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ML Rural Crafts Laboratory News

From Coins into Financials Sector

Midlincoln Research Financials

3e5
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    December 20, 2019

    Top Longs Based on Momentum

    9bd
    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    YESBANKYES BANK LTDIndiaFinancials45.31
    6060ZHONGAN ONLINE P & C INSURANCE CORChinaFinancials39.92
    EQTYEQUITY BANK LTDKenyaFinancials37.14
    165CHINA EVERBRIGHT LTDChinaFinancials33.33
    BPAC11BCO BTG PACTUAL UNT SABrazilFinancials30.75
    STTSTATE STREET CORPUnited StatesFinancials28.49
    601628CHINA LIFE INSURANCE LTD AChinaFinancials27.91
    ETENATIONAL BANK OF GREECE SAGreeceFinancials27.76
    BIRGBANK OF IRELAND GROUP PLCIrelandFinancials26.77
    SBINSTATE BANK OF INDIAIndiaFinancials26.50

    Top Shorts Based on Momentum

    9ba
    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    BRACBANKBRAC BANK LTDBangladeshFinancials-15.28
    BBARBBVA BANCO FRANCES ADR REPTG SAArgentinaFinancials-15.05
    BSANTANDERBANCO SANTANDER CHILEChileFinancials-14.29
    BSANTANDERBANCO SANTANDER CHILEChileFinancials-14.29
    ALRALIOR BANK SAPolandFinancials-14.14
    ALRALIOR BANK SAPolandFinancials-14.14
    ISLAMIBANKISLAMI BANK BANGLADESH LTDBangladeshFinancials-12.00
    BCIBANCO DE CREDITO E INVERSIONChileFinancials-11.21
    BCIBANCO DE CREDITO E INVERSIONChileFinancials-11.21
    SAHOLHACI OMER SABANCI HOLDING ATurkeyFinancials-8.18
    5b5
    MLIndexnameytd1monthFy1PE
    M1WO0FN Index MSCIMSCI WORLD/FINANCIALS NR20.547.2511.4
    MSGUFNCL Index MSCIMSCI World Financials US17.497.09-
    MXEF Index MSCIMSCI EM10.206.8212.1
    FTFINC Index FTSEFTSE ASX FINANCIALS INDX10.049.7910.7

    Commodities YTD Performance

    1f40
    NameUnitsKeyLastPriceCurrencyYTDChange USDpct1month
    NickelUSD/MTNickel15490USD40.63-11.76
    Palladium SpotUSD/t oz.Palladium1720.22USD37.082.88
    Brent Crude (ICE)USD/bbl.Oil62.50USD24.457.52
    Lean Hogs (CME)USd/lb.Lean Hogs0.7487999999999999USD24.1811.10
    Gold SpotUSD/t oz.Gold1464.01USD14.98-2.73
    Cocoa (ICE)USD/MTCocoa2658.00USD14.828.58
    Lumber (CME)USD/1000 board feetLumber386.40USD14.186.74
    Rough Rice (CBOT)USD/cwtRough Rice11.92USD13.520.17
    Silver (Comex)USD/t oz.Silver16.85USD12.94-5.18
    Ethanol (CBOT)USD/gal.Ethanol1.42USD11.81-1.39
    Oats (CBOT)USd/bu.Oats3.0525USD10.707.20
    Platinum SpotUSD/t oz.Platinum874.19USD10.17-1.99
    Coffee 'C' (ICE)USd/lb.Coffee1.101USD7.7315.05
    Rubber (Tokyo)JPY/kgRubber180.60JPY7.5613.94
    Sugar #11 (ICE)USd/lb.Sugar0.1283USD3.472.97
    Soybean (CBOT)USd/bu.Soybean9.155USD2.06-0.73
    Live Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Live Cattle1.2518USD1.9512.93
    Feeder Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Feeder Cattle1.4628USD0.503.56
    3Mo Zinc (LME)USD/MT3Mo Zinc2472.00USD-0.087.57
    Corn (CBOT)USd/bu.Corn3.76USD-0.46-4.93
    Copper (Comex)USd/lb.Copper2.6365USD-0.662.57
    Wheat (CBOT)USd/bu.Wheat5.1125USD-1.022.05
    Canola (ICE)CAD/MTCanola461.10CAD-4.63-0.90
    3Mo Aluminum (LME)USD/MT3Mo Aluminum1778.00USD-6.081.51
    Cotton #2 (ICE)USd/lb.Cotton0.6639USD-8.498.55
    SteelUSD/MTSteel417USD-10.322.46
    Cocking CoalCNY/MTCocking Coal1247CNY-10.9 3e1 9-1.03
    3Mo Tin (LME)USD/MT3Mo Tin16340.00USD-15.66-0.34
    Orange Juice (ICE)USd/lb.Orange Juice0.998USD-22.00-2.44
    Natural Gas (Nymex)USD/MMBtuNatural Gas2.59USD-27.2513.10

