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ML Rural Crafts Laboratory News

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From Automobiles into Industrials Sector

TamaraAvia Heavy Duty Automotive

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    March 1, 2019

    Top Longs Based on Momentum

    9e3
    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    SISETURKIYE SISE VE CAM FABRIKALARI ATurkeyIndustrials36.46
    SISETURKIYE SISE VE CAM FABRIKALARI ATurkeyIndustrials36.46
    ASURBGRUPO AEROPORTUARIO DEL SURESTE BMexicoIndustrials35.27
    JGSJG SUMMIT HOLDINGS INCPhilippinesIndustrials34.78
    RENT3LOCALIZA RENT A CAR SABrazilIndustrials31.70
    GAPBGRUPO AEROPORTUARIO DEL PACIFICOMexicoIndustrials29.97
    2338WEICHAI POWER LTD HChinaIndustrials25.23
    ALFAAALFA AMexicoIndustrials24.75
    ALFAAALFA AMexicoIndustrials24.75
    010140SAMSUNG HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTDKorea (South)Industrials23.56

    Top Shorts Based on Momentum

    9b6
    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    607FULLSHARE HOLDINGS LTDChinaIndustrials-39.47
    ASHOKLEYASHOK LEYLAND LTDIndiaIndustrials-29.19
    SNCSNC LAVALIN INCCanadaIndustrials-23.68
    FDXFEDEX CORPUnited StatesIndustrials-22.46
    XPOXPO LOGISTICS INCUnited StatesIndustrials-19.88
    DALDELTA AIR LINES INCUnited StatesIndustrials-18.58
    694BEIJING CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL AIRPChinaIndustrials-16.22
    028050SAMSUNG ENGINEERING LTDKorea (South)Industrials-13.26
    ARNCARCONIC INCUnited StatesIndustrials-12.38
    INTEGRATEDINTEGRATED HOLDING COMPANYKuwaitIndustrials-11.74
    36d
    MLIndexnameytd1monthFy1PE
    STRQIN Index New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)STRATAQUANT INDUSTRIALS5.820.3511.6
    MXEF Index MSCIMSCI EM3.393.5110.0

    Commodities YTD Performance

    1f40
    3cc
    NameUnitsKeyLastPriceCurrencyYTDChange USDpct1month
    Brent Crude (ICE)USD/bbl.Oil61.31USD22.082.06
    Rubber (Tokyo)JPY/kgRubber180.00JPY7.2110.43
    Palladium SpotUSD/t oz.Palladium1333.09USD6.239.16
    Lean Hogs (CME)USd/lb.Lean Hogs0.6378USD5.77-5.86
    Silver (Comex)USD/t oz.Silver15.73USD5.439.01
    Platinum SpotUSD/t oz.Platinum824.13USD3.864.17
    Oats (CBOT)USd/bu.Oats2.8625USD3.810.88
    3Mo Tin (LME)USD/MT3Mo Tin20065.00USD3.564.61
    Sugar #11 (ICE)USd/lb.Sugar0.1275USD2.821.43
    Soybean (CBOT)USd/bu.Soybean9.22USD2.791.57
    Rough Rice (CBOT)USD/cwtRough Rice10.79USD2.76-0.46
    Live Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Live Cattle1.258USD2.462.79
    Coffee 'C' (ICE)USd/lb.Coffee1.0454999999999999USD2.30-1.27
    Cocking CoalCNY/MTCocking Coal1423CNY1.57-6.38
    Gold SpotUSD/t oz.Gold1291.54USD1.434.48
    Cocoa (ICE)USD/MTCocoa2346.00USD1.3410.61
    Corn (CBOT)USd/bu.Corn3.8175USD1.06-0.33
    Ethanol (CBOT)USD/gal.Ethanol1.28USD0.791.59
    3Mo Zinc (LME)USD/MT3Mo Zinc2492.00USD0.73-4.81
    Wheat (CBOT)USd/bu.Wheat5.1825USD0.340.63
    Cotton #2 (ICE)USd/lb.Cotton0.7277USD0.30-9.22
    Canola (ICE)CAD/MTCanola484.10CAD0.120.06
    NickelUSD/MTNickel11015USD0.000.00
    Copper (Comex)USd/lb.Copper2.645USD-0.34-2.67
    Feeder Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Feeder Cattle1.449USD-0.45-0.40
    Lumber (CME)USD/1000 board feetLumber336.30USD-0.624.51
    3Mo Aluminum (LME)USD/MT3Mo Aluminum1852.50USD-2.14-5.92
    Orange Juice (ICE)USd/lb.Orange Juice1.251USD-2.23-13.06
    SteelUSD/MTSteel450USD-3.23-4.36
    Natural Gas (Nymex)USD/MMBtuNatural Gas3.07USD-13.76-29.91

