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ML Rural Crafts Laboratory News

From Automobiles into Industrials Sector

TamaraAvia Heavy Duty Automotive

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  • What's Driving the Future of Automobiles?, with Ellen Hughes ...
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  • Is This a 'Government Tracking Device' for Automobiles?
    October 10, 2019

    Top Longs Based on Momentum

    a0a
    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    LTMLATAM AIRLINES GROUP SAChileIndustrials33.37
    LTMLATAM AIRLINES GROUP SAChileIndustrials33.37
    600406NARI TECHNOLOGY LTD AChinaIndustrials18.60
    1590AIRTAC INTERNATIONAL GROUPTaiwanIndustrials16.60
    034730SK HOLDINGS LTDKorea (South)Industrials16.48
    034730SK HOLDINGS LTDKorea (South)Industrials16.48
    009540KOREA SHIPBUILDING AND OFFSHORE ENKorea (South)Industrials16.27
    009540KOREA SHIPBUILDING AND OFFSHORE ENKorea (South)Industrials16.27
    586CHINA CONCH VENTURE HOLDINGS LTDChinaIndustrials14.71
    CONCORCONTAINER CORPORATION OF INDIA LTDIndiaIndustrials13.48

    Top Shorts Based on Momentum

    9a4
    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    AGIALLIANCE GLOBAL GROUP INCPhilippinesIndustrials-16.67
    WRT1VWARTSILAFinlandIndustrials-14.41
    294870HDC OPKorea (South)Industrials-13.78
    FDXFEDEX CORPUnited StatesIndustrials-12.75
    ICTINTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SPhilippinesIndustrials-11.88
    601989CHINA SHIPBUILDING INDUSTRY LTD AChinaIndustrials-10.59
    1199COSCO SHIPPING PORTS LTDChinaIndustrials-10.23
    LDOLEONARDO FINMECCANICA SPAItalyIndustrials-9.95
    WEIRWEIR GROUP PLCUnited KingdomIndustrials-9.64
    METSOMETSOFinlandIndustrials-9.43
    36e
    MLIndexnameytd1monthFy1PE
    STRQIN Index New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)STRATAQUANT INDUSTRIALS24.476.3212.6
    MXEF Index MSCIMSCI EM6.325.8611.4

    Commodities YTD Performance

    1f40
    NameUnitsKeyLastPriceCurrencyYTDChange USDpct1month
    NickelUSD/MTNickel17555USD59.373.42
    Palladium SpotUSD/t oz.Palladium1672.06USD33.245.09
    Silver (Comex)USD/t oz.Silver17.77USD19.10-1.33
    Gold SpotUSD/t oz.Gold1505.17USD18.21-0.20
    Brent Crude (ICE)USD/bbl.Oil58.13USD15.75-9.53
    Ethanol (CBOT)USD/gal.Ethanol1.44USD13.395.11
    Rough Rice (CBOT)USD/cwtRough Rice11.90USD13.33-3.72
    Platinum SpotUSD/t oz.Platinum891.93USD12.40-4.68
    Lean Hogs (CME)USd/lb.Lean Hogs0.674USD11.770.07
    Lumber (CME)USD/1000 board feetLumber362.00USD6.97-6.00
    Cocoa (ICE)USD/MTCocoa2448.00USD5.751.83
    Corn (CBOT)USd/bu.Corn3.955USD4.707.40
    Oats (CBOT)USd/bu.Oats2.8475USD3.261.97
    Soybean (CBOT)USd/bu.Soybean9.2225USD2.813.97
    Sugar #11 (ICE)USd/lb.Sugar0.1246USD0.482.89
    Feeder Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Feeder Cattle1.4125USD-2.952.54
    Wheat (CBOT)USd/bu.Wheat5.01USD-3.002.87
    Copper (Comex)USd/lb.Copper2.5705USD-3.15-1.72
    Canola (ICE)CAD/MTCanola465.30CAD-3.762.35
    Rubber (Tokyo)JPY/kgRubber158.50JPY-5.60-7.09
    Coffee 'C' (ICE)USd/lb.Coffee0.9570000000000001USD-6.36-4.49
    3Mo Zinc (LME)USD/MT3Mo Zinc2298.00USD-7.11-2.17
    3Mo Aluminum (LME)USD/MT3Mo Aluminum1751.50USD-7.47-2.26
    Live Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Live Cattle1.1085USD-9.725.24
    Cocking CoalCNY/MTCocking Coal1260CNY-10.06-6.67
    SteelUSD/MTSteel407USD-12.47-2.16
    3Mo Tin (LME)USD/MT3Mo Tin16395.00USD-15. 3ed 38-2.70
    Cotton #2 (ICE)USd/lb.Cotton0.6115999999999999USD-15.700.81
    Orange Juice (ICE)USd/lb.Orange Juice1.023USD-20.052.40
    Natural Gas (Nymex)USD/MMBtuNatural Gas2.29USD-35.67-13.26

