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From Automobiles into Industrials Sector

TamaraAvia Heavy Duty Automotive

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    July 24, 2019
    24

    Top Longs Based on Momentum

    9e8
    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    WEGE3WEG SABrazilIndustrials26.10
    601989CHINA SHIPBUILDING INDUSTRY LTD AChinaIndustrials20.83
    002202XINJIANG GOLDWIND SCIENCE&TECHNOLOChinaIndustrials18.59
    6098COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS LChinaIndustrials18.23
    600009SHANGHAI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LTDChinaIndustrials17.69
    RAIL3RUMO SABrazilIndustrials17.34
    RAIL3RUMO SABrazilIndustrials17.34
    2208XINJIANG GOLDWIND SCIENCE AND TECHChinaIndustrials16.50
    AIRPORTMALAYSIA AIRPORTS HOLDINGSMalaysiaIndustrials16.39
    AIRPORTMALAYSIA AIRPORTS HOLDINGSMalaysiaIndustrials16.39

    Top Shorts Based on Momentum

    9d7
    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    IQCDINDUSTRIES QATARQatarIndustrials-89.89
    607FULLSHARE HOLDINGS LTDChinaIndustrials-50.00
    000120CJ LOGISTICS CORPKorea (South)Industrials-16.04
    INDIGOINTERGLOBE AVIATION LTDIndiaIndustrials-14.72
    012630HDC HOLDINGS LTDKorea (South)Industrials-13.57
    012630HDC HOLDINGS LTDKorea (South)Industrials-13.57
    003490KOREAN AIR LINES LTDKorea (South)Industrials-12.65
    294870HDC OPKorea (South)Industrials-12.20
    006360GS ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION CORPKorea (South)Industrials-12.12
    006360GS ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION CORPKorea (South)Industrials-12.12
    36e
    MLIndexnameytd1monthFy1PE
    STRQIN Index New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)STRATAQUANT INDUSTRIALS24.906.5713.9
    MXEF Index MSCIMSCI EM9.695.3911.5

    Commodities YTD Performance

    1f40
    NameUnitsKeyLastPriceCurrencyYTDChange USDpct1month
    Brent Crude (ICE)USD/bbl.Oil66.91USD33.237.11
    Palladium SpotUSD/t oz.Palladium1558.10USD24.1612.45
    Ethanol (CBOT)USD/gal.Ethanol1.55USD22.055.44
    NickelUSD/MTNickel13085USD18.7912.90
    Lean Hogs (CME)USd/lb.Lean Hogs0.716USD18.74-16.94
    Corn (CBOT)USd/bu.Corn4.4775USD18.538.28
    Rough Rice (CBOT)USD/cwtRough Rice11.90USD13.331.45
    Gold SpotUSD/t oz.Gold1409.22USD10.676.09
    Cocoa (ICE)USD/MTCocoa2491.00USD7.60-0.48
    Lumber (CME)USD/1000 board feetLumber355.80USD5.149.71
    Coffee 'C' (ICE)USd/lb.Coffee1.0695000000000001USD4.658.47
    Rubber (Tokyo)JPY/kgRubber175.50JPY4.53-14.31
    Platinum SpotUSD/t oz.Platinum825.97USD4.092.40
    Soybean (CBOT)USd/bu.Soybean9.17USD2.237.41
    Silver (Comex)USD/t oz.Silver15.16USD1.613.34
    Copper (Comex)USd/lb.Copper2.693USD1.470.43
    Oats (CBOT)USd/bu.Oats2.7875USD1.09-5.51
    Wheat (CBOT)USd/bu.Wheat5.2075USD0.823.53
    Sugar #11 (ICE)USd/lb.Sugar0.12380000000000001USD-0.16-0.16
    SteelUSD/MTSteel464USD-0.22-2.52
    3Mo Zinc (LME)USD/MT3Mo Zinc2428.00USD-1.86-1.94
    Cocking CoalCNY/MTCocking Coal1374 CNY-1.930.29
    Feeder Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Feeder Cattle1.4263USD-2.012.01
    3Mo Aluminum (LME)USD/MT3Mo Aluminum1828.00USD-3.432.99
    3Mo Tin (LME)USD/MT3Mo Tin18345.00USD-5.32-4.65
    Canola (ICE)CAD/MTCanola445.40CAD-7.88-3.80
    Live Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Live Cattle1.0933USD-10.952.85
    Cotton #2 (ICE)USd/lb.Cotton0.6331USD-12.74-3.71
    Orange Juice (ICE)USd/lb.Orange Juice1.0255USD-19.850.89
    Natural Gas (Nymex)USD/MMBtuNatural Gas2.41USD-32.301.69