    Country USD Yields Ordered By YTD Yield Change

    1f40
    countryYieldYieldChange
    Bermuda21.8713.22
    Zambia12.476.08
    Lebanon12.505.22
    Argentina9.403.72
    Tunisia9.213.42
    Ecuador9.632.88
    Ukraine9.362.57
    Turkey7.922.52
    Sri Lanka7.142.22
    Italy7.182.20
    Gabon8.212.16
    Oman6.631.89
    Jamaica7.981.88
    Kazakhstan6.501.86
    India6.361.75
    Egypt7.471.69
    Ghana7.731.68
    Kenya7.351.66
    Cote D'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)7.321.62
    Costa Rica7.601.59
    China6.211.58
    Senegal6.991.47
    Trinidad and Tobago5.641.47
    Nigeria7.301.42
    Bolivia6.331.35
    Pakistan7.471.33
    Singapore5.361.33
    Macau6.241.21
    Romania4.501.17
    Switzerland8.281.14
    Australia5.831.13
    Thailand4.801.07
    Jordan7.211.03
    Ethiopia6.831.02
    United States6.441.01
    Russian Federation5.391.00
    South Africa5.850.98
    Belgium6.380.98
    Lithuania3.430.96
    El Salvador7.450.94
    Dominican Republic5.750.92
    Mexico5.430.91
    Hong Kong4.840.90
    Serbia4.020.89
    Hungary3.990.83
    Chile5.150.81
    Morocco4.670.80
    Indonesia4.730.80
    Panama4.890.77
    Malaysia4.350.75
    Iraq7.140.75
    Slovak Republic3.210.73
    Mongolia6.150.73
    Netherlands5.570.72
    France7.380.71
    Vietnam4.410.70
    United Kingdom6.310.70
    Kuwait4.290.69
    Uruguay4.380.67
    Peru4.780.67
    Brazil6.290.67
    Angola7.610.63
    Poland3.290.59
    Croatia (Hrvatska)3.860.59
    Supranational4.160.59
    Saudi Arabia5.280.58
    Canada6.210.57
    Qatar4.360.56
    Guatemala5.290.56
    United Arab Emirates4.820.54
    Sweden4.560.52
    Colombia4.990.51
    Philippines3.910.49
    Taiwan3.900.45
    Ireland5.770.43
    Korea (South)4.120.42
    Germany5.560.42
    Finland4.420.38
    Paraguay5.530.37
    Israel5.760.34
    Azerbaijan4.930.17
    Bahrain6.04-0.14
    Luxembourg8.43-0.86
    Venezuela0.13-52.37
  • Industrials Regional Performance Last Month 111b
    SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
    Capital Goods: Aerospace & Defense4.494.68-1.716.71
    Capital Goods: Building Products5.595.91-3.544.69
    Capital Goods: Electrical Equipment4.667.45-1.814.00
    Transportation: Road & Rail1.290.000.023.74
    Capital Goods Industry Group2.842.86-2.643.59
    Industrials Sector2.422.45-2.343.27
    Transportation Industry Group0.850.51-2.102.83
    Transportation: Air Freight & Logistics1.811.82-2.212.62
    Capital Goods: Industrial Conglomerates-1.96-3.03-2.882.47
    Commercial & Professional Services: Commercial Services & Supplies0.860.930.492.19
    Capital Goods: Machinery2.182.36-3.402.15
    Commercial & Professional Services Industry Group1.641.841.042.11
    Commercial & Professional Services: Professional Services1.802.123.492.07
    Transportation: Airlines0.520.88-2.710.90
    Capital Goods: Construction & Engineering1.241.32-1.990.63
    Transportation: Marine2.100.00-0.770.58
    Capital Goods: Trading Companies & Distributors3.393.62-0.190.22
    Transportation: Transportation Infrastructure-0.72-0.72-2.80-0.60