    Country USD Yields Ordered By YTD Yield Change

    1f40
    countryYieldYieldChange
    Argentina21.0915.27
    Jamaica14.508.35
    Zambia14.608.20
    Lebanon15.538.15
    Switzerland10.403.26
    Tunisia8.542.75
    Israel7.391.94
    Sri Lanka6.551.50
    Turkey6.791.28
    Kazakhstan6.021.25
    Ecuador7.590.72
    Gabon6.730.68
    China5.530.67
    Iraq6.860.47
    Oman5.310.36
    Nigeria6.180.36
    Angola7.280.30
    Senegal5.810.29
    Cote D'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)5.980.28
    United States5.600.27
    Costa Rica6.310.20
    Bolivia5.180.20
    Egypt6.200.17
    India4.730.13
    Ethiopia5.820.01
    Ghana6.08-0.01
    Pakistan6.25-0.07
    Kenya5.53-0.16
    South Africa4.81-0.19
    El Salvador6.28-0.24
    Dominican Republic4.67-0.26
    Mexico4.28-0.31
    Italy3.63-0.32
    Slovak Republic2.12-0.36
    Mongolia5.06-0.36
    Jordan5.81-0.37
    Trinidad and Tobago3.78-0.39
    Ukraine6.53-0.40
    Macau4.61-0.42
    Panama3.78-0.50
    Lithuania1.96-0.51
    Romania2.80-0.53
    Hong Kong3.42-0.55
    Morocco3.37-0.58
    Uruguay3.12-0.59
    Singapore3.41-0.62
    Paraguay4.53-0.63
    Indonesia3.31-0.67
    Kuwait3.17-0.67
    Chile3.65-0.69
    Canada4.98-0.69
    Malaysia2.96-0.70
    Hungary2.54-0.71
    Saudi Arabia3.98-0.72
    Serbia2.41-0.75
    Peru3.35-0.76
    Russian Federation3.71-0.77
    Poland1.97-0.77
    Guatemala3.95-0.78
    Finland3.26-0.78
    United Arab Emirates3.33-0.79
    Australia3.88-0.82
    Taiwan2.60-0.85
    Ireland3.54-0.87
    Belgium4.53-0.87
    Azerbaijan3.85-0.91
    Philippines2.51-0.91
    Vietnam2.79-0.93
    Colombia3.61-0.96
    United Kingdom3.82-1.01
    Croatia (Hrvatska)2.31-1.03
    Qatar2.83-1.05
    Thailand3.00-1.07
    Netherlands3.77-1.08
    Brazil3.95-1.10
    Korea (South)2.71-1.11
    Sweden2.79-1.25
    Bahrain4.89-1.42
    France4.92-1.76
    Luxembourg6.40-3.28
    Venezuela0.00-53.30
  • Industrials Regional Performance Last Month

