Weekly Strategy

Sep 22 2014

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

Global Investment Strategy with focus on Emerging markets 

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

for the last week between Sep 19 and Sep 12

                                                                                                          

Focus

Objective

Asset Class

Flow US$mn

Commodities

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Commodity

3.6

Commodities

PRECIOUS METAL SECTOR

Equity

-9.4

country

AUSTRALIA

Equity

-14.8

country

AUSTRALIA

Fixed Income

0.9

country

BRAZIL

Equity

38.6

country

BRAZIL

Fixed Income

-8.7

country

CHINA

Equity

-272.9

country

CHINA

Fixed Income

15.1

country

INDIA

Equity

14.5

country

INDIA

Fixed Income

2.6

country

ISRAEL

Equity

0.0

country

JAPAN

Equity

9348.5

country

JAPAN

Mixed Allocation

250.7

country

KOREA

Equity

12.8

country

KOREA

Fixed Income

0.0

country

POLAND

Equity

2.9

country

RUSSIA

Equity

7.4

country

RUSSIA

Fixed Income

0.0

country

SOUTH AFRICA

Equity

-6.4

country

SPAIN

Equity

-3.0

country

TURKEY

Equity

0.1

country

UNITED KINGDOM

Equity

-5.8

industry

BASIC MATERIALS SECTOR

Equity

-4.0

industry

COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR

Equity

-4.6

industry

ENERGY SECTOR

Equity

165.1

industry

FINANCIAL SECTOR

Equity

11.9

industry

HEALTH CARE SECTOR

Equity

20.4

industry

INDUSTRIAL SECTOR

Equity

-1.9

industry

NATURAL RESOURCES SECTOR

Equity

-22.8

industry

REAL ESTATE SECTOR

Equity

187.1

industry

TECHNOLOGY SECTOR

Equity

-4.8

industry

UTILITIES SECTOR

Equity

36.8

region

AFRICAN REGION

Equity

-0.7

region

AFRICAN REGION

Fixed Income

0.0

region

ASIAN PACIFIC REGION

Equity

7.9

region

ASIAN PACIFIC REGION

Fixed Income

0.3

region

ASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPAN

Equity

-30.8

region

ASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPAN

Fixed Income

-0.3

region

ASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPAN

Mixed Allocation

0.0

region

EASTERN EUROPEAN REGION

Equity

-20.1

region

EASTERN EUROPEAN REGION

Fixed Income

-1.8

region

EUROPEAN REGION

Equity

351.1

region

EUROPEAN REGION

Fixed Income

-7472.7

region

LATIN AMERICAN REGION

Equity

2.0

region

LATIN AMERICAN REGION

Fixed Income

3.7

region

MIDDLE EAST REGION

Equity

-0.1

region

NORDIC REGION

Equity

-52.0

region

NORTH AMERICAN REGION

Equity

17.2

region

NORTH AMERICAN REGION

Fixed Income

-0.1

Risk

GOVERNMENT BOND

Fixed Income

20.2

Risk

INFLATION PROTECTED

Fixed Income

15.6

Risk

LONG SHORT

Alternative

68.1

Risk

LONG SHORT

Equity

6250.3

Risk

LONG SHORT

Fixed Income

0.4

segment

BRIC

Equity

-64.8

segment

BRIC

Fixed Income

-0.5

segment

DEVELOPED MARKETS

Equity

48.5

segment

EMEA

Equity

-0.6

segment

EMERGING MARKETS

Equity

-181.4

segment

GCC

Equity

-0.3

segment

MENA

Equity

0.5

segment

MENA

Fixed Income

3.5

Size

LARGE-CAP

Alternative

14.8

Size

LARGE-CAP

Equity

1553.3

Size

MID-CAP

Equity

-326.1

Size

SMALL-CAP

Equity

156.4

         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Flow Aggregates

Last week (between Sep 19 and Sep 12)  Emerging Market equity fund flows were set to outflows losing 181 mn$ which is slightly less than the previous week outflow of circa 243 mn$. EMEA funds showed 0.6$mn outflows, MENA funds of 0.5 mn$, GCC equity funds showed 0.3mn$ of outflows. Asian pacific region funds showed 8mn$ of inflows.

Frontier markets funds post small inflow of 22mn$ however.

Equity Fund Flow is mixed.

China equity funds showed 272 mn$ of outflows. India equity funds  showed inflows of 15mn$. Russia funds showed inflows of 7.4mn$ despite Sistema episode.Brazil funds showed 38mn$ of inflows. South Africa and Turkey funds flow was neutral.

