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April 3, 2018

Top Longs Based on Momentum

a35
tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
023530LOTTE SHOPPING LTDKorea (South)Consumer Discretionary16.82
023530LOTTE SHOPPING LTDKorea (South)Consumer Discretionary16.82
012330HYUNDAI MOBIS LTDKorea (South)Consumer Discretionary16.75
012330HYUNDAI MOBIS LTDKorea (South)Consumer Discretionary16.75
TITANTITAN COMPANY LTDIndiaConsumer Discretionary16.34
ADSADIDAS N AGGermanyConsumer Discretionary14.09
008770HOTEL SHILLA CO LTDINARY SHARES KOKorea (South)Consumer Discretionary13.99
7936ASICS CORPJapanConsumer Discretionary13.27
WYNNWYNN RESORTS LTDUnited StatesConsumer Discretionary11.84
RNORENAULT PAR SAFranceConsumer Discretionary11.14

Top Shorts Based on Momentum

a53
tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
1316NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LTDChinaConsumer Discretionary-25.62
MATMATTEL INCUnited StatesConsumer Discretionary-20.64
TSLATESLA INCUnited StatesConsumer Discretionary-20.59
1114BRILLIANCE CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINChinaConsumer Discretionary-18.04
1114BRILLIANCE CHINA AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINChinaConsumer Discretionary-18.04
SNHSTEINHOFF INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS NSouth AfricaConsumer Discretionary-17.65
SNHSTEINHOFF INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS NSouth AfricaConsumer Discretionary-17.65
SESGSES SA FDR SAFranceConsumer Discretionary-15.72
TOASOTOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI ATurkeyConsumer Discretionary-15.10
2238GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP LTD HChinaConsumer Discretionary-14.81
203
MLIndexnameytd1monthFy1PE
MXEF Index MSCIMSCI EM2.39-0.8411.4
25

Commodities YTD Performance

1f40
NameUnitsKeyLastPriceCurrencyYTDChange USDpct1month
Cocking CoalCNY/MTCocking Coal1500CNY44.233.45
Cocoa (ICE)USD/MTCocoa2558.00USD32.3331.45
SteelUSD/MTSteel588USD12.004.26
NickelUSD/MTNickel13350USD8.98-3.82
Ethanol (CBOT)USD/gal.Ethanol1.47USD8.095.76
Lumber (CME)USD/1000 board feetLumber484.80USD7.661.47
Lean Hogs (CME)USd/lb.Lean Hogs0.7547USD5.802.78
Cotton #2 (ICE)USd/lb.Cotton0.8186USD5.713.96
Soybean (CBOT)USd/bu.Soybean10.2025USD5.643.00
Canola (ICE)CAD/MTCanola517.70CAD5.574.25
Rough Rice (CBOT)USD/cwtRough Rice12.31USD4.68-0.81
Brent Crude (ICE)USD/bbl.Oil69.42USD4.450.65
Corn (CBOT)USd/bu.Corn3.7225USD4.133.55
3Mo Tin (LME)USD/MT3Mo Tin20850.00USD4.12-4.90
Gold SpotUSD/t oz.Gold1347.33USD2.710.93
Wheat (CBOT)USd/bu.Wheat4.5025USD2.33-0.44
Platinum SpotUSD/t oz.Platinum957.63USD1.96-3.77
Orange Juice (ICE)USd/lb.Orange Juice1.3575USD-0.33-11.04
Oats (CBOT)USd/bu.Oats2.2725USD-2.26-15.52
Silver (Comex)USD/t oz.Silver16.62USD-3.26-2.69
3Mo Zinc (LME)USD/MT3Mo Zinc3203.00USD-3.50-9.77
Feeder Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Feeder Cattle1.3853USD-4.79-5.76
Copper (Comex)USd/lb.Copper3.0115USD-7.98-4.96
3Mo Aluminum (LME)USD/MT3Mo Aluminum2075.00USD-8.51-6.74
Coffee 'C' (ICE)USd/lb.Coffee1.1795USD-9.02-5.60
Palladium SpotUSD/t oz.Palladium983.08USD-9.89-9.07
Live Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Live Cattle1.084USD-11.69< 3a0 /td>-13.28
Natural Gas (Nymex)USD/MMBtuNatural Gas2.59USD-14.24-19.31
Rubber (Tokyo)JPY/kgRubber174.60JPY-15.65-10.69
Sugar #11 (ICE)USd/lb.Sugar0.1264USD-17.39-7.53
37