    Country USD Yields Ordered By YTD Yield Change

    1f40
    countryYieldYieldChange
    Argentina21.8716.05
    Lebanon18.7611.38
    Zambia14.137.74
    Jamaica13.337.18
    Switzerland9.482.34
    Tunisia7.812.02
    Ecuador8.721.85
    Turkey6.781.27
    Sri Lanka6.241.19
    Bolivia5.860.88
    Israel6.010.55
    China5.280.44
    Gabon6.300.25
    Costa Rica6.300.19
    India4.840.18
    Iraq6.560.17
    Oman5.120.17
    Kazakhstan4.920.16
    Nigeria5.770.16
    Cote D'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)5.890.11
    Senegal5.47-0.05
    Egypt5.95-0.08
    United States5.30-0.08
    South Africa4.81-0.18
    Ghana5.87-0.22
    Chile4.02-0.31
    Angola6.64-0.34
    Pakistan5.96-0.36
    Italy3.59-0.36
    Mexico4.25-0.37
    Ethiopia5.38-0.43
    Macau4.31-0.43
    Dominican Republic4.48-0.45
    Trinidad and Tobago3.70-0.46
    Kenya5.22-0.47
    Jordan5.71-0.47
    Romania2.86-0.48
    Hong Kong3.49-0.48
    Lithuania1.98-0.49
    El Salvador6.03-0.49
    Slovak Republic1.95-0.53
    Malaysia3.10-0.55
    Paraguay4.61-0.55
    Panama3.72-0.56
    Uruguay3.14-0.57
    Kuwait3.26-0.58
    Indonesia3.43-0.60
    Finland3.45-0.60
    Morocco3.33-0.63
    Hungary2.61-0.64
    Taiwan2.80-0.65
    Poland2.05-0.69
    Singapore3.33-0.70
    Peru3.40-0.71
    Saudi Arabia3.97-0.73
    Philippines2.67-0.75
    United Arab Emirates3.33-0.75
    Ukraine6.15-0.78
    Guatemala3.89-0.84
    Serbia2.32-0.85
    Mongolia4.56-0.86
    Colombia3.70-0.87
    Canada4.80-0.87
    Vietnam2.83-0.89
    Russian Federation3.58-0.90
    Thailand3.11-0.96
    Qatar2.89-0.99
    Korea (South)2.77-1.04
    Croatia (Hrvatska)2.28-1.06
    Belgium4.30-1.10
    Azerbaijan3.65-1.11
    Australia3.55-1.15
    Brazil3.85-1.21
    Sweden2.76-1.28
    Netherlands3.38-1.47
    Ireland2.79-1.62
    United Kingdom3.08-1.68
    Bahrain4.52-1.79
    France4.77-2.24
    Luxembourg6.24-3.60
    Venezuela0.00-53.98
  • Financials Performance By Subindustry Last Month

    76e
    Industrymonthchangepct
    Asset Management & Custody Ban17.16
    Thrifts & Mortgage Finance12.74
    Other Diversified Financial Se11.53
    Specialized Finance11.31
    Life & Health Insurance9.57
    Diversified Capital Markets9.53
    Consumer Finance8.99
    Regional Banks8.81
    Investment Banking & Brokerage8.80
    Diversified Banks8.02
    Multi-Sector Holdings7.19
    Multi-line Insurance7.02
    Insurance Brokers6.31
    Mortgage REITs5.72
    Property & Casualty Insurance4.10
    Reinsurance4.08
    Financial Exchanges & Data4.03

    Financials By Subindustry Performance YTD

    782
    Industrymonthchangepct
    Reinsurance20.79
    Insurance Brokers16.83
    Multi-line Insurance12.68
    Financial Exchanges & Data12.66
    Asset Management & Custody Ban4.52
    Investment Banking & Brokerage1.80
    Diversified Banks1.55
    Multi-Sector Holdings1.20
    Consumer Finance0.84
    Life & Health Insurance-0.25
    Regional Banks-0.60
    Property & Casualty Insurance-1.58
    Thrifts & Mortgage Finance-3.02
    Diversified Capital Markets-4.17
    Specialized Finance-8.12
    Other Diversified Financial Se-8.30
    Mortgage REITs-9.76

