image
28

ML Rural Crafts Laboratory News

4

31 From Souvenirs into Consumer Discretionary Sector 5

4

29 Mount Maple Souvenirs Cons. Cyclicals 5

49 52
5c
  • View Craft Comics 63
  • Down Load Craft Business Presentation 17
    Craft News
    243
  • REMEMBER THIS? Free Souvenirs
  • Venice Beach Souvenirs: A Discriminating Shopper's Guide
  • Gifts Novelty and Souvenirs Market by Product & Application ... 15
    July 24, 2019
    24

    Top Longs Based on Momentum

    a3d
    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    2331LI NING LTDChinaConsumer Discretionary43.86
    NIONIO AMERICAN DEPOSITARY SHARES REPChinaConsumer Discretionary33.33
    BTOW3B2W COMPANHIA DIGITALBrazilConsumer Discretionary28.91
    BZUNBAOZUN ADR REPRESENTING INC CLASSChinaConsumer Discretionary26.21
    ARCOARCOS DORADOS HOLDINGS INC CLASS AArgentinaConsumer Discretionary22.75
    MLCOMELCO RESORTS ENTERTAINMENT ADR LTHong KongConsumer Discretionary21.73
    KROT3KROTON EDUCACIONAL SABrazilConsumer Discretionary20.22
    KROT3KROTON EDUCACIONAL SABrazilConsumer Discretionary20.22
    MGLU3MAGAZINE LUIZA SABrazilConsumer Discretionary20.12
    601888CHINA INTERNATIONAL TRAVEL SERVICEChinaConsumer Discretionary20.09
    25

    Top Shorts Based on Momentum

    9f9
    tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
    PUMPUMAGermanyConsumer Discretionary-89.40
    028300HLB INCKorea (South)Consumer Discretionary-55.33
    MARUTIMARUTI SUZUKI INDIA LTDIndiaConsumer Discretionary-13.59
    CCLCARNIVAL PLCUnited KingdomConsumer Discretionary-13.39
    CCLCARNIVAL CORPUnited StatesConsumer Discretionary-12.87
    2371TATUNGTaiwanConsumer Discretionary-12.86
    TITANTITAN COMPANY LTDIndiaConsumer Discretionary-12.10
    HEROMOTOCOHERO MOTOCORP LTDIndiaConsumer Discretionary-11.99
    008770HOTEL SHILLA LTDINARY SHARES KOREAKorea (South)Consumer Discretionary-10.30
    035760CJ ENM LTDKorea (South)Consumer Discretionary-10.07
    202
    MLIndexnameytd1monthFy1PE
    MXEF Index MSCIMSCI EM9.695.3911.5
    25

    Commodities YTD Performance

    1f40
    NameUnitsKeyLastPriceCurrencyYTDChange USDpct1month
    Brent Crude (ICE)USD/bbl.Oil66.91USD33.237.11
    Palladium SpotUSD/t oz.Palladium1558.10USD24.1612.45
    Ethanol (CBOT)USD/gal.Ethanol1.55USD22.055.44
    NickelUSD/MTNickel13085USD18.7912.90
    Lean Hogs (CME)USd/lb.Lean Hogs0.716USD18.74-16.94
    Corn (CBOT)USd/bu.Corn4.4775USD18.538.28
    Rough Rice (CBOT)USD/cwtRough Rice11.90USD13.331.45
    Gold SpotUSD/t oz.Gold1409.22USD10.676.09
    Cocoa (ICE)USD/MTCocoa2491.00USD7.60-0.48
    Lumber (CME)USD/1000 board feetLumber355.80USD5.149.71
    Coffee 'C' (ICE)USd/lb.Coffee1.0695000000000001USD4.658.47
    Rubber (Tokyo)JPY/kgRubber175.50JPY4.53-14.31
    Platinum SpotUSD/t oz.Platinum825.97USD4.092.40
    Soybean (CBOT)USd/bu.Soybean9.17USD2.237.41
    Silver (Comex)USD/t oz.Silver15.16USD1.613.34
    Copper (Comex)USd/lb.Copper2.693USD1.470.43
    Oats (CBOT)USd/bu.Oats2.7875USD1.09-5.51
    Wheat (CBOT)USd/bu.Wheat5.2075USD0.823.53
    Sugar #11 (ICE)USd/lb.Sugar0.12380000000000001USD-0.16-0.16
    SteelUSD/MTSteel464USD-0.22-2.52
    3Mo Zinc (LME)USD/MT3Mo Zinc2428.00USD-1.86-1.94
    Cocking CoalCNY/MTCocking Coal1374 CNY-1.930.29
    Feeder Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Feeder Cattle1.4263USD-2.012.01
    3Mo Aluminum (LME)USD/MT3Mo Aluminum1828.00USD-3.432.99
    3Mo Tin (LME)USD/MT3Mo Tin18345.00USD-5.32-4.65
    Canola (ICE)CAD/MTCanola445.40CAD-7.88-3.80
    Live Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Live Cattle1.0933USD-10.952.85
    Cotton #2 (ICE)USd/lb.Cotton0.6331USD-12.74-3.71
    Orange Juice (ICE)USd/lb.Orange Juice1.0255USD-19.850.89
    Natural Gas (Nymex)USD/MMBtuNatural Gas2.41USD-32.301.69
    37