Fixed Income fund flow is more quiet

Brazil outflow was 8mn$ for fixed income funds, China bond funds posted 15 mn of inflows.

Sector fund flow is mixed  energy, healthcare and real estate show  inflows. Technology funds showed outflows.

Top 5 funds receiving inflows and Top 5 funds posting outflow focusing on one of the 9 countries in the BRICS +Turkey+SK+ Australia +Canada space. We call this universe CRABSTICKS.

2014-09-19

Russia Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

Direxion Daily Russia

18.13

Equity

ETF

Market Vectors Russia

16.13

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

JPMorgan Russia Securities

0.99

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

JPMorgan Russia Equity

0.68

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Raiffeisen-Russland-Aktien

0.63

Source: MidLincoln Research

Russia Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

East Capital Lux - Russian

-7.74

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

East Capital - Russian

-5.82

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

East Capital Lux -

-4.63

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Shinhan BNPP Bonjour

-2.61

Source: MidLincoln Research

China Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Samsung CHINA2.0 Securities

31.19

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

UBS (Lux) Equity Fund

14.66

Equity

ETF

CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF

12.67

Fixed Income

FUND OF FUNDS

AB RMB Plus Bond Securities

8.88

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

First State Global

6.45

Source: MidLincoln Research

China Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Mirae Asset China H

-99.99

Equity

ETF

ChinaAMC ETF Series -

-26.61

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Shinhan BNPP Bonjour

-24.99

Equity

ETF

China Universal International

-16.36

Equity

ETF

Bosera FTSE China A50

-15.95

Source: MidLincoln Research

South Africa Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Africa

3.47

Equity

ETF

NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE

-0.01

Equity

ETF

NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa

-0.01

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Africa

-0.08

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Africa

-9.82

Source: MidLincoln Research

South Africa Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Africa

-9.82

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Africa

-0.08

Equity

ETF

NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE

-0.01

Equity

ETF

NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa

-0.01

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Africa

3.47

Source: MidLincoln Research

Korea Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Korea

23.33

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

KIM Investment Funds

3.95

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Korea UCITS

3.43

Equity

CLOSED-END FUND

Korea Equity Fund,

0.05

Equity

CLOSED-END FUND

Korea Equity Fund, Inc.

0.02

Source: MidLincoln Research

Korea Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

INVESCO Korean Equity

-6.85

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Korea UCITS

-4.10

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

HSBC Global Investment

-3.54

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

HSBC Global Investment

-2.93

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

KIM Investment Funds

-0.38

Source: MidLincoln Research

India Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

GS India Equity Portfolio

22.09

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Fidelity India Securities

7.83

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Pictet - Indian Equities

3.55

Equity

ETF

The iShares MSCI India

3.34

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

PineBridge Global Funds

2.43

Source: MidLincoln Research

India Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

DWS India is an open-end

-7.57

Equity

ETF

WisdomTree India Earnings

-6.12

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

HSBC Global Investment

-5.17

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

HSBC Global Investment

-4.47

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

DWS India is an open-end

-3.79

Source: MidLincoln Research

Turkey Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Turkey ETF

1.55

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS

-1.43

Source: MidLincoln Research

Turkey Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS

-1.43

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Turkey ETF

1.55

Source: MidLincoln Research

Brazil Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped

15.61

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

HSBC Global Investment

10.25

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Mirae Asset Brazil

8.30

Equity

ETF

Direxion Daily Brazil

6.83

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

HSBC Global Investment

6.47

Source: MidLincoln Research

Brazil Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Brazil Small-Cap

-9.42

Fixed Income

OPEN-END FUND

DWS Brazil Bond Fund

-6.87

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Shinhan BNP Bonjour

-4.15

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS

-1.59

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

SH BNPP Bonjour Great

-1.04

Source: MidLincoln Research

Australia Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Fixed Income

OPEN-END FUND

0.97

Fixed Income

OPEN-END FUND

0.13

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

UBS (Lux) Equity Fund

0.05

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

NESTOR Australien Fonds

0.02

Fixed Income

OPEN-END FUND

Daiwa Bond Fund Series

0.01

Source: MidLincoln Research

Australia Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Australia Equity Income

-10.86

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Baring International

-2.58

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Australia

-1.58

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Australia

-1.21

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Baring International

-0.19

Source: MidLincoln Research

Canada Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

First Trust Canada AlphaDEX

7.47

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Canada Small-Cap

0.00

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Canada -

-14.61

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Canada ETF

-58.04

Source: MidLincoln Research

Canada Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Canada ETF

-58.04

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Canada -

-14.61

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Canada Small-Cap

0.00

Equity

ETF

First Trust Canada AlphaDEX

7.47

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

       

 Sep  22 2014· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com