Country USD Yields Ordered By YTD Yield Chance

35
6c
41

Consumer Discretionary Regional Performance Last Month

35
3a

Consumer Discretionary Regional Performance YTD

1101
SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
Retailing: Internet & Direct Marketing Retail2.892.891.8619.10
Retailing Industry Group-11.30-8.483.535.54
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods5.367.456.134.22
Retailing: Multiline Retail0.520.002.440.78
Consumer Durables & Apparel Industry Group3.597.363.69-0.06
Consumer Discretionary Sector0.591.97-5.99-0.33
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Leisure Products0.000.00-4.41-0.48
Automobiles & Components: Automobiles4.834.83-11.20-1.74
Automobiles & Components Industry Group4.323.27-10.74-2.14
Consumer Services Industry Group-6.17-12.50-4.44-2.95
Consumer Services: Hotels Restaurants & Leisure-6.17-12.50-4.01-2.95
Automobiles & Components: Auto Components3.00-1.09-9.17-3.08
Consumer Services: Diversified Consumer Services0.000.00-4.92-3.70
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Household Durables-5.603.011.27-6.27
Media Industry Group-1.79-4.72-11.75-6.79
Media: Media-1.79-4.72-11.75-6.79
Retailing: Specialty Retail-15.03-10.2510.20-7.15
Retailing: Distributors0.000.00-7.05-9.10
4d

Consumer Discretionary Performance in Various Countries Last Month

c8d
countryPeriodChange
Spain5.82
Switzerland5.66
Denmark5.30
Germany3.45
Kuwait2.92
Korea (South)2.91
Slovenia2.25
Poland1.84
Taiwan1.61
Canada1.48
Hong Kong1.11
France0.83
Italy0.20
Philippines-0.17
Mexico-0.69
United Kingdom-0.96
United States-1.41
Japan-2.25
Sweden-2.35
Singapore-3.13
India-3.17
Thailand-3.39
Brazil-3.46
Chile-3.60
Greece-3.72
South Africa-4.72
Indonesia-4.77
Malaysia-5.15
Croatia (Hrvatska)-5.15
Argentina-5.67
China-5.73
Turkey-7.86
Netherlands-11.49
Ireland-12.52
United Arab Emirates-13.33
5c

Consumer Discretionary Valuation and Growth in Various Countries (Simple Averages)

1487
CountryPEFy0PEFy12018Growth
SINGAPORE0.000.0085.02
GERMANY16.889.7034.76
RUSSIA6.707.9934.76
SWITZERLAND6.147.4730.38
MACAU26.0123.3727.55
INDIA12.6313.7325.14
BRAZIL16.5113.2421.81
CHINA11.6411.9421.10
FRANCE18.8717.8620.35
CHILE21.1827.5918.58
SPAIN30.1124.5618.48
SOUTH AFRICA8.8011.3315.98
CANADA21.6020.2715.41
INDONESIA20.5816.3413.27
JAPAN13.5515.0613.17
TAIWAN18.4013.6512.48
THAILAND34.3934.1612.29
AUSTRALIA16.2312.1411.76
ITALY28.8725.7711.50
HONG KONG12.5816.0911.33
LUXEMBOURG11.8411.6210.88
PHILIPPINES38.5638.736.41
UNITED STATES16.8214.673.55
SWEDEN16.4916.012.81
SOUTH KOREA0.397.502.56
BRITAIN12.5817.842.35
NETHERLANDS0.000.000.00
ARGENTINA0.000.000.00
MALAYSIA12.3017.83-2.62
MEXICO21.8718.56-8.59
TURKEY14.7611.77-9.27
1e8c
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    Valuation and Growth of Various Sectors in Consumer Discretionary

    35
    43d
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    404
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    4de
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    Link to Consumer Discretionary Macro Page

    Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2018 simple average 1d PE Fy1 of 14.3 x and 2018 57 PE Fy2 of 13.2 x

    Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2018 simple average 20 EV/EBITDA of 8.9 x and 2018 66 EV/EBITDA of 8.1 x

    In terms of Dividend yield Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2018 1c Yield of 2.0 % and 2018 5d Dividend Yield of 2.2 %