    Country USD Yields Ordered By YTD Yield Change

    1f40
    countryYieldYieldChange
    Zambia14.938.53
    Jamaica12.005.94
    Argentina9.793.98
    Lebanon10.543.16
    Turkey7.381.90
    Tunisia7.331.54
    Switzerland8.451.31
    Sri Lanka6.211.24
    Oman5.780.83
    Cote D'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)6.370.67
    Senegal6.070.55
    Gabon6.570.52
    Kazakhstan5.260.49
    Israel5.940.49
    Trinidad and Tobago4.400.24
    India4.790.23
    China5.050.21
    Ecuador7.040.17
    Italy5.140.16
    El Salvador6.670.15
    Mexico4.670.06
    Lithuania2.490.02
    Egypt6.030.00
    Ghana6.03-0.08
    United States5.28-0.08
    Ukraine6.68-0.11
    Romania3.21-0.12
    Slovak Republic2.36-0.12
    Singapore3.86-0.17
    Dominican Republic4.74-0.19
    Costa Rica5.92-0.19
    Bolivia4.76-0.22
    Belgium5.18-0.22
    Nigeria5.65-0.23
    Vietnam3.48-0.23
    Russian Federation4.28-0.24
    Ethiopia5.57-0.24
    Jordan5.93-0.26
    Morocco3.67-0.28
    Indonesia3.69-0.30
    Saudi Arabia4.39-0.31
    Uruguay3.39-0.32
    Hong Kong3.65-0.32
    Serbia2.82-0.35
    Malaysia3.24-0.36
    Kuwait3.39-0.38
    Panama3.84-0.39
    Taiwan3.00-0.45
    Peru3.65-0.46
    Guatemala4.27-0.46
    Paraguay4.69-0.47
    South Africa4.50-0.48
    Kenya5.20-0.49
    Philippines2.92-0.50
    Angola6.48-0.50
    Ireland4.49-0.52
    Netherlands4.33-0.52
    Iraq5.86-0.53
    Hungary2.72-0.53
    Poland2.21-0.54
    Chile3.75-0.58
    Mongolia4.84-0.58
    Macau4.45-0.58
    United Arab Emirates3.60-0.62
    Pakistan5.50-0.64
    Finland3.38-0.66
    Qatar3.16-0.67
    Korea (South)3.07-0.74
    Thailand3.32-0.75
    Croatia (Hrvatska)2.54-0.80
    Brazil4.25-0.81
    Canada4.74-0.87
    United Kingdom3.95-0.87
    Australia3.80-0.89
    Colombia3.68-0.90
    Azerbaijan3.82-0.94
    Bahrain5.33-0.98
    France5.66-1.01
    Sweden2.86-1.18
    Germany3.63-1.51
    Luxembourg7.53-2.14
    Venezuela0.00-53.30
  • Consumer Discretionary Regional Performance Last Month

