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June 13, 2018
24

Top Longs Based on Momentum

a1c
tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
TRIPTRIPADVISOR INCUnited StatesConsumer Discretionary46.61
TIFTIFFANYUnited StatesConsumer Discretionary31.41
PPBPADDY POWER BETFAIR PLCIrelandConsumer Discretionary29.64
LULULULULEMON ATHLETICA INCUnited StatesConsumer Discretionary25.31
UAAUNDER ARMOUR INC CLASS AUnited StatesConsumer Discretionary23.69
7832BANDAI NAMCO HOLDINGS INCJapanConsumer Discretionary22.32
LOWLOWES COMPANIES INCUnited StatesConsumer Discretionary16.23
SESGSES SA FDR SAFranceConsumer Discretionary15.79
TALTAL EDUCATION GROUP ADR REPTGChinaConsumer Discretionary15.51
TALTAL EDUCATION GROUP ADR REPTGChinaConsumer Discretionary15.51
25

Top Shorts Based on Momentum

a5f
tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
FFGRPFOLLI FOLLIE COMMERCIAL MANUFACTURGreeceConsumer Discretionary-70.00
SNHSTEINHOFF INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS NSouth AfricaConsumer Discretionary-47.06
SNHSTEINHOFF INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS NSouth AfricaConsumer Discretionary-47.06
2238GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP LTD HChinaConsumer Discretionary-33.70
PNDORAPANDORA HOLDINGDenmarkConsumer Discretionary-28.38
494LI & FUNG LTDHong KongConsumer Discretionary-25.00
ASTROASTRO MALAYSIA HOLDINGSMalaysiaConsumer Discretionary-23.40
VIPSVIPSHOP HOLDINGS SPONSORED ADS REPChinaConsumer Discretionary-22.90
VIPSVIPSHOP HOLDINGS SPONSORED ADS REPChinaConsumer Discretionary-22.90
KROT3KROTON EDUCACIONAL SABrazilConsumer Discretionary-22.19
229
MLIndexnameytd1monthFy1PE
MXEF Index MSCIMSCI EM-1.94-0.4611.0

Commodities YTD Performance

1f40
NameUnitsKeyLastPriceCurrencyYTDChange USDpct1month
Lumber (CME)USD/1000 board feetLumber609.10USD35.2712.13
Cocking CoalCNY/MTCocking Coal1360CNY30.7722.52
Cocoa (ICE)USD/MTCocoa2517.00USD30.21-11.25
NickelUSD/MTNickel14870USD21.391.57
Orange Juice (ICE)USd/lb.Orange Juice1.6425USD20.5912.54
Wheat (CBOT)USd/bu.Wheat5.2575USD19.496.53
Cotton #2 (ICE)USd/lb.Cotton0.9057USD16.967.95
Brent Crude (ICE)USD/bbl.Oil76.32USD14.842.65
Lean Hogs (CME)USd/lb.Lean Hogs0.7943000000000001USD11.363.83
Corn (CBOT)USd/bu.Corn3.9625USD10.840.57
Ethanol (CBOT)USD/gal.Ethanol1.50USD10.290.67
Canola (ICE)CAD/MTCanola537.80CAD9.670.94
Soybean (CBOT)USd/bu.Soybean10.21USD5.72-0.99
SteelUSD/MTSteel555USD5.710.00
Oats (CBOT)USd/bu.Oats2.4225USD4.195.21
3Mo Tin (LME)USD/MT3Mo Tin20425.00USD2.00-5.98
3Mo Aluminum (LME)USD/MT3Mo Aluminum2275.00USD0.31-7.86
Feeder Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Feeder Cattle1.4487999999999999USD-0.43-1.32
Gold SpotUSD/t oz.Gold1301.15USD-0.81-1.87
Rough Rice (CBOT)USD/cwtRough Rice11.50USD-2.21-12.68
Platinum SpotUSD/t oz.Platinum907.44USD-3.39-0.45
Silver (Comex)USD/t oz.Silver16.45USD-4.25-1.20
Natural Gas (Nymex)USD/MMBtuNatural Gas2.88USD-4.643.60
Coffee 'C' (ICE)USd/lb.Coffee1.2195USD-5.942.52
3Mo Zinc (LME)USD/MT3Mo Zinc3089.00USD-6.93-4.44
Copper (Comex)USd/lb.Copper3.0435000000000003USD-7.00-3.43
Rubber (Tokyo)JPY/kgRubber191.50JPY-7.491.70
Palladium SpotUSD/t oz.Palladium980.26USD-10.14-0.58
Live Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Live Cattle1.014USD-17.39-3.96
Sugar #11 (ICE)USd/lb.Sugar0.1255USD-17.978.47