    Country USD Yields Ordered By YTD Yield Change

    1f40
    countryYieldYieldChange
    Zambia14.938.53
    Jamaica12.005.94
    Argentina9.793.98
    Lebanon10.543.16
    Turkey7.381.90
    Tunisia7.331.54
    Switzerland8.451.31
    Sri Lanka6.211.24
    Oman5.780.83
    Cote D'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)6.370.67
    Senegal6.070.55
    Gabon6.570.52
    Kazakhstan5.260.49
    Israel5.940.49
    Trinidad and Tobago4.400.24
    India4.790.23
    China5.050.21
    Ecuador7.040.17
    Italy5.140.16
    El Salvador6.670.15
    Mexico4.670.06
    Lithuania2.490.02
    Egypt6.030.00
    Ghana6.03-0.08
    United States5.28-0.08
    Ukraine6.68-0.11
    Romania3.21-0.12
    Slovak Republic2.36-0.12
    Singapore3.86-0.17
    Dominican Republic4.74-0.19
    Costa Rica5.92-0.19
    Bolivia4.76-0.22
    Belgium5.18-0.22
    Nigeria5.65-0.23
    Vietnam3.48-0.23
    Russian Federation4.28-0.24
    Ethiopia5.57-0.24
    Jordan5.93-0.26
    Morocco3.67-0.28
    Indonesia3.69-0.30
    Saudi Arabia4.39-0.31
    Uruguay3.39-0.32
    Hong Kong3.65-0.32
    Serbia2.82-0.35
    Malaysia3.24-0.36
    Kuwait3.39-0.38
    Panama3.84-0.39
    Taiwan3.00-0.45
    Peru3.65-0.46
    Guatemala4.27-0.46
    Paraguay4.69-0.47
    South Africa4.50-0.48
    Kenya5.20-0.49
    Philippines2.92-0.50
    Angola6.48-0.50
    Ireland4.49-0.52
    Netherlands4.33-0.52
    Iraq5.86-0.53
    Hungary2.72-0.53
    Poland2.21-0.54
    Chile3.75-0.58
    Mongolia4.84-0.58
    Macau4.45-0.58
    United Arab Emirates3.60-0.62
    Pakistan5.50-0.64
    Finland3.38-0.66
    Qatar3.16-0.67
    Korea (South)3.07-0.74
    Thailand3.32-0.75
    Croatia (Hrvatska)2.54-0.80
    Brazil4.25-0.81
    Canada4.74-0.87
    United Kingdom3.95-0.87
    Australia3.80-0.89
    Colombia3.68-0.90
    Azerbaijan3.82-0.94
    Bahrain5.33-0.98
    France5.66-1.01
    Sweden2.86-1.18
    Germany3.63-1.51
    Luxembourg7.53-2.14
    Venezuela0.00-53.30
  • Industrials Regional Performance Last Month

    112b
    SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
    Transportation: Airlines2.25-0.200.215.43
    Capital Goods: Construction & Engineering3.903.82-4.982.33
    Transportation: Road & Rail-1.040.004.922.29
    Transportation Industry Group-0.260.501.162.00
    Transportation: Air Freight & Logistics0.900.900.621.91
    Capital Goods: Trading Companies & Distributors0.89-0.750.571.27
    Capital Goods: Aerospace & Defense1.581.60-0.151.26
    Commercial & Professional Services: Commercial Services & Supplies-0.66-0.693.380.60
    Commercial & Professional Services Industry Group-1.17-1.063.540.50
    Industrials Sector-0.85-0.41-0.720.45
    Capital Goods: Building Products0.18-1.10-5.500.45
    Commercial & Professional Services: Professional Services-1.30-1.174.250.43
    Capital Goods Industry Group-0.87-0.48-2.010.00
    Transportation: Transportation Infrastructure0.220.220.12-0.14
    Capital Goods: Industrial Conglomerates-4.82-5.46-0.70-0.47
    Capital Goods: Machinery-3.46-2.18-2.14-1.21
    Capital Goods: Electrical Equipment-2.42-2.57-0.93-1.89
    Transportation: Marine-3.330.002.70-2.07