    f82
    SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
    Retailing: Internet & Direct Marketing Retail0.653.622.484.96
    Retailing: Specialty Retail2.312.80-0.884.95
    Retailing Industry Group0.993.002.324.77
    Retailing: Multiline Retail-3.660.003.083.66
    Consumer Discretionary Sector0.630.370.003.31
    Consumer Services: Hotels Restaurants & Leisure2.064.37-2.023.15
    Consumer Services Industry Group2.064.37-1.013.09
    Consumer Durables & Apparel: Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods1.601.08-2.112.50
    Consumer Durables & Apparel Industry Group1.411.11-2.772.44
    Consumer Durables & Apparel: Household Durables-0.243.85-3.942.34
    Consumer Durables & Apparel: Leisure Products0.000.00-5.232.31
    Automobiles & Components: Automobiles-0.38-0.38-2.851.80
    Retailing: Distributors0.000.00-1.501.49
    Automobiles & Components Industry Group-1.43-1.43-2.910.76
    Automobiles & Components: Auto Components-5.01-5.01-3.12-2.22
    Consumer Services: Diversified Consumer Services0.000.000.29-2.44

    Consumer Discretionary Regional Performance YTD

    faa
    SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
    Retailing: Internet & Direct Marketing Retail41.9150.5534.2831.84
    Consumer Durables & Apparel: Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods32.1434.6121.8628.14
    Retailing Industry Group19.5626.6028.7226.46
    Retailing: Specialty Retail18.8121.2013.0323.46
    Consumer Durables & Apparel Industry Group30.4934.7414.7823.27
    Consumer Services: Hotels Restaurants & Leisure8.028.2617.3922.13
    Consumer Services Industry Group8.028.2630.7121.96
    Consumer Discretionary Sector19.1821.2219.6320.93
    Retailing: Multiline Retail13.010.003.9015.33
    Consumer Durables & Apparel: Household Durables17.5945.016.0614.99
    Consumer Durables & Apparel: Leisure Products0.000.00-15.1714.62
    Retailing: Distributors0.000.0036.8710.33
    Consumer Services: Diversified Consumer Services0.000.0052.536.54
    Automobiles & Components: Automobiles7.827.82-2.815.56
    Automobiles & Components Industry Group8.028.02-3.085.53
    Automobiles & Components: Auto Components8.808.80-3.885.40

    Consumer Discretionary Performance in Various Countries Last Month

    c6f
    countryPeriodChange
    Hong Kong18.32
    Argentina17.06
    Brazil16.77
    Ireland10.98
    Sweden10.34
    Turkey9.80
    Italy8.26
    China8.13
    Canada8.02
    Denmark7.72
    Thailand7.02
    Spain6.16
    South Africa5.97
    Chile5.69
    France4.71
    Singapore4.69
    Malaysia3.92
    Greece3.86
    Saudi Arabia3.75
    Switzerland3.70
    Philippines3.59
    United States3.19
    Mexico3.12
    Morocco3.04
    Japan2.39
    Indonesia1.92
    Poland1.76
    Taiwan1.71
    Australia-0.85
    United Kingdom-1.62
    India-5.58
    Korea (South)-6.21
    Kuwait-7.77
    Germany-8.15

    Consumer Discretionary Valuation and Growth in Various Countries (Simple Averages)

    147a
    CountryPEFy0PEFy12019Growth
    THAILAND32.1032.2529.65
    LUXEMBOURG32.4725.1825.21
    RUSSIA10.645.1223.04
    MALAYSIA10.1511.1120.93
    INDONESIA10.006.7319.79
    SOUTH KOREA7.417.7912.44
    HONG KONG9.5410.5211.38
    PHILIPPINES38.0836.4410.45
    CHINA8.607.958.35
    SWITZERLAND5.477.147.02
    SPAIN22.0221.826.33
    TAIWAN16.2318.605.08
    ITALY27.500.003.49
    BRAZIL12.9615.483.15
    INDIA9.1210.562.98
    JAPAN13.2514.342.96
    MACAU16.5517.652.30
    FRANCE13.1913.032.15
    CANADA20.1723.032.13
    UNITED STATES13.4512.761.61
    NETHERLANDS0.000.000.00
    ARGENTINA0.000.000.00
    TURKEY9.779.56-0.59
    CHILE26.6922.11-0.97
    MEXICO17.1514.85-1.89
    SINGAPORE0.000.00-4.72
    GERMANY9.948.51-4.97
    BRITAIN12.808.90-5.18
    SWEDEN15.4515.41-5.87
    SOUTH AFRICA14.9811.44-10.64
    AUSTRALIA16.6323.16-12.31
    1e22
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    Valuation and Growth of Various Sectors in Consumer Discretionary

