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17
January 5, 2018
24

Top Longs Based on Momentum

a36
tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
VIPSVIPSHOP HOLDINGS SPONSORED ADS REPChinaConsumer Discretionary46.32
VIPSVIPSHOP HOLDINGS SPONSORED ADS REPChinaConsumer Discretionary46.32
TFGTHE FOSCHINI GROUP LTDSouth AfricaConsumer Discretionary38.01
TRUTRUWORTHS INTERNATIONAL LTDSouth AfricaConsumer Discretionary30.43
MRPMR PRICE GROUP LTDSouth AfricaConsumer Discretionary26.88
MRPMR PRICE GROUP LTDSouth AfricaConsumer Discretionary26.88
ATCALTICE CLASS A NVNetherlandsConsumer Discretionary26.05
IPLIMPERIAL HOLDINGS LTDSouth AfricaConsumer Discretionary25.79
494LI & FUNG LTDHong KongConsumer Discretionary25.00
WHLWOOLWORTHS HOLDING LTDSouth AfricaConsumer Discretionary23.94
25

Top Shorts Based on Momentum

a31
tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
SNHSTEINHOFF INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS NNetherlandsConsumer Discretionary-90.82
SNHSTEINHOFF INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS NNetherlandsConsumer Discretionary-90.82
M&MMAHINDRA AND MAHINDRA LTDIndiaConsumer Discretionary-47.15
APTVAPTIV PLCUnited KingdomConsumer Discretionary-16.87
MATMATTEL INCUnited StatesConsumer Discretionary-15.68
HM BHENNES & MAURITZSwedenConsumer Discretionary-11.24
LPPFMATAHARI DEPARTMENT STOREIndonesiaConsumer Discretionary-10.84
2238GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP LTD HChinaConsumer Discretionary-9.89
4755RAKUTEN INCJapanConsumer Discretionary-9.39
LIVEPOLC.1EL PUERTO DE LIVERPOOL C1MexicoConsumer Discretionary-8.76
228
MLIndexnameytd1monthFy1PE
MXEF Index MSCIMSCI EM30.030.9112.2

Commodities YTD Performance

1f40
NameUnitsKeyLastPriceCurrencyYTDChange USDpct1month
Palladium SpotUSD/t oz.Palladium1090.93USD60.207.93
Lumber (CME)USD/1000 board feetLumber450.30USD42.23-1.12
3Mo Aluminum (LME)USD/MT3Mo Aluminum2268.00USD33.968.36
Copper (Comex)USd/lb.Copper3.2725USD30.616.11
3Mo Zinc (LME)USD/MT3Mo Zinc3319.00USD28.844.50
Rough Rice (CBOT)USD/cwtRough Rice11.76USD25.712.80
NickelUSD/MTNickel12250USD22.260.00
Brent Crude (ICE)USD/bbl.Oil66.46USD16.974.20
Gold SpotUSD/t oz.Gold1311.80USD14.322.03
Feeder Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Feeder Cattle1.455USD11.54-7.82
Cotton #2 (ICE)USd/lb.Cotton0.7744USD9.6112.44
Lean Hogs (CME)USd/lb.Lean Hogs0.7132999999999999USD7.8312.90
Silver (Comex)USD/t oz.Silver17.18USD7.450.94
SteelUSD/MTSteel525USD6.060.57
Wheat (CBOT)USd/bu.Wheat4.4USD4.640.00
Platinum SpotUSD/t oz.Platinum939.25USD4.000.28
Live Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Live Cattle1.2275USD3.150.22
Oats (CBOT)USd/bu.Oats2.325USD1.750.00
Corn (CBOT)USd/bu.Corn3.575USD0.000.00
Canola (ICE)CAD/MTCanola490.40CAD-1.29-4.96
Soybean (CBOT)USd/bu.Soybean9.6575USD-4.620.00
3Mo Tin (LME)USD/MT3Mo Tin20025.00USD-5.213.09
Coffee 'C' (ICE)USd/lb.Coffee1.2965USD-5.402.57
Cocoa (ICE)USD/MTCocoa1933.00USD-9.08-11.53
Cocking CoalCNY/MTCocking Coal1040CNY-12.01-22.04
Ethanol (CBOT)USD/gal.Ethanol1.36USD-15.32-5.56
Natural Gas (Nymex)USD/MMBtuNatural Gas3.02USD 3e5 -18.90-5.92
Rubber (Tokyo)JPY/kgRubber207.00JPY-20.993.97
Sugar #11 (ICE)USd/lb.Sugar0.153USD-21.582.82
Orange Juice (ICE)USd/lb.Orange Juice1.3619999999999999USD-31.25-15.32

Country USD Yields Ordered By YTD Yield Chance

1f40
countryYieldYieldChange
Hong Kong65.3452.24
Venezuela52.6428.85
Israel5.281.09
Lebanon7.010.12
Finland2.810.09
Canada7.660.08
United States5.750.07
France6.320.04
Oman4.950.02
Qatar3.59-0.04
Korea (South)3.95-0.06
Bahrain5.71-0.08
China4.10-0.16
Slovak Republic2.44-0.29
Netherlands4.34-0.33
Philippines3.26-0.35
Pakistan5.56-0.35
Japan3.47-0.35
Thailand3.06-0.40
New Zealand5.06-0.41
Jordan5.77-0.48
South Africa4.98-0.49
Kuwait4.06-0.49
Germany3.78-0.56
United Kingdom4.81-0.57
Peru3.62-0.60
Lithuania2.42-0.60
Chile4.53-0.60
United Arab Emirates4.01-0.61
Guatemala4.22-0.67
Russian Federation3.89-0.68
Poland2.70-0.71
Ireland5.64-0.74
Malaysia3.45-0.76
Taiwan3.37-0.77
Morocco3.66-0.78
Trinidad and Tobago4.63-0.79
Hungary3.15-0.86
Panama3.80-0.86
Colombia4.32-0.86
Indonesia3.86-0.88
Romania3.30-0.89
Azerbaijan4.73-0.93
Mexico4.34-0.95
Brazil5.49-0.98
Paraguay5.12-0.98
Turkey5.03-1.03
India4.07-1.04
Tunisia5.84-1.05
Croatia (Hrvatska)3.16-1.07
Costa Rica5.91-1.07
Cote D'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)5.52-1.14
Uruguay3.68-1.17
Vietnam3.54-1.27
Serbia3.14-1.34
Luxembourg9.87-1.40
Dominican Republic4.79-1.51
Kazakhstan4.14-1.58
Gabon6.09-1.65
El Salvador6.24-1.66
Sri Lanka4.80-1.69
Egypt4.76-1.73
Italy4.05-1.73
Senegal3.87-1.84
Jamaica6.76-1.99
Nigeria5.09-2.00
Argentina5.74-2.14
Ukraine6.53-2.17
Kenya5.66-2.18
Ethiopia5.76-2.26
Ghana6.01-2.33
Zambia6.73-2.37
Ecuador6.10-2.52
Iraq6.53-2.72
Mongolia5.36-2.96
Angola6.95-3.17

Consumer Discretionary Regional