    Industrials Regional Performance YTD

    1159
    SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
    Commercial & Professional Services: Professional Services19.1421.8026.0628.20
    Capital Goods: Building Products22.5718.65-18.5827.58
    Commercial & Professional Services Industry Group18.4022.2118.2126.40
    Capital Goods: Aerospace & Defense27.9734.96-9.3725.30
    Commercial & Professional Services: Commercial Services & Supplies14.0423.6316.5523.71
    Transportation: Road & Rail48.040.0028.4422.77
    Transportation: Transportation Infrastructure20.2020.2013.9922.39
    Industrials Sector17.9120.182.9419.13
    Capital Goods Industry Group17.9820.71-2.9318.40
    Transportation Industry Group16.9315.7713.0717.61
    Capital Goods: Machinery15.1511.892.1816.67
    Capital Goods: Electrical Equipment15.3423.70-2.4415.72
    Capital Goods: Construction & Engineering23.4923.76-3.1215.50
    Capital Goods: Industrial Conglomerates3.091.17-4.9614.15
    Transportation: Marine9.920.008.9810.03
    Capital Goods: Trading Companies & Distributors15.5519.188.868.84
    Transportation: Air Freight & Logistics16.9720.336.487.17
    Transportation: Airlines-20.37-25.36-0.034.06

    Industrials Performance in Various Countries Last Month

    e29
    countryPeriodChange
    Argentina15.73
    Brazil14.16
    Chile12.00
    New Zealand8.45
    Singapore8.33
    Kuwait7.87
    Italy7.79
    Malaysia7.17
    Hong Kong5.73
    Denmark5.19
    Taiwan5.04
    Thailand5.02
    Australia3.58
    Finland3.01
    Netherlands3.00
    Sweden2.86
    China2.83
    Canada2.81
    Vietnam2.76
    Philippines2.35
    United States2.26
    Japan1.65
    Spain1.33
    Sri Lanka1.27
    Mexico1.19
    France1.16
    South Africa0.51
    Indonesia0.00
    United Kingdom-0.04
    Germany-0.52
    Morocco-0.59
    Switzerland-0.76
    Turkey-1.78
    Egypt-2.41
    Korea (South)-2.79
    India-3.64
    Bangladesh-7.41
    United Arab Emirates-9.41
    Qatar-89.89

    Industrials Valuation and Growth in Various Countries (Simple Averages)

    1517
    CountryPEFy0PEFy12019Growth
    ITALY27.836.0753.36
    DENMARK9.7211.8851.62
    HONG KONG8.217.7824.89
    CHILE0.000.0024.85
    INDONESIA14.1021.4723.64
    BRAZIL16.5115.0723.27
    AUSTRALIA10.4711.7818.45
    RUSSIA7.971.7717.11
    CHINA11.6010.0614.97
    SPAIN15.1112.2314.80
    FINLAND15.6414.2813.74
    TAIWAN14.219.7013.43
    THAILAND37.2239.1712.76
    PHILIPPINES17.5317.0410.27
    INDIA10.449.549.74
    UNITED STATES15.6915.079.08
    JAPAN13.3013.368.52
    GERMANY18.959.027.98
    CANADA16.4217.545.99
    SOUTH KOREA9.117.684.01
    CYPRUS3.186.651.54
    FRANCE21.7518.771.22
    SWEDEN13.1215.800.77
    UAE0.000.000.00
    SINGAPORE0.000.000.00
    BRITAIN18.0115.85-1.27
    SWITZERLAND0.000.00-3.17
    MALAYSIA17.1016.61-3.88
    NETHERLANDS18.1118.81-3.91
    SOUTH AFRICA12.3811.70-6.55
    MEXICO12.2612.90-14.88
    TURKEY7.567.55-15.64
    1f40
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    Valuation and Growth of Various Sectors in Industrials