    Industrials Regional Performance YTD

    1135
    SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
    Capital Goods: Aerospace & Defense18.2118.570.5321.19
    Transportation: Road & Rail22.970.0014.1614.09
    Capital Goods Industry Group10.259.793.3113.77
    Industrials Sector9.969.704.7413.01
    Capital Goods: Building Products7.937.452.3712.15
    Transportation Industry Group10.779.597.2811.99
    Capital Goods: Machinery10.287.895.8911.67
    Capital Goods: Electrical Equipment9.4713.091.7911.60
    Capital Goods: Industrial Conglomerates-1.84-4.263.7711.36
    Commercial & Professional Services: Professional Services8.519.0515.4210.89
    Commercial & Professional Services Industry Group8.039.049.0210.26
    Transportation: Air Freight & Logistics8.999.556.129.74
    Commercial & Professional Services: Commercial Services & Supplies5.698.997.659.31
    Capital Goods: Trading Companies & Distributors14.2516.5912.579.00
    Transportation: Airlines10.859.754.958.58
    Transportation: Transportation Infrastructure9.589.586.407.88
    Capital Goods: Construction & Engineering9.099.030.647.86
    Transportation: Marine8.200.003.287.64

    Industrials Performance in Various Countries Last Month

    dd4
    countryPeriodChange
    Mexico25.51
    Indonesia20.69
    Philippines17.92
    Chile17.19
    Thailand17.18
    Bangladesh15.38
    Brazil14.48
    Turkey12.93
    Egypt11.11
    United Arab Emirates8.80
    Morocco8.48
    Spain7.72
    Korea (South)7.26
    Sweden6.72
    Malaysia6.54
    Qatar5.99
    United Kingdom5.79
    Italy4.97
    China3.88
    Denmark3.20
    South Africa3.11
    New Zealand3.03
    Singapore2.71
    Switzerland1.78
    Finland1.65
    Argentina1.00
    France0.54
    Australia0.52
    Japan0.47
    Taiwan-0.42
    United States-1.56
    Netherlands-3.61
    Hong Kong-3.73
    Kuwait-4.03
    Germany-4.33
    India-6.52
    Canada-7.27
    Vietnam-9.82

    Industrials Valuation and Growth in Various Countries (Simple Averages)

    147f
    CountryPEFy0PEFy12018Growth
    CHILE0.000.00156.06
    TURKEY8.9810.5555.43
    FINLAND16.8915.2151.25
    AUSTRALIA17.798.9039.39
    FRANCE21.8019.5138.23
    MALAYSIA14.5614.7432.53
    SPAIN22.7218.9130.85
    CANADA22.9519.8829.29
    ITALY23.3126.5327.13
    JAPAN15.0814.6526.80
    SOUTH AFRICA12.7615.3723.49
    UNITED STATES20.7217.0321.32
    GERMANY20.7618.4220.32
    NETHERLANDS23.8816.6319.51
    HONG KONG10.319.8919.25
    SOUTH KOREA2.6710.7618.11
    CHINA11.2912.4517.42
    SWITZERLAND0.000.0015.57
    SWEDEN20.1517.5314.82
    BRITAIN16.2017.0611.37
    RUSSIA2.643.349.80
    TAIWAN10.799.559.73
    DENMARK22.0818.957.64
    PHILIPPINES17.6220.515.41
    INDIA8.4611.131.92
    CYPRUS15.4910.050.37
    UAE0.000.000.00
    MEXICO15.3716.40-5.34
    BRAZIL10.9015.19-7.16
    INDONESIA21.1118.77-10.82
    SINGAPORE0.000.00-14.47
    1f40
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    Valuation and Growth of Various Sectors in Industrials

    35
    3a9
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    41d
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    Link to Industrials Macro Page 39

    Industrials sector trades at 2018 simple average 13 PE Fy1 of 14.2 x a and 2018 13 PE Fy2 of 13.2 x 39

    Industrials sector trades at 2018 simple average 16 EV/EBITDA of 9.3 x a and 2018 15 EV/EBITDA of 8.7 x 46

    In terms of Dividend yield Industrials sector trades at 2018 12 Yield of 2.0 % a and 2018 1a Dividend Yield of 2.0 % 38

    On ROE basis Industrials sector trades at 2018 11 ROE of 12.2 % a and 2018 10 ROE of 12.9 % 47