    1149
    SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
    Transportation: Transportation Infrastructure-2.67-2.67-0.27-0.41
    Commercial & Professional Services: Commercial Services & Supplies-3.66-3.451.06-1.31
    Commercial & Professional Services Industry Group-3.15-2.540.97-1.46
    Commercial & Professional Services: Professional Services-3.03-2.270.54-1.56
    Transportation: Marine-2.770.00-1.03-1.65
    Capital Goods: Trading Companies & Distributors-2.02-3.73-1.30-2.04
    Capital Goods: Aerospace & Defense-2.90-2.07-2.85-2.47
    Capital Goods: Building Products-3.88-4.48-6.19-2.65
    Capital Goods: Construction & Engineering-2.76-2.79-2.36-2.91
    Transportation: Airlines-4.19-2.77-1.90-2.91
    Industrials Sector-3.60-3.07-1.00-3.36
    Transportation Industry Group-4.04-4.21-1.34-3.59
    Transportation: Road & Rail0.000.00-1.86-3.60
    Capital Goods Industry Group-3.64-2.96-0.92-3.64
    Capital Goods: Machinery-4.16-2.71-0.53-4.45
    Capital Goods: Electrical Equipment-5.58-4.62-3.47-5.00
    Capital Goods: Industrial Conglomerates-3.13-2.910.52-5.05
    Transportation: Air Freight & Logistics-5.39-6.04-5.10-5.17

    Industrials Regional Performance YTD

    1155
    SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
    Capital Goods: Aerospace & Defense21.2527.36-16.3425.86
    Commercial & Professional Services: Professional Services16.3920.6619.1525.73
    Commercial & Professional Services Industry Group14.4718.6017.7324.41
    Capital Goods: Building Products16.3811.49-38.2623.80
    Commercial & Professional Services: Commercial Services & Supplies5.5911.9517.3522.41
    Transportation: Transportation Infrastructure9.989.987.6515.23
    Industrials Sector11.6513.86-3.3913.42
    Capital Goods Industry Group11.4914.48-10.2512.85
    Transportation: Road & Rail0.000.0026.6012.47
    Capital Goods: Construction & Engineering22.2622.10-13.2612.09
    Capital Goods: Electrical Equipment8.2616.90-12.4710.45
    Transportation Industry Group8.837.028.229.25
    Capital Goods: Machinery6.144.75-1.058.50
    Transportation: Marine4.360.002.156.64
    Capital Goods: Trading Companies & Distributors12.6517.2913.656.07
    Transportation: Air Freight & Logistics10.4412.844.752.98
    Capital Goods: Industrial Conglomerates-4.43-6.58-12.060.51
    Transportation: Airlines-25.10-32.65-4.28-5.09

    Industrials Performance in Various Countries Last Month

    dda
    countryPeriodChange
    Chile33.37
    South Africa6.29
    India5.65
    Japan5.48
    Mexico3.97
    Indonesia2.56
    Turkey2.52
    Korea (South)2.24
    Taiwan2.22
    Singapore1.90
    Brazil1.82
    Vietnam1.76
    Malaysia0.78
    China0.24
    Qatar0.00
    Sri Lanka0.00
    Spain-0.40
    Australia-0.41
    Sweden-0.44
    Thailand-0.50
    Denmark-0.77
    United Kingdom-0.81
    France-0.88
    Germany-0.94
    Kuwait-1.09
    Switzerland-1.73
    Netherlands-1.86
    United States-2.19
    United Arab Emirates-2.21
    Hong Kong-4.22
    Morocco-4.28
    Philippines-4.53
    New Zealand-5.77
    Canada-6.54
    Italy-6.89
    Egypt-6.98
    Bangladesh-8.33
    Finland-11.92

    Industrials Valuation and Growth in Various Countries (Simple Averages)

    1471
    CountryPEFy0PEFy12019Growth
    DENMARK9.7211.4759.02
    ITALY27.835.7153.20
    INDONESIA14.1018.0732.94
    AUSTRALIA16.7910.9232.40
    BRAZIL16.5116.6317.56
    RUSSIA5.631.9213.37
    CHINA11.6110.0312.41
    HONG KONG5.646.5810.91
    SPAIN15.1112.999.63
    FINLAND15.6414.429.17
    SOUTH AFRICA11.7111.129.06
    JAPAN12.6411.828.91
    CANADA16.4215.688.54
    UNITED STATES15.6213.838.17
    INDIA10.027.557.71
    PHILIPPINES17.5315.406.54
    GERMANY18.958.955.25
    MALAYSIA14.7915.533.50
    TAIWAN14.2110.913.06
    SOUTH KOREA8.738.522.43
    UAE0.000.000.00
    SINGAPORE0.000.000.00
    FRANCE21.7517.70-0.10
    CHILE0.000.00-0.70
    SWEDEN13.1214.86-0.77
    CYPRUS3.186.02-0.98
    BRITAIN17.6715.91-4.33
    NETHERLANDS18.1118.00-6.36
    SWITZERLAND0.000.00-6.45
    MEXICO12.2611.98-19.69
    TURKEY6.468.68-20.35
    1f40
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    Valuation and Growth of Various Sectors in Industrials