    35
    431
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    41e
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    488
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    Link to Industrials Macro Page

    Industrials sector trades at 2019 simple average 1d PE Fy1 of 14.2 x and 2020 4c PE Fy2 of 12.4 x

    Industrials sector trades at 2019 simple average 20 EV/EBITDA of 8.7 x and 2020 5b EV/EBITDA of 8.0 x

    In terms of Dividend yield Industrials sector trades at 2019 1c Yield of 2.3 % and 2020 52 Dividend Yield of 2.4 %

    On ROE basis Industrials sector trades at 2019 1b ROE of 11.1 % and 2020 4b ROE of 12.7 %

    Industrials subindustries by 2019 EBITDA Margin %

    aae
    Industry2019 EBITDA Margin
    Highways & Railtracks54.6
    Airport Services57.3
    Railroads39.1
    Marine Ports & Services46.8
    Environmental & Facilities Ser26.3
    Diversified Support Services22.1
    Office Services & Supplies22.2
    Airlines19.2
    Research & Consulting Services30.7
    Security & Alarm Services24.9
    Industrial Machinery16.6
    Building Products14.4
    Trucking12.9
    Heavy Electrical Equipment8.7
    Industrial Conglomerates16.5
    Construction & Engineering8.2
    Agricultural & Farm Machinery11.0
    Electrical Components & Equipm9.2
    Aerospace & Defense14.4
    Air Freight & Logistics9.8
    Human Resource & Employment Se7.6
    Construction Machinery & Heavy12.3
    Trading Companies & Distributo9.4
    Marine9.3
    Transportation & Logistics0.0

    Industrials most profitable companies by 2019 EBITDA Margin %

    a24
    Industrycompany2019 EBITDA Margin
    Highways & RailtracksOHL Mexico SAB de CV85.8
    Airport ServicesSydney Airport81.1
    Highways & RailtracksZhejiang Expressway Co Ltd76.5
    Highways & RailtracksAbertis Infraestructuras SA67.6
    Highways & RailtracksAtlantia SpA67.3
    Airport ServicesGrupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico SAB de CV65.9
    Highways & RailtracksJiangsu Expressway Co Ltd65.0
    Marine Ports & ServicesAdani Ports & Special Economic Zone Ltd63.8
    Marine Ports & ServicesChina Merchants Port Holdings Co Ltd62.9
    Airport ServicesGrupo Aeroportuario del Sureste SAB de CV61.4
    Airport ServicesAirports of Thailand PCL60.9
    Highways & RailtracksTransurban Group60.7
    Marine Ports & ServicesGlobal Ports Investments PLC60.5
    Highways & RailtracksCCR SA59.3
    Marine Ports & ServicesHutchison Port Holdings Trust57.0

    Companies in Industrials By Market Share %

    658
    companymarketshare
    Mitsubishi Corp3.0
    General Electric Co2.5
    China Railway Group Ltd2.3
    China Railway Construction Corp Ltd2.2
    SK Holdings Co Ltd/Old2.1
    ITOCHU Corp2.1
    Boeing Co/The2.1
    Siemens AG2.0
    SK Holdings Co Ltd1.9
    CITIC Ltd1.8
    Airbus SE1.5
    China Communications Construction Co Ltd1.5
    Deutsche Post AG1.5
    United Parcel Service Inc1.5
    FedEx Corp1.4

    Countries Market Share in Industrials %

    582
    countrymarketshare
    UNITED STATES29.3
    JAPAN14.2
    SOUTH KOREA10.5
    CHINA9.8
    FRANCE7.6
    GERMANY4.4
    DENMARK3.7
    BRITAIN2.9
    HONG KONG2.6
    SWEDEN2.5
    SWITZERLAND2.1
    SPAIN1.4
    TAIWAN1.2
    INDIA1.2
    TURKEY1.1
    57c
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    Largest Companies in Industrials by Market Capitalisation mn$