    Financials Performance in Various Countries Last Month

    154a
    countryPeriodChange
    Kenya31.39
    Ireland26.77
    Greece22.36
    Austria19.43
    United Kingdom16.32
    Hungary14.41
    Spain14.13
    Brazil13.65
    Netherlands13.36
    France13.27
    India12.70
    Italy12.69
    Norway11.12
    Sweden10.94
    Belgium10.54
    Czech Republic9.92
    Germany9.87
    United States9.47
    Switzerland9.42
    Sri Lanka9.20
    South Africa9.14
    Russian Federation9.05
    Finland8.12
    Colombia8.10
    Poland7.59
    China7.26
    Philippines7.00
    Indonesia6.74
    Pakistan6.72
    Singapore6.46
    Canada6.18
    Kazakhstan5.53
    Hong Kong5.15
    Korea (South)4.88
    Peru4.78
    Egypt3.68
    Morocco3.45
    Romania3.35
    Japan3.20
    Australia3.02
    Vietnam2.57
    Jordan2.17
    Mexico1.16
    United Arab Emirates1.13
    Denmark0.78
    Qatar0.69
    Thailand0.67
    Oman0.57
    Nigeria0.00
    Saudi Arabia-0.08
    Bahrain-0.37
    Kuwait-1.26
    Israel-1.67
    Turkey-3.46
    Bangladesh-4.38
    Argentina-5.70
    Chile-8.16
    Taiwan-73.33
    Malaysia-84.14
    Portugal

    Financials Valuation and Growth in Various Countries (Simple Averages)

    35
    1b53
    Emerging Markets Banking
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  • Net Element Launches Merchant Acquiring Enablement Services for ...
  • Thai banks' outlook upbeat/---/
    Emerging Markets Institutional Financial Srvc
  • Capital on the Frontier: Impact in emerging markets is a 2020 growth ...
  • MSCI to Reclassify the MSCI Kuwait Indexes to Emerging Markets
  • Fidelity Digital Assets to expand in Europe due to increasing interest ...
  • Leading Sri Lankan Financial Institution, LOLC Finance PLC ...
  • Car Finance Market 2019: By Key Players Like Ford Motor Credit,Toyota Financial Services, Ally Financial, BNP Paribas, Capital One, HSBC, Hitachi Capital Asia Pacific, Standard Bank/---/
    Emerging Markets Insurance
  • Morgan Stanley's Top Picks as Growth Shifts to Emerging Markets
  • Insurance sector in Asia set for 'really attractive' growth, says JP Morgan
  • Redwood Investment Management LLC Sells 6,532 Shares of iShares Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF (BATS:EMHY)
  • 2020 Insurance Trends: Good Vibrations for Agile Insurers
  • Global Insurance Market 2019 Growth Share by Key Players – Allianz, AXA, Generali, Ping An Insurance, China Life Insurance, Prudential PLC, Munich Re/---/
    Emerging Markets Real Estate Oper & Srvcs
  • The 27 Best Stocks to Buy for 2020
  • Geolo Capital Launches New Hospitality Finance Vertical With Two ...
  • First Trust Dynamic Europe Equity Income Fund Declares its Monthly ...
  • Cover story: Investing in Vietnam's growth
  • [Year in Review 2019] The Top 20 author interviews of the year – on creativity, entrepreneurship, and storytel/---/
    Emerging Markets REIT
  • 3 Top International REITs to Buy | Millionacres
  • Singapore REITs to keep market's love after bulking up
  • Sasseur Reit to join FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Emerging Index
  • FOMO grips stock investors as bull market lives on borrowed time
  • ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. Announces Chief Investment Officer .../---/
    Emerging Markets Specialty Finance
  • Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) and Voya Emerging ...
  • Market Size Valued At Around US$ 8.5 Bn By 2026
  • Purpose Investments Inc. Announces Final Annual Capital Gains ...
  • Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) Q4 2019 Earnings Call Transcript
  • Global Speciality Fertilizers Market: Analysis & Forecast Report .../---/