    Largest Companies in Industrials by Market Capitalisation mn$

    179c
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryMarketCapUSDmn
    BA USBoeing Co/TheUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense208937.6
    MMM US3M CoUNITED STATESCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates140937.0
    GE USGeneral Electric CoUNITED STATESCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates130514.9
    SIE GRSiemens AGGERMANYCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates116904.0
    HON USHoneywell International IncUNITED STATESCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates115830.9
    UNP USUnion Pacific CorpUNITED STATESTransportationRailroads104637.3
    UTX USUnited Technologies CorpUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense103379.3
    LMT USLockheed Martin CorpUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense102956.8
    CAT USCaterpillar IncUNITED STATESCapital GoodsConstruction Machinery & Heavy93402.9
    UPS USUnited Parcel Service IncUNITED STATESTransportationAir Freight & Logistics91397.6
    AIR FPAirbus SEFRANCECapital GoodsAerospace & Defense90909.4
    GD USGeneral Dynamics CorpUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense66569.6
    FDX USFedEx CorpUNITED STATESTransportationAir Freight & Logistics65416.0
    RTN USRaytheon CoUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense62816.4
    NOC USNorthrop Grumman CorpUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense61975.2
    DG FPVinci SAFRANCECapital GoodsConstruction & Engineering60382.9
    DPW GRDeutsche Post AGGERMANYTransportationAir Freight & Logistics56423.4
    CNR CNCanadian National Railway CoCANADATransportationRailroads56276.3
    ITW USIllinois Tool Works IncUNITED STATESCapital GoodsIndustrial Machinery55518.3
    DE USDeere & CoUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAgricultural & Farm Machinery54772.7

    Number of Companies in Industrials by Country by SubIndustry and Market Capitalisation mn$

    1232
    CountryIndustrySubIndustryNumber of companiesMarketCapUSDmn
    RussiaTransportation & LogisticsTransportation & Logistics12814.4
    SOUTH KOREATransportationAirlines13235.1
    SOUTH KOREATransportationMarine11306.1
    SOUTH KOREATransportationAir Freight & Logistics14673.6
    CHINATransportationAirlines242320.0
    HONG KONGTransportationMarine Ports & Services210559.1
    CHINATransportationHighways & Railtracks212567.9
    CHINATransportationMarine213153.8
    TAIWANTransportationMarine57406.5
    TAIWANTransportationAirlines24243.8
    HONG KONGTransportationRailroads131415.6
    CHINATransportationAirport Services16201.5
    JAPANTransportationRailroads242146.3
    JAPANTransportationAir Freight & Logistics110613.5
    JAPANTransportationAirlines227740.1
    UNITED STATESTransportationAirlines382598.7
    SPAINTransportationHighways & Railtracks123932.7
    INDIATransportationMarine Ports & Services112666.7
    RUSSIATransportationAirlines12704.9
    AUSTRALIATransportationRailroads27261.9

    Top Companies Industrials by Dividend Yield

    6ef
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryDividendYld_fy1
    144 HKChina Merchants Port Holdings Co LtdHONG KONGTransportationMarine Ports & Services11.4
    GLTR LIGlobaltrans Investment PLCCYPRUSTransportationRailroads10.7
    HMSG LIHMS HYDRAULIC MACHINES & SYSTEMS GROUP PLCRUSSIACapital GoodsIndustrial Machinery10.5
    AFLT RMAeroflot PJSCRUSSIATransportationAirlines9.1
    CPI LNCapita PLCBRITAINCommercial & Professional ServHuman Resource & Employment Se8.3

    Cheapest Companies in Industrials on FY1 PE

    756
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryPE_fy1
    042660 KSDaewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering Co LtdSOUTH KOREACapital GoodsConstruction Machinery & Heavy1.4
    6502 JPToshiba CorpJAPANCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates3.7
    HMSG LIHMS HYDRAULIC MACHINES & SYSTEMS GROUP PLCRUSSIACapital GoodsIndustrial Machinery3.9
    CPI LNCapita PLCBRITAINCommercial & Professional ServHuman Resource & Employment Se3.9
    047040 KSDaewoo Engineering & Construction Co LtdSOUTH KOREACapital GoodsConstruction & Engineering5.1


    Earnings Relises and Dividends

    4c4
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