Weekly Strategy

Sep 8 2014

MidLincoln Research

Aggregates for Funds

Global Investment Strategy with focus on Emerging markets 

Midlincoln Aggregates for funds

Between Friday Sep 5 and

 August 27

                                                                      

Style

Objective

Asset

Class

Flow

US mln$

Commodities

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Commodity

-12,04

Commodities

PRECIOUS METAL SECTOR

Equity

36,08

country

AUSTRALIA

Equity

-24,19

country

AUSTRALIA

Fixed Income

0,48

country

BRAZIL

Equity

185,26

country

BRAZIL

Fixed Income

-10,70

country

CHINA

Equity

-12219,91

country

CHINA

Fixed Income

27,25

country

INDIA

Equity

0,73

country

INDIA

Fixed Income

1,29

country

ISRAEL

Equity

0,00

country

JAPAN

Equity

7158,01

country

JAPAN

Mixed Allocation

1002,40

country

KOREA

Equity

7,64

country

KOREA

Fixed Income

0,00

country

POLAND

Equity

-7,98

country

RUSSIA

Equity

176,55

country

RUSSIA

Fixed Income

-0,74

country

SOUTH AFRICA

Equity

0,15

country

SPAIN

Equity

-9,69

country

TURKEY

Equity

10,93

country

UK

Equity

192,90

industry

BASIC MATERIALS SECTOR

Equity

-3,07

industry

COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR

Equity

3,99

industry

ENERGY SECTOR

Equity

197,91

industry

FINANCIAL SECTOR

Equity

-12,60

industry

HEALTH CARE SECTOR

Equity

24,14

industry

INDUSTRIAL SECTOR

Equity

-15,01

industry

NATURAL RESOURCES SECTOR

Equity

-50,44

industry

REAL ESTATE SECTOR

Equity

42,92

industry

TECHNOLOGY SECTOR

Equity

-84,12

industry

UTILITIES SECTOR

Equity

78,79

region

AFRICAN REGION

Equity

-26,04

region

AFRICAN REGION

Fixed Income

-0,17

region

ASIAN PACIFIC REGION

Equity

-25,22

region

ASIAN PACIFIC REGION

Fixed Income

10,90

region

ASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPAN

Equity

159,49

region

ASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPAN

Fixed Income

-1,28

region

ASIAN PACIFIC REGION EX JAPAN

Mixed Allocation

-0,01

region

EASTERN EUROPEAN REGION

Equity

-185,46

region

EASTERN EUROPEAN REGION

Fixed Income

-0,15

region

EUROPEAN REGION

Equity

60,23

region

EUROPEAN REGION

Fixed Income

587,81

region

LATIN AMERICAN REGION

Equity

88,06

region

LATIN AMERICAN REGION

Fixed Income

-2,42

region

MIDDLE EAST REGION

Equity

-0,28

region

NORDIC REGION

Equity

-0,89

region

NORTH AMERICAN REGION

Equity

38,50

region

NORTH AMERICAN REGION

Fixed Income

-0,06

Risk

GOVERNMENT BOND

Fixed Income

319,83

Risk

INFLATION PROTECTED

Fixed Income

39,74

Risk

LONG SHORT

Alternative

19,14

Risk

LONG SHORT

Equity

4895,62

Risk

LONG SHORT

Fixed Income

0,38

segment

BRIC

Equity

-237,99

segment

BRIC

Fixed Income

-0,47

segment

DEVELOPED MARKETS

Equity

353,76

segment

EMEA

Equity

-0,93

segment

EMERGING MARKETS

Equity

382,06

segment

GCC

Equity

-0,37

segment

MENA

Equity

-1,75

segment

MENA

Fixed Income

0,60

Size

LARGE-CAP

Alternative

5,16

Size

LARGE-CAP

Equity

-1656

Size

MID-CAP

Equity

40,69

Size

SMALL-CAP

Equity

134,01

         

                                   

Source: Midlincoln Research

Fund Flow Aggregates

As a result of technological upgrades we were able to switch dates for our fund flow weekly report to track fund flow for the week finishing on Friday the previous week rather than Wednesday as we used to and as many other houses on the street do. This will eliminate the lag in fund flow reports and will  help to make fund flow analysis much more relevant to the current market situation.

Equity Fund Flow is mixed.

China posted substantial outflows, and this could be problematic if the fund outflows front run  some sort of bad economic outcome in China.

Overall GEM fund flow is still small inflow of c.384 mn$. Brazil showed inflow of 186mn$. BRIC funds showed 237 mn$ of outflows. Russia inflow was 176 mn$.  India inflow was 1.2mn$.  Poland funds whoed 10mn$. Australia funds showed 24mn$ of outflows.

Fixed Income fund flow is quiet

Brazil funds showed outflows of 10$mn, Russia funds showed -0.74mn$.