    35
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    3c6
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    4a3
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    Link to Consumer Discretionary Macro Page

    Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2019 simple average 1d PE Fy1 of 14.1 x and 2020 57 PE Fy2 of 21.6 x

    Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2019 simple average 20 EV/EBITDA of 8.1 x and 2020 66 EV/EBITDA of 7.4 x

    In terms of Dividend yield Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2019 1c Yield of 2.3 % and 2020 5d Dividend Yield of 2.4 %

    On ROE basis Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2019 1a ROE of 9.3 % and 2020 55 ROE of 9.3 %

    Consumer Discretionary subindustries by 2019 EBITDA Margin %

    dbe
    Industry2019 EBITDA Margin
    Cable & Satellite30.5
    Casinos & Gaming28.3
    Broadcasting31.9
    Apparel, Accessories & Luxury18.1
    Household Appliances12.7
    Movies & Entertainment22.4
    Specialized Consumer Services25.4
    Education Services31.5
    Tires & Rubber12.2
    Internet & Direct Marketing Re19.8
    Motorcycle Manufacturers17.3
    Home Improvement Retail13.2
    Home Furnishings14.2
    Apparel Retail16.0
    Restaurants23.5
    Footwear12.2
    Housewares & Specialties12.3
    Department Stores11.5
    Textiles8.6
    10.8
    General Merchandise Stores11.4
    Homebuilding15.7
    Publishing13.2
    Consumer Electronics11.4
    Specialty Stores11.2
    Leisure Products11.1
    Automotive Retail18.7
    Automobile Manufacturers53.6
    Advertising12.4
    Homefurnishing Retail6.4
    Auto Parts & Equipment11.4
    Distributors6.3
    Computer & Electronics Retail4.0
    Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines21.2

    Consumer Discretionary most profitable companies by 2019 EBITDA Margin %

    9c3
    Industrycompany2019 EBITDA Margin
    Automobile ManufacturersPorsche Automobil Holding SE1957.3
    Cable & SatelliteEutelsat Communications SA78.5
    Cable & SatelliteSES SA60.7
    Automotive RetailUSS Co Ltd54.7
    RestaurantsMcDonald's Corp51.1
    Casinos & GamingGenting Singapore PLC47.1
    Hotels, Resorts & Cruise LinesInterContinental Hotels Group PLC45.7
    Department StoresGolden Eagle Retail Group Ltd43.0
    BroadcastingMedia Nusantara Citra Tbk PT42.7
    BroadcastingDiscovery Communications Inc42.0
    BroadcastingDiscovery Communications Inc42.0
    Cable & SatelliteLiberty Global PLC40.9
    Cable & SatelliteLiberty Global PLC40.9
    RestaurantsRestaurant Brands International Inc40.9
    BroadcastingBEC World PCL40.0

    Companies in Consumer Discretionary By Market Share %

    641
    companymarketshare
    Volkswagen AG4.5
    Toyota Motor Corp4.4
    Amazon.com Inc3.8
    Daimler AG3.2
    Ford Motor Co2.6
    General Motors Co2.4
    Honda Motor Co Ltd2.3
    Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV2.1
    Bayerische Motoren Werke AG1.9
    Home Depot Inc/The1.7
    Nissan Motor Co Ltd1.7
    Comcast Corp1.5
    Hyundai Motor Co1.4
    Peugeot SA1.4
    Sony Corp1.3

    Countries Market Share in Consumer Discretionary %

    582
    countrymarketshare
    UNITED STATES34.2
    JAPAN15.9
    GERMANY15.4
    SOUTH KOREA12.7
    FRANCE6.2
    BRITAIN4.9
    INDIA2.1
    CHINA1.9
    SWEDEN0.8
    CANADA0.8
    HONG KONG0.7
    TAIWAN0.5
    SWITZERLAND0.5
    SPAIN0.5
    BRAZIL0.3
    588
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    Largest Companies in Consumer Discretionary by Market Capitalisation mn$