Country USD Yields Ordered By YTD Yield Change

1f40
countryYieldYieldChange
Jamaica10.964.00
Ecuador9.472.72
Zambia8.912.69
Lebanon9.292.03
Argentina7.691.93
Bahrain7.991.89
Turkey7.181.82
Tunisia7.541.75
Bermuda10.311.66
Italy5.981.53
Sri Lanka6.371.51
Pakistan7.641.50
Senegal7.021.50
Ethiopia7.141.33
Gabon7.361.31
India5.701.27
Russian Federation5.591.24
Belgium6.611.21
Cote D'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)6.871.16
China5.731.12
Lithuania3.581.11
Nigeria6.961.08
Serbia4.201.07
Dominican Republic5.891.06
Kenya6.751.06
Jordan7.251.06
Croatia (Hrvatska)4.251.05
Bolivia6.011.03
Romania4.361.02
Vietnam4.541.00
Ukraine7.700.98
Hungary4.110.95
Chile5.290.95
Trinidad and Tobago5.550.94
Supranational4.500.93
Ghana6.970.92
New Zealand6.000.92
Mexico5.430.91
Morocco4.860.91
El Salvador7.250.91
Indonesia4.890.91
Oman5.630.90
Macau5.910.88
Poland3.570.87
Peru4.880.86
Egypt6.630.85
Kuwait4.610.85
Brazil6.490.83
Malaysia4.420.82
Philippines4.160.82
Slovak Republic3.290.81
Panama4.920.80
Uruguay4.500.79
Hong Kong4.800.79
Colombia5.290.78
Kazakhstan5.480.77
Mongolia6.190.77
Singapore5.250.76
Taiwan4.200.75
Canada6.700.75
Qatar4.550.74
United Arab Emirates5.020.74
Costa Rica6.740.73
United Kingdom5.720.73
Guatemala5.410.68
South Africa5.540.67
Paraguay5.830.67
Netherlands5.000.65
Azerbaijan5.390.63
Iraq7.010.62
Thailand4.520.61
Australia5.290.59
Korea (South)4.340.58
Ireland5.590.58
Saudi Arabia5.250.55
Finland4.590.55
United States6.080.54
Sweden4.510.47
Israel5.860.44
France6.800.44
Angola7.350.37
Germany5.460.32
Switzerland7.300.16
Luxembourg8.35-1.61
Venezuela0.10-52.59

Consumer Discretionary Regional Performance Last Month

1114
SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
Retailing: Multiline Retail7.380.00-1.497.51
Retailing: Specialty Retail7.808.11-0.576.60
Consumer Services: Diversified Consumer Services0.000.005.805.97
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Leisure Products0.000.00-16.935.29
Retailing Industry Group7.467.545.115.18
Media Industry Group1.581.175.634.27
Media: Media1.581.175.634.27
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Household Durables0.392.212.293.87
Retailing: Internet & Direct Marketing Retail4.254.2513.383.87
Consumer Discretionary Sector1.371.154.113.81
Retailing: Distributors0.000.00-6.513.67
Automobiles & Components: Automobiles0.840.843.643.53
Consumer Durables & Apparel Industry Group1.070.841.053.39
Automobiles & Components Industry Group0.960.962.723.16
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods1.170.823.052.93
Automobiles & Components: Auto Components1.271.27-0.362.30
Consumer Services Industry Group-1.19-3.255.441.29
Consumer Services: Hotels Restaurants & Leisure-1.19-3.255.151.24