    Valuation and Growth of Various Sectors in Financials

    35
    58e
  • D-Street expects moderate index returns in 2020, financial stocks most preferred
  • MIDEAST STOCKS-Financials elevate most of Gulf, Egypt up again
  • Large-Cap Stocks Going Ex-Dividend Next Week
  • Outlook 2020: Here's where the experts think the TSX will end up one year from now
  • SE Asia Stocks-Most markets muted in pre-holiday trade, Philippines falls over 2%
  • SE Asia Stocks-Most markets end higher; Thailand lifted by telecom shares 4
    608
  • Regions Financial's Earnings Growth Prospects Mostly Priced In
  • Outlook 2020: Here's where the experts think the TSX will end up one year from now
  • Bad to worse: pain not over for Australia's beleaguered banks
  • Imagine Owning Future World Financial Holdings (HKG:572) And Trying To Stomach The 95% Share Price Drop
  • Wall Street strategists cool on tech stocks, recommend steady income of financials for 2020
  • Do You Like Banco do Nordeste do Brasil S.A. (BVMF:BNBR3) At This P/E Ratio?
    538
  • Large-Cap Stocks Going Ex-Dividend Next Week
  • Stock market 2020 forecasts, S&P 500 year-end targets from Wall ...
  • Meet the Newest Bank IPO: HBT Financial
  • Outlook 2020: Here's where the experts think the TSX will end up one year from now
  • 5 Large Cap Finance Stocks That Crushed the Market in 2019
  • Bad to worse: pain not over for Australia's beleaguered banks

    Link to Financials Macro Page

    Financials sector trades at 2019 simple average 1d PE Fy1 of 19.1 x and 2020 4b PE Fy2 of 11.5 x

    Financials sector trades at 2019 simple average 20 EV/EBITDA of 4.6 x and 2020 5a EV/EBITDA of 4.4 x

    In terms of Dividend yield Financials sector trades at 2019 1c Yield of 3.2 % and 2020 51 Dividend Yield of 3.4 %

    On ROE basis Financials sector trades at 2019 1b ROE of 10.0 % and 2020 4a ROE of 10.2 %

    Financials subindustries by 2019 EBITDA Margin %

    76e
    Industry2019 EBITDA Margin
    Property & Casualty Insurance0.0
    Investment Banking & Brokerage0.0
    Diversified Capital Markets0.0
    Diversified Banks0.2
    Consumer Finance0.0
    Life & Health Insurance0.0
    Asset Management & Custody Ban0.0
    Regional Banks0.0
    Multi-line Insurance0.0
    Other Diversified Financial Se0.0
    Specialized Finance0.0
    Financial Exchanges & Data0.0
    Multi-Sector Holdings0.0
    Mortgage REITs0.0
    Insurance Brokers0.0
    Thrifts & Mortgage Finance0.0
    Reinsurance0.0

    Financials most profitable companies by 2019 EBITDA Margin %

    a70
    Industrycompany2019 EBITDA Margin
    Diversified BanksBancolombia SA38.8
    Property & Casualty InsuranceSamsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co Ltd0.0
    Property & Casualty InsuranceHyundai Marine & Fire Insurance Co Ltd0.0
    Investment Banking & BrokerageKB Securities Co Ltd0.0
    Property & Casualty InsuranceDongbu Insurance Co Ltd0.0
    Investment Banking & BrokerageNH Investment & Securities Co Ltd0.0
    Diversified Capital MarketsMirae Asset Daewoo Co Ltd0.0
    Investment Banking & BrokerageSamsung Securities Co Ltd0.0
    Diversified BanksIndustrial Bank of Korea0.0
    Consumer FinanceSamsung Card Co Ltd0.0
    Life & Health InsuranceSamsung Life Insurance Co Ltd0.0
    Asset Management & Custody BanMirae Asset Securities Co Ltd0.0
    Diversified BanksWoori Finance Holdings Co Ltd0.0
    Diversified BanksShinhan Financial Group Co Ltd0.0
    Investment Banking & BrokerageKorea Investment Holdings Co Ltd0.0

    Companies in Financials By Market Share %

    688
    companymarketshare
    Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd2.5
    Ping An Insurance Group Co of China Ltd2.4
    China Construction Bank Corp2.2
    Old Mutual PLC2.1
    Agricultural Bank of China Ltd2.1
    JPMorgan Chase & Co1.9
    Bank of China Ltd1.9
    AXA SA1.9
    Allianz SE1.8
    Bank of America Corp1.6
    Wells Fargo & Co1.5
    Citigroup Inc1.4
    China Life Insurance Co Ltd1.4
    Banco Santander SA1.3
    Assicurazioni Generali SpA1.3

    Countries Market Share in Financials %

    57f
    countrymarketshare
    UNITED STATES19.5
    CHINA19.0
    BRITAIN6.1
    JAPAN5.8
    CANADA5.5
    FRANCE4.6
    GERMANY4.1
    SWITZERLAND3.9
    BRAZIL3.2
    INDIA3.0
    SOUTH KOREA2.8
    RUSSIA2.8
    ITALY2.7
    AUSTRALIA2.4
    SPAIN2.4
    557
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    Largest Companies in Financials by Market Capitalisation mn$