    35
    3a5
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    450
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    426
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    Link to Industrials Macro Page 39

    Industrials sector trades at 2019 simple average 13 PE Fy1 of 20.2 x a and 2020 13 PE Fy2 of 12.6 x 39

    Industrials sector trades at 2019 simple average 16 EV/EBITDA of 8.3 x a and 2020 15 EV/EBITDA of 7.7 x 46

    In terms of Dividend yield Industrials sector trades at 2019 1c Yield of 2.4 % and 2020 52 Dividend Yield of 2.5 %

    On ROE basis Industrials sector trades at 2019 1b ROE of 11.5 % and 2020 4b ROE of 11.1 %

    Industrials subindustries by 2019 EBITDA Margin %

    ab0
    Industry2019 EBITDA Margin
    Highways & Railtracks55.7
    Marine Ports & Services50.5
    Airport Services57.6
    Railroads40.0
    Diversified Support Services23.2
    Environmental & Facilities Ser25.8
    Office Services & Supplies21.8
    Research & Consulting Services31.0
    Airlines19.4
    Security & Alarm Services25.2
    Industrial Machinery16.4
    Building Products14.5
    Construction & Engineering7.9
    Trucking13.1
    Heavy Electrical Equipment8.4
    Industrial Conglomerates17.2
    Agricultural & Farm Machinery10.6
    Electrical Components & Equipm13.3
    Aerospace & Defense14.4
    Air Freight & Logistics9.7
    Human Resource & Employment Se7.6
    Construction Machinery & Heavy11.8
    Trading Companies & Distributo9.5
    Marine10.1
    Transportation & Logistics0.0

    Industrials most profitable companies by 2019 EBITDA Margin %

    a1e
    Industrycompany2019 EBITDA Margin
    Highways & RailtracksOHL Mexico SAB de CV84.8
    Airport ServicesSydney Airport81.5
    Highways & RailtracksZhejiang Expressway Co Ltd78.1
    Marine Ports & ServicesChina Merchants Port Holdings Co Ltd68.6
    Highways & RailtracksAbertis Infraestructuras SA67.6
    Highways & RailtracksTransurban Group66.7
    Airport ServicesGrupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico SAB de CV66.0
    Highways & RailtracksJiangsu Expressway Co Ltd64.5
    Highways & RailtracksAtlantia SpA64.5
    Marine Ports & ServicesGlobal Ports Investments PLC64.2
    Marine Ports & ServicesAdani Ports & Special Economic Zone Ltd63.8
    Highways & RailtracksCCR SA63.2
    Airport ServicesGrupo Aeroportuario del Sureste SAB de CV62.6
    Airport ServicesAirports of Thailand PCL60.4
    Highways & RailtracksJasa Marga Persero Tbk PT59.9

    Companies in Industrials By Market Share %

    658
    companymarketshare
    Mitsubishi Corp3.0
    General Electric Co2.5
    China Railway Group Ltd2.3
    China Railway Construction Corp Ltd2.2
    SK Holdings Co Ltd/Old2.1
    ITOCHU Corp2.1
    Boeing Co/The2.1
    Siemens AG2.0
    SK Holdings Co Ltd1.9
    CITIC Ltd1.8
    Airbus SE1.5
    China Communications Construction Co Ltd1.5
    Deutsche Post AG1.5
    United Parcel Service Inc1.5
    FedEx Corp1.4

    Countries Market Share in Industrials %

    582
    countrymarketshare
    UNITED STATES29.4
    JAPAN14.2
    SOUTH KOREA10.5
    CHINA9.8
    FRANCE7.6
    GERMANY4.4
    DENMARK3.7
    BRITAIN2.9
    HONG KONG2.6
    SWEDEN2.5
    SWITZERLAND2.1
    SPAIN1.4
    TAIWAN1.2
    INDIA1.2
    TURKEY1.1
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    Largest Companies in Industrials by Market Capitalisation mn$