    1780
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryMarketCapUSDmn
    BA USBoeing Co/TheUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense199311.8
    HON USHoneywell International IncUNITED STATESCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates128686.6
    UNP USUnion Pacific CorpUNITED STATESTransportationRailroads120916.5
    UTX USUnited Technologies CorpUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense113989.9
    AIR FPAirbus SEFRANCECapital GoodsAerospace & Defense108982.1
    LMT USLockheed Martin CorpUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense102988.2
    SIE GRSiemens AGGERMANYCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates100880.6
    MMM US3M CoUNITED STATESCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates100391.9
    GE USGeneral Electric CoUNITED STATESCapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates92963.8
    UPS USUnited Parcel Service IncUNITED STATESTransportationAir Freight & Logistics88016.6
    CAT USCaterpillar IncUNITED STATESCapital GoodsConstruction Machinery & Heavy77649.3
    CNR CNCanadian National Railway CoCANADATransportationRailroads68081.9
    SAF FPSafran SAFRANCECapital GoodsAerospace & Defense64045.5
    CSX USCSX CorpUNITED STATESTransportationRailroads63300.9
    DG FPVinci SAFRANCECapital GoodsConstruction & Engineering61380.4
    NOC USNorthrop Grumman CorpUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense54860.6
    NSC USNorfolk Southern CorpUNITED STATESTransportationRailroads53698.8
    GD USGeneral Dynamics CorpUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAerospace & Defense52947.4
    SU FPSchneider Electric SEFRANCECapital GoodsElectrical Components & Equipm52588.9
    DE USDeere & CoUNITED STATESCapital GoodsAgricultural & Farm Machinery52355.0

    Number of Companies in Industrials by Country by SubIndustry and Market Capitalisation mn$

    122c
    CountryIndustrySubIndustryNumber of companiesMarketCapUSDmn
    RussiaTransportation & LogisticsTransportation & Logistics12377.4
    SOUTH KOREATransportationAirlines12383.5
    SOUTH KOREATransportationMarine11008.0
    SOUTH KOREATransportationAir Freight & Logistics15194.4
    CHINATransportationAirlines231617.7
    HONG KONGTransportationMarine Ports & Services29012.8
    CHINATransportationHighways & Railtracks212350.4
    CHINATransportationMarine211957.0
    TAIWANTransportationMarine54835.7
    TAIWANTransportationAirlines23949.9
    HONG KONGTransportationRailroads141690.9
    CHINATransportationAirport Services13869.7
    JAPANTransportationRailroads241614.5
    JAPANTransportationAir Freight & Logistics18490.4
    JAPANTransportationAirlines223023.5
    UNITED STATESTransportationAirlines375983.5
    SPAINTransportationHighways & Railtracks10.0
    INDIATransportationMarine Ports & Services112446.0
    RUSSIATransportationAirlines11770.3
    AUSTRALIATransportationRailroads27582.6

    Top Companies Industrials by Dividend Yield

    727
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryDividendYld_fy1
    GLTR LIGlobaltrans Investment PLCCYPRUSTransportationRailroads15.6
    NCSP LINovorossiysk Commercial Sea Port PJSCRUSSIATransportationMarine Ports & Services14.3
    HMSG LIHMS HYDRAULIC MACHINES & SYSTEMS GROUP PLCRUSSIACapital GoodsIndustrial Machinery13.3
    NMTP RMNorosiisk Sea PortRussiaTransportation & LogisticsTransportation & Logistics12.2
    034020 KSDoosan Heavy Industries & Construction Co LtdSOUTH KOREACapital GoodsHeavy Electrical Equipment8.6

    Cheapest Companies in Industrials on FY1 PE

    b3f
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryPE_fy1
    750 HKChina Singyes Solar Technologies Holdings LtdHONG KONGCapital GoodsConstruction & Engineering2.3
    THYAO TITurk Hava Yollari AOTURKEYTransportationAirlines4.3
    000880 KSHanwha CorpSOUTH KOREACapital GoodsIndustrial Conglomerates4.6
    1800 HKChina Communications Construction Co LtdCHINACapital GoodsConstruction & Engineering4.6
    042670 KSDoosan Infracore Co LtdSOUTH KOREACapital GoodsIndustrial Machinery4.7
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