    1720
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryMarketCapUSDmn
    JPM USJPMorgan Chase & CoUNITED STATESBanksDiversified Banks403352.0
    BAC USBank of America CorpUNITED STATESBanksDiversified Banks294140.0
    1398 HKIndustrial & Commercial Bank of China LtdCHINABanksDiversified Banks284823.1
    WFC USWells Fargo & CoUNITED STATESBanksDiversified Banks226228.4
    2318 HKPing An Insurance Group Co of China LtdCHINAInsuranceLife & Health Insurance222415.6
    939 HKChina Construction Bank CorpCHINABanksDiversified Banks200502.0
    1288 HKAgricultural Bank of China LtdCHINABanksDiversified Banks174981.2
    C USCitigroup IncUNITED STATESBanksDiversified Banks161207.0
    HSBA LNHSBC Holdings PLCBRITAINBanksDiversified Banks148934.7
    3988 HKBank of China LtdCHINABanksDiversified Banks142262.9
    3968 HKChina Merchants Bank Co LtdCHINABanksDiversified Banks130841.1
    2628 HKChina Life Insurance Co LtdCHINAInsuranceLife & Health Insurance122236.6
    1299 HKAIA Group LtdHONG KONGInsuranceLife & Health Insurance118908.3
    RY CNRoyal Bank of CanadaCANADABanksDiversified Banks117119.3
    TD CNToronto-Dominion Bank/TheCANADABanksDiversified Banks104874.0
    ALV GRAllianz SEGERMANYInsuranceMulti-line Insurance100629.0
    AXP USAmerican Express CoUNITED STATESDiversified FinancialsConsumer Finance98953.5
    HDFCB INHDFC Bank LtdINDIABanksDiversified Banks97598.5
    CBA AUCommonwealth Bank of AustraliaAUSTRALIABanksDiversified Banks96917.4
    AMT USAmerican Tower CorpUNITED STATESReal EstateSpecialized REITs93814.8

    Number of Companies in Financials by Country by SubIndustry and Market Capitalisation mn$

    129c
    CountryIndustrySubIndustryNumber of companiesMarketCapUSDmn
    HONG KONGReal EstateReal Estate Development791636.2
    HONG KONGReal EstateDiversified Real Estate Activi113615.3
    CHINAReal EstateReal Estate Development9104513.7
    TAIWANReal EstateReal Estate Development34411.4
    JAPANReal EstateDiversified Real Estate Activi472211.8
    HONG KONGReal EstateRetail REITs121360.9
    JAPANReal EstateRetail REITs15782.5
    SINGAPOREReal EstateIndustrial REITs16692.2
    RUSSIAReal EstateDiversified Real Estate Activi2345.7
    PHILIPPINESReal EstateDiversified Real Estate Activi113359.2
    UNITED STATESReal EstateSpecialized REITs9316424.6
    UNITED STATESReal EstateDiversified REITs319573.0
    UNITED STATESReal EstateResidential REITs496397.1
    BRITAINReal EstateRetail REITs310022.3
    BRAZILReal EstateReal Estate Operating Companie38571.6
    INDONESIAReal EstateReal Estate Development23135.9
    UNITED STATESReal EstateOffice REITs340728.5
    SINGAPOREReal EstateDiversified Real Estate Activi10.0
    SINGAPOREReal EstateRetail REITs10.0
    UNITED STATESReal EstateReal Estate Services10.0

    Top Companies Financials by Dividend Yield

    6f5
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryDividendYld_fy1
    2777 HKGuangzhou R&F Properties Co LtdCHINAReal EstateReal Estate Development13.9
    RDF SJRedefine Properties LtdSOUTH AFRICAReal EstateDiversified REITs12.3
    3333 HKChina Evergrande GroupCHINAReal EstateReal Estate Development11.6
    AGNC USAGNC Investment CorpUNITED STATESDiversified FinancialsMortgage REITs11.6
    NLY USAnnaly Capital Management IncUNITED STATESDiversified FinancialsMortgage REITs11.5

    Cheapest Companies in Financials on FY1 PE

    ae9
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryPE_fy1
    2777 HKGuangzhou R&F Properties Co LtdCHINAReal EstateReal Estate Development2.9
    VTBR LIVTB Bank PJSCRUSSIABanksDiversified Banks3.5
    VTBR RMVTB Bank PJSCRUSSIABanksDiversified Banks3.6
    139130 KSDGB Financial Group IncSOUTH KOREABanksRegional Banks3.7
    3618 HKChongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co LtdCHINABanksRegional Banks3.7
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