONSUMER STAPLESEquity93.49
segmentBRICEquity-18.27
segmentBRICFixed Income-0.13
segmentDEVELOPED MARKETSEquity1624.59
segmentEMEAEquity0.08
segmentEMEAFixed Income-0.08
segmentEMERGING MARKETSEquity215.28
segmentGCCEquity-0.51
segmentGCCMixed Allocation-0.01
segmentMENAEquity-0.48
segmentMENAFixed Income-5.28
SizeLARGE-CAPEquity5811.07
SizeMID-CAPCommodity0.36
SizeMID-CAPEquity538.62
SizeSMALL-CAPEquity75.02

                         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Aggregates






Emerging markets fund flow showed 215.3 USD mn of inflow. While Frontier Markets funds showed 7.9 USD mn of inflows.


BRAZIL Equity funds showed -17.1 USD mn of outflow.
BRAZIL Fixed Income funds showed -293.2 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA 0 funds showed 0.3 USD mn of inflow.
CHINA Equity funds showed -265.7 USD mn of outflow.
CHINA Fixed Income funds showed -248.6 USD mn of outflow.
INDIA Equity funds showed 66.6 USD mn of inflow.
INDIA Fixed Income funds showed 4.1 USD mn of inflow.
KOREA Equity funds showed 90.9 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Equity funds showed 47.2 USD mn of inflow.
RUSSIA Fixed Income funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
SOUTH AFRICA Equity funds showed -0.3 USD mn of outflow.
TURKEY Equity funds showed 0.5 USD mn of inflow.


COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR Equity funds showed 35.4 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 16.4 USD mn of inflow.
ENERGY SECTOR Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.4 USD mn of inflow.
FINANCIAL SECTOR Equity funds showed 24.8 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Alternative funds showed 0.0 USD mn of inflow.
REAL ESTATE SECTOR Equity funds showed -163.3 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR 0 funds showed -3.8 USD mn of outflow.
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR Equity funds showed 60.1 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR 0 funds showed 1.7 USD mn of inflow.
UTILITIES SECTOR Equity funds showed -18.5 USD mn of outflow.


LONG SHORT Alternative funds showed -4.8 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Equity funds showed -4424.4 USD mn of outflow.
LONG SHORT Fixed Income funds showed 9.1 USD mn of inflow.
LONG SHORT Mixed Allocation funds showed 0.2 USD mn of inflow.


It is worth noting that MidLincoln data shows flow dynamics for last week ending last Friday where as EPFR data reports data only to last Wednesday, which makes ML data far more relevant

Top 5 fund winners and Top 5 losers by country by inflow

Russia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Market Vectors Russia ETF is an exchange-traded59.10
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity9.56
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Russia Equity8.24
Equity East Capital Lux - Russian Fund is an open-end3.77
Equity SEB Fund 2 - SEB Russia Fund is an FPC2.65

Russia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA (Dow Jones Russia GDR) --19.56
Equity LYXOR ETF RUSSIA Dow Jones Russia GDR - D-16.30
Equity Equity Russia Opportunities is an open-end-3.77
Equity Direxion Daily Russia Bull 3x Shares is an-2.30
Equity East Capital - Russian Fund is an open-end-2.15

Source: MidLincoln Research


China Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Hang Seng Investment Index Funds Series -99.99
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - China Opportunity33.34
Equity HSBC Investment Funds Trust - HSBC China25.07
Equity K China Equity Fund is an open-ended fund13.05
Equity BOCIP China Value Fund is an open-end fund11.99

China Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded-99.99
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-62.20
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-61.73
Equity SPDR S&P China ETF is an exchange-traded-59.04
Fixed Income Deutsche Invest I China Bonds is an open-end-57.43

Source: MidLincoln Research


South Africa Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top400.13
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.44

South Africa Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Africa UCITS ETF is an-0.44
Equity NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa Top40 Linked0.00
Equity The RBS Market Access FTSE/JSE Africa Top400.13

Source: MidLincoln Research


Korea Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF is an54.24
Equity INVESCO Korean Equity Fund is a UCITS18.49
Equity Deutsche X-trackers MSCI South Korea Hedged6.22
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Korea TRN Index UCITS4.70
Equity Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea is a UCITS compliant1.77

Korea Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Korean Equity-0.36
Equity Amundi Funds - Equity Korea is a SICAV-0.21
Equity Amundi Funds - Equity Korea is a SICAV-0.16
Equity First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX Fund is-0.07
Equity KIM Investment Funds - Korea Navigator-0.06

Source: MidLincoln Research


India Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity GS India Equity Portfolio is a Portfolio25.01
Equity WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an exchange-traded15.60
Equity AMUNDI ETF MSCI INDIA UCITS ETF is a UCITS9.79
Equity Edmond De Rothschild India is an open-end8.90
Equity Edmond De Rothschild India is an open-end8.81

India Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity HSBC Global Investment Funds - Indian Equity-30.79
Equity db x-trackers CNX Nifty UCITS ETF is a UCITS-8.27
Equity AllianceBernstein - India Growth Portfolio-2.59
Equity AllianceBernstein - India Growth Portfolio-2.58
Equity AllianceBernstein - India Growth Portfolio-2.57

Source: MidLincoln Research


Turkey Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity The RBS Market Access Dow Jones Turkey Titans0.41
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.10

Turkey Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity db x-trackers MSCI Turkey Index UCITS ETF0.10
Equity The RBS Market Access Dow Jones Turkey Titans0.41

Source: MidLincoln Research


Brazil Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Fonditalia - Equity Brazil (F33) is an1.34
Equity Fonditalia - Equity Brazil (F33) is an1.32
Equity Bradesco Global Funds - Brazilian Equities0.58
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Acc) is an0.54
Fixed Income HSBC Global Investment Funds - Brazil Bond0.38

Brazil Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Fixed Income Fondo Mutuo Security Fixed Income BRL is-99.99
Equity Lyxor ETF Brazil (Ibovespa) USD is an exchange-5.90
Equity iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF (Dist) is an-4.44
Fixed Income UBS (Lux) Bond Sicav - Brazil is an open-end-4.07
Equity db x-trackers - MSCI Brazil TRN Index UCITS-2.75

Source: MidLincoln Research


Australia Inflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Candriam Equities L - Australia is a SICAV5.71
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring Australia2.00
Equity SSgA Australia Index Equity Fund is an1.68
Equity Baring International Umbrella - Baring0.17
Equity db x-trackers S&P/ASX 200 UCITS ETF (DR)0.13

Australia Outflows

assclassprofileflow USD mln$
Equity Australia Equity Income Fund is an open-end-4.64
Equity iShares MSCI Australia UCITS ETF is an open-end,-2.29
Fixed Income-1.46
Equity UBS (Lux) Equity Fund - Australia (AUD) is-0.38
Equity NESTOR Australien Fonds is an open-end-0.24

Source: MidLincoln Research


Canada Inflows


Canada Outflows

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

 July 21, 2015· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com