Consumer Discretionary Regional Performance YTD

1157
SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
Retailing: Internet & Direct Marketing Retail4.644.644.8144.77
Retailing Industry Group-2.67-1.34-2.5923.76
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods15.4620.5113.8015.97
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Leisure Products0.000.00-34.4015.43
Consumer Services: Diversified Consumer Services0.000.008.9910.47
Retailing: Multiline Retail17.930.00-8.898.53
Consumer Discretionary Sector2.162.15-7.288.00
Consumer Durables & Apparel Industry Group11.9420.050.137.79
Retailing: Specialty Retail-7.76-2.27-4.816.73
Consumer Services Industry Group-2.67-11.432.121.80
Consumer Services: Hotels Restaurants & Leisure-2.67-11.43-3.361.71
Automobiles & Components: Automobiles-3.10-3.10-13.29-0.17
Automobiles & Components Industry Group-3.43-4.35-14.67-0.75
Automobiles & Components: Auto Components-4.09-7.85-19.31-2.11
Media Industry Group-0.57-6.78-8.87-4.65
Media: Media-0.57-6.78-8.87-4.65
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Household Durables-6.46-0.61-11.31-5.40
Retailing: Distributors0.000.00-28.84-9.82

Consumer Discretionary Performance in Various Countries Last Month

c35
countryPeriodChange
Ireland29.64
United States4.88
Spain4.44
Singapore3.90
Canada3.28
China3.11
United Kingdom1.81
Chile0.73
Switzerland-0.09
Japan-0.21
Taiwan-0.51
Italy-0.56
France-1.44
Philippines-2.38
Korea (South)-3.19
Croatia (Hrvatska)-3.39
Malaysia-3.65
Slovenia-4.97
Indonesia-5.26
Mexico-5.26
Hong Kong-6.22
Sweden-6.74
India-7.82
Poland-7.85
Germany-8.83
Thailand-10.58
South Africa-12.89
Turkey-13.25
Kuwait-13.68
Brazil-15.08
Argentina-17.03
Greece-22.73
Denmark-28.38

Consumer Discretionary Valuation and Growth in Various Countries (Simple Averages)

13df
CountryPEFy0PEFy12018Growth
MACAU30.0023.0050.54
MALAYSIA16.6016.0034.17
SWITZERLAND6.676.3332.60
CHILE29.0023.0029.96
SINGAPORE0.000.0028.73
THAILAND34.5030.5027.02
SOUTH AFRICA8.3310.3322.51
MEXICO16.0016.0021.53
CHINA10.6912.9219.15
HONG KONG15.4310.4319.03
INDIA10.719.5717.86
SOUTH KOREA7.767.5217.73
SPAIN26.0021.0014.78
JAPAN13.0014.0014.16
AUSTRALIA15.5011.5012.92
GERMANY13.888.6312.52
CANADA23.5018.2512.12
BRITAIN14.4313.9311.85
UNITED STATES15.9612.2811.59
TAIWAN17.8310.3310.63
FRANCE18.5817.179.77
ITALY23.0026.009.09
INDONESIA14.759.757.76
RUSSIA8.755.254.91
TURKEY14.3311.003.74
SWEDEN15.3316.000.94
NETHERLANDS0.0018.500.00
ARGENTINA0.000.000.00
BRAZIL15.1415.29-0.84
LUXEMBOURG12.0015.00-39.97
1cc9
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    Valuation and Growth of Various Sectors in Consumer Discretionary

    35
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    Link to Consumer Discretionary Macro Page 44

    Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2018 simple average 13 PE Fy1 of 12.9 x a and 2018 57 PE Fy2 of 11.8 x

    Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2018 simple average 20 EV/EBITDA of 7.9 x and 2018 66 EV/EBITDA of 7.1 x

    In terms of Dividend yield Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2018 1c Yield of 1.8 % and 2018 5d Dividend Yield of 2.0 %

    On ROE basis Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2018 1b ROE of 12.7 % and 2018 62 ROE of 12.5 %