    17cb
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryMarketCapUSDmn
    AMZN USAmazon.com IncUNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re940251.3
    DIS USWalt Disney Co/TheUNITED STATESMediaMovies & Entertainment256276.1
    HD USHome Depot Inc/TheUNITED STATESRetailingHome Improvement Retail230025.8
    MC FPLVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SEFRANCEConsumer Durables & ApparelApparel, Accessories & Luxury215604.4
    7203 JPToyota Motor CorpJAPANAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers208005.1
    CMCSA USComcast CorpUNITED STATESMediaCable & Satellite193479.1
    CMCSK USComcast CorpUNITED STATESMediaCable & Satellite193479.1
    NFLX USNetflix IncUNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re162807.6
    MCD USMcDonald's CorpUNITED STATESConsumer ServicesRestaurants158925.7
    NKE USNIKE IncUNITED STATESConsumer Durables & ApparelFootwear133535.9
    NPN SJNaspers LtdSOUTH AFRICAMediaCable & Satellite108485.9
    SBUX USStarbucks CorpUNITED STATESConsumer ServicesRestaurants103000.5
    CHTR USCharter Communications IncUNITED STATESMediaCable & Satellite99122.7
    CDI FPChristian Dior SEFRANCEConsumer Durables & ApparelApparel, Accessories & Luxury94349.8
    ITX SMIndustria de Diseno Textil SASPAINRetailingApparel Retail93442.1
    VOW3 GRVolkswagen AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers86113.9
    VOW GRVolkswagen AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers86113.9
    LOW USLowe's Cos IncUNITED STATESRetailingHome Improvement Retail80068.9
    RMS FPHermes InternationalFRANCEConsumer Durables & ApparelApparel, Accessories & Luxury76354.6
    KER FPKeringFRANCEConsumer Durables & ApparelApparel, Accessories & Luxury75150.2

    Number of Companies in Consumer Discretionary by Country by SubIndustry and Market Capitalisation mn$

    126b
    CountryIndustrySubIndustryNumber of companiesMarketCapUSDmn
    SOUTH KOREARetailingDepartment Stores48101.8
    HONG KONGRetailingDistributors1635.9
    CHINARetailingDepartment Stores36668.5
    TAIWANRetailingAutomotive Retail18725.6
    TAIWANRetailingDepartment Stores11034.6
    JAPANRetailingAutomotive Retail16382.7
    JAPANRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re116507.8
    CHINARetailingComputer & Electronics Retail12266.3
    JAPANRetailingDepartment Stores14763.6
    CHINARetailingAutomotive Retail16480.0
    JAPANRetailingComputer & Electronics Retail14394.4
    JAPANRetailingApparel Retail163934.9
    UNITED STATESRetailingAutomotive Retail482936.8
    UNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re51122867.4
    UNITED STATESRetailingHomefurnishing Retail11450.4
    UNITED STATESRetailingComputer & Electronics Retail119106.9
    UNITED STATESRetailingGeneral Merchandise Stores4105285.8
    UNITED STATESRetailingSpecialty Stores647812.7
    CHILERetailingDepartment Stores116163.6
    UNITED STATESRetailingDistributors115240.3

    Top Companies Consumer Discretionary by Dividend Yield

    6f1
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryDividendYld_fy1
    DSKY RMDetsky MirRussiaRetail - Discretionary11.2
    LPPF IJMatahari Department Store Tbk PTINDONESIARetailingDepartment Stores9.2
    FCA IMFiat Chrysler Automobiles NVBRITAINAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers8.3
    TOASO TITofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi ASTURKEYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers8.2
    ETL FPEutelsat Communications SAFRANCEMediaCable & Satellite7.7

    Cheapest Companies in Consumer Discretionary on FY1 PE

    b53
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryPE_fy1
    489 HKDongfeng Motor Group Co LtdCHINAAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers4.0
    PAH3 GRPorsche Automobil Holding SEGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers4.2
    FCA IMFiat Chrysler Automobiles NVBRITAINAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers4.5
    RNO FPRenault SAFRANCEAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers4.8
    VOW3 GRVolkswagen AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers5.6
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