    On ROE basis Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2018 1b ROE of 11.4 % and 2018 62 ROE of 12.4 %

    Largest Companies in Consumer Discretionary by Market Capitalisation mn$

    17ac
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryMarketCapUSDmn
    AMZN USAmazon.com IncUNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re701321.2
    7203 JPToyota Motor CorpJAPANAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers225911.6
    HD USHome Depot Inc/TheUNITED STATESRetailingHome Improvement Retail218334.0
    CMCSA USComcast CorpUNITED STATESMediaCable & Satellite184805.0
    CMCSK USComcast CorpUNITED STATESMediaCable & Satellite184805.0
    DIS USWalt Disney Co/TheUNITED STATESMediaMovies & Entertainment160186.6
    MC FPLVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SEFRANCEConsumer Durables & ApparelApparel, Accessories & Luxury154368.3
    MCD USMcDonald's CorpUNITED STATESConsumer ServicesRestaurants125787.9
    NPN SJNaspers LtdSOUTH AFRICAMediaCable & Satellite124129.0
    NFLX USNetflix IncUNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re120863.3
    NKE USNIKE IncUNITED STATESConsumer Durables & ApparelFootwear111120.1
    VOW3 GRVolkswagen AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers104559.2
    VOW GRVolkswagen AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers104559.2
    ITX SMIndustria de Diseno Textil SASPAINRetailingApparel Retail103185.4
    CHTR USCharter Communications IncUNITED STATESMediaCable & Satellite96646.2
    DAI GRDaimler AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers94121.9
    PCLN USPriceline Group Inc/TheUNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re91930.6
    LOW USLowe's Cos IncUNITED STATESRetailingHome Improvement Retail79914.2
    SBUX USStarbucks CorpUNITED STATESConsumer ServicesRestaurants79388.3
    TWX USTime Warner IncUNITED STATESMediaMovies & Entertainment74388.6

    Number of Companies in Consumer Discretionary by Country by SubIndustry and Market Capitalisation mn$

    1269
    CountryIndustrySubIndustryNumber of companiesMarketCapUSDmn
    SOUTH KOREARetailingDepartment Stores410731.9
    HONG KONGRetailingDistributors1897.3
    CHINARetailingDepartment Stores32594.5
    TAIWANRetailingAutomotive Retail16124.4
    TAIWANRetailingDepartment Stores1770.1
    JAPANRetailingAutomotive Retail16471.9
    JAPANRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re112625.5
    CHINARetailingComputer & Electronics Retail12508.1
    JAPANRetailingDepartment Stores14393.5
    CHINARetailingAutomotive Retail15362.1
    JAPANRetailingComputer & Electronics Retail16175.5
    JAPANRetailingApparel Retail143462.5
    UNITED STATESRetailingAutomotive Retail460300.9
    UNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re5943399.6
    UNITED STATESRetailingHomefurnishing Retail13261.3
    UNITED STATESRetailingComputer & Electronics Retail121392.5
    UNITED STATESRetailingGeneral Merchandise Stores493285.3
    UNITED STATESRetailingSpecialty Stores637056.4
    CHILERetailingDepartment Stores125192.8
    UNITED STATESRetailingDistributors114636.4

    Top Companies Consumer Discretionary by Dividend Yield

    6c2
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryDividendYld_fy1
    SVAV RMSollers PJSCRUSSIAAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers11.5
    SESG FPSES SALUXEMBOURGMediaCable & Satellite11.4
    MPLU3 BZMultiplus SABRAZILMediaAdvertising9.0
    BST MKBerjaya Sports Toto BhdMALAYSIAConsumer ServicesCasinos & Gaming7.3
    494 HKLi & Fung LtdHONG KONGConsumer Durables & ApparelApparel, Accessories & Luxury7.0

    Cheapest Companies in Consumer Discretionary on FY1 PE

    72e
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryPE_fy1
    SVAV RMSollers PJSCRUSSIAAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers4.4
    489 HKDongfeng Motor Group Co LtdCHINAAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers4.9
    RNO FPRenault SAFRANCEAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers5.5
    FCA IMFiat Chrysler Automobiles NVBRITAINAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers5.6
    GM USGeneral Motors CoUNITED STATESAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers6.5


    Earnings Relises and Dividends

    4c4
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