Sector funds show outflows except energy, healthcare and real estate.

Top 5 funds receiving inflows and Top 5 funds posting outflow focusing on one of the 9 countries in the BRICS +Turkey+SK+ Australia +Canada space. We call this universe CRABSTICKS.

2014-09-05

Russia Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

East Capital Lux -

99.99

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Russia ADR/GDR

38.36

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

East Capital Lux - Russian

23.50

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

JPMorgan Funds - Russia

13.46

Equity

ETF

Direxion Daily Russia

12.64

Source: MidLincoln Research

Russia Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Swedbank Robur Rysslandsfonden

-6.56

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

East Capital - Russian

-6.46

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

SEB Fund 2 - SEB Russia

-3.39

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

DWS Russia is an open-end

-2.44

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

SEB Fund 2 - SEB Russia

-1.63

Source: MidLincoln Research

China Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

Hang Seng Investment

99.99

Equity

ETF

Bosera FTSE China A50

88.04

Equity

ETF

ChinaAMC ETF Series -

81.36

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

KB China Securities

40.52

Equity

ETF

Deutsche X-trackers Harvest

39.98

Source: MidLincoln Research

China Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Shinhan BNPP Bonjour

-99.99

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Mirae Asset China Solomon

-99.99

Equity

ETF

Direxion Daily FTSE China

-99.99

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Shinhan BNPP Bonjour

-31.14

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

First State Global

-17.88

Source: MidLincoln Research

South Africa Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Africa

0.12

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Africa

0.04

Equity

ETF

NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE

0.00

Equity

ETF

NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa

0.00

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Africa

0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research

South Africa Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE

0.00

Equity

ETF

NEXT FUNDS FTSE/JSE Africa

0.00

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Africa

0.00

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Africa

0.04

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Africa

0.12

Source: MidLincoln Research

Korea Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Korea UCITS

52.76

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

INVESCO Korean Equity

6.93

Equity

FUND OF FUNDS

Baring Korea Feeder

2.32

Equity

CLOSED-END FUND

Korea Equity Fund,

0.01

Equity

ETF

Value Korea ETF is an

0.00

Source: MidLincoln Research

Korea Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI South Korea

-44.70

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

JPMorgan Funds - Korea

-5.38

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

KIM Investment Funds

-1.34

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

JPMorgan Funds - Korea

-1.31

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

KIM Investment Funds

-1.04

Source: MidLincoln Research

India Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

GS India Equity Portfolio

32.99

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI India ETF

10.36

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Jupiter Global Fund -

9.63

Equity

ETF

iShares India 50 ETF

9.35

Equity

ETF

WisdomTree India Earnings

7.76

Source: MidLincoln Research

India Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

JPMorgan Funds - India

-66.99

Equity

ETF

Direxion Daily India

-5.51

Equity

ETF

iPath MSCI India Index

-3.88

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Pictet - Indian Equities

-3.34

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Mirae Asset India Discovery

-2.67

Source: MidLincoln Research

Turkey Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS

13.78

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Turkey ETF

-2.85

Source: MidLincoln Research

Turkey Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Turkey ETF

-2.85

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Turkey UCITS

13.78

Source: MidLincoln Research

Brazil Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped

81.40

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS

45.98

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Deutsche Invest I Brazilian

18.81

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Deutsche Invest I Brazilian

15.77

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Deutsche DWS Brussia

9.43

Source: MidLincoln Research

Brazil Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS

-5.96

Fixed Income

OPEN-END FUND

DWS Brazil Bond Fund

-5.02

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

-2.68

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

SH BNPP Bonjour Great

-2.09

Fixed Income

OPEN-END FUND

Santander FIC FI Renda

-1.95

Source: MidLincoln Research

Australia Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Australia

4.20

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Australia

2.11

Fixed Income

OPEN-END FUND

0.81

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

NESTOR Australien Fonds

0.33

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

UBS (Lux) Equity Fund

0.24

Source: MidLincoln Research

Australia Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Australia Equity Income

-27.63

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Baring International

-2.39

Equity

OPEN-END FUND

Baring International

-1.96

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Australia

-0.26

Fixed Income

OPEN-END FUND

Daiwa Bond Fund Series

-0.14

Source: MidLincoln Research

Canada Inflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Canada ETF

68.94

Equity

ETF

First Trust Canada AlphaDEX

19.34

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Canada Small-Cap

0.00

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Canada -

-3.25

Source: MidLincoln Research

Canada Outflows

assclass

Type

prof

flow USD mln$

Equity

ETF

iShares MSCI Canada -

-3.25

Source: MidLincoln Research

Good luck! And don’t stay out of the market for too long. As the policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all.

Ovanes Oganisyan

research@midlincoln.com

       

 Sep  8 2014· Midlincoln Research · midlincoln.com