    177c
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryMarketCapUSDmn
    BA USBoeing Co/TheUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense210993.7
    HON USHoneywell International IncUNITED STATESCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates115006.2
    UTX USUnited Technologies CorpUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense113870.8
    LMT USLockheed Martin CorpUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense108612.9
    UNP USUnion Pacific CorpUNITED STATESTransportationRailroads107955.1
    AIR FPAirbus SEFRANCECapital GoodsAerospace & Defense99277.9
    UPS USUnited Parcel Service IncUNITED STATESTransportationAir Freight & Logistics97772.2
    SIE GRSiemens AGGERMANYCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates89564.8
    MMM US3M CoUNITED STATESCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates86861.4
    GE USGeneral Electric CoUNITED STATESCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates72871.1
    SAF FPSafran SAFRANCECapital GoodsAerospace & Defense70957.1
    CAT USCaterpillar IncUNITED STATESCapital GoodsConstruction Machinery & Heavy67195.7
    DG FPVinci SAFRANCECapital GoodsConstruction & Engineering64040.9
    NOC USNorthrop Grumman CorpUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense62202.3
    CNR CNCanadian National Railway CoCANADATransportationRailroads61055.6
    RTN USRaytheon CoUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense54618.2
    CSX USCSX CorpUNITED STATESTransportationRailroads52851.2
    DE USDeere & CoUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAgricultural & Farm Machinery52404.3
    GD USGeneral Dynamics CorpUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense51139.9
    SU FPSchneider Electric SEFRANCECapital GoodsElectrical Components & Equipm49218.6

    Number of Companies in Industrials by Country by SubIndustry and Market Capitalisation mn$

    122b
    CountryIndustrySubIndustryNumber of companiesMarketCapUSDmn
    RussiaTransportation & LogisticsTransportation & Logistics12456.2
    SOUTH KOREATransportationAirlines11823.4
    SOUTH KOREATransportationMarine1900.3
    SOUTH KOREATransportationAir Freight & Logistics14696.3
    CHINATransportationAirlines225730.1
    HONG KONGTransportationMarine Ports & Services27789.9
    CHINATransportationHighways & Railtracks210856.3
    CHINATransportationMarine211194.0
    TAIWANTransportationMarine54642.5
    TAIWANTransportationAirlines23773.5
    HONG KONGTransportationRailroads133510.1
    CHINATransportationAirport Services14041.4
    JAPANTransportationRailroads242563.8
    JAPANTransportationAir Freight & Logistics16430.8
    JAPANTransportationAirlines222470.0
    UNITED STATESTransportationAirlines369323.5
    SPAINTransportationHighways & Railtracks10.0
    INDIATransportationMarine Ports & Services111648.9
    RUSSIATransportationAirlines11724.3
    AUSTRALIATransportationRailroads27869.0

    Top Companies Industrials by Dividend Yield

    70d
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryDividendYld_fy1
    HMSG LIHMS HYDRAULIC MACHINES & SYSTEMS GROUP PLCRUSSIACapital GoodsIndustrial Machinery17.9
    GLTR LIGlobaltrans Investment PLCCYPRUSTransportationRailroads16.9
    1199 HKCOSCO SHIPPING Ports LtdHONG KONGTransportationMarine Ports & Services12.1
    NMTP RMNorosiisk Sea PortRussiaTransportation & LogisticsTransportation & Logistics11.8
    NCSP LINovorossiysk Commercial Sea Port PJSCRUSSIATransportationMarine Ports & Services11.4

    Cheapest Companies in Industrials on FY1 PE

    b6f
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryPE_fy1
    012630 KSHyundai Development Co-Engineering & ConstructionSOUTH KOREACapital GoodsConstruction & Engineering3.4
    1800 HKChina Communications Construction Co LtdCHINACapital GoodsConstruction & Engineering4.2
    042670 KSDoosan Infracore Co LtdSOUTH KOREACapital GoodsIndustrial Machinery4.3
    363 HKShanghai Industrial Holdings LtdHONG KONGCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates4.7
    IAG SMInternational Consolidated Airlines Group SABRITAINTransportationAirlines4.7
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