    Largest Companies in Consumer Discretionary by Market Capitalisation mn$

    17c5
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryMarketCapUSDmn
    AMZN USAmazon.com IncUNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re701229.0
    7203 JPToyota Motor CorpJAPANAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers209352.0
    HD USHome Depot Inc/TheUNITED STATESRetailingHome Improvement Retail199835.0
    MC FPLVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SEFRANCEConsumer Durables & ApparelApparel, Accessories & Luxury176593.0
    CMCSA USComcast CorpUNITED STATESMediaCable & Satellite153872.0
    CMCSK USComcast CorpUNITED STATESMediaCable & Satellite153872.0
    DIS USWalt Disney Co/TheUNITED STATESMediaMovies & Entertainment150953.0
    NFLX USNetflix IncUNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re134198.0
    MCD USMcDonald's CorpUNITED STATESConsumer ServicesRestaurants127047.0
    NPN SJNaspers LtdSOUTH AFRICAMediaCable & Satellite110247.0
    NKE USNIKE IncUNITED STATESConsumer Durables & ApparelFootwear109228.0
    VOW3 GRVolkswagen AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers108363.0
    VOW GRVolkswagen AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers108353.0
    ITX SMIndustria de Diseno Textil SASPAINRetailingApparel Retail96008.0
    DAI GRDaimler AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers87189.0
    SBUX USStarbucks CorpUNITED STATESConsumer ServicesRestaurants83534.0
    CHTR USCharter Communications IncUNITED STATESMediaCable & Satellite80750.0
    CDI FPChristian Dior SEFRANCEConsumer Durables & ApparelApparel, Accessories & Luxury76980.0
    TWX USTime Warner IncUNITED STATESMediaMovies & Entertainment75130.0
    BMW GRBayerische Motoren Werke AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers72867.0

    Number of Companies in Consumer Discretionary by Country by SubIndustry and Market Capitalisation mn$

    1269
    CountryIndustrySubIndustryNumber of companiesMarketCapUSDmn
    SOUTH KOREARetailingDepartment Stores412390.0
    HONG KONGRetailingDistributors1967.0
    CHINARetailingDepartment Stores32327.0
    TAIWANRetailingAutomotive Retail15500.0
    TAIWANRetailingDepartment Stores1877.0
    JAPANRetailingAutomotive Retail16477.0
    JAPANRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re110577.0
    CHINARetailingComputer & Electronics Retail12334.0
    JAPANRetailingDepartment Stores14707.0
    CHINARetailingAutomotive Retail16440.0
    JAPANRetailingComputer & Electronics Retail15886.0
    JAPANRetailingApparel Retail146162.0
    UNITED STATESRetailingAutomotive Retail455288.0
    UNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re5851703.0
    UNITED STATESRetailingHomefurnishing Retail12417.0
    UNITED STATESRetailingComputer & Electronics Retail120157.0
    UNITED STATESRetailingGeneral Merchandise Stores488326.0
    UNITED STATESRetailingSpecialty Stores636552.0
    CHILERetailingDepartment Stores124240.0
    UNITED STATESRetailingDistributors113225.0

    Top Companies Consumer Discretionary by Dividend Yield

    69a
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryDividendYld_fy1
    SVAV RMSollers PJSCRUSSIAAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers15.0
    MPLU3 BZMultiplus SABRAZILMediaAdvertising8.0
    SESG FPSES SALUXEMBOURGMediaCable & Satellite8.0
    DSKY RMDetsky MirRussiaRetail - Discretionary8.0
    BST MKBerjaya Sports Toto BhdMALAYSIAConsumer ServicesCasinos & Gaming7.0

    Cheapest Companies in Consumer Discretionary on FY1 PE

    73f
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryPE_fy1
    489 HKDongfeng Motor Group Co LtdCHINAAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers4.0
    FCA IMFiat Chrysler Automobiles NVBRITAINAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers5.0
    PAH3 GRPorsche Automobil Holding SEGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers5.0
    RNO FPRenault SAFRANCEAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers5.0
    000270 KSKia Motors CorpSOUTH KOREAAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers6.0


    Earnings Relises and Dividends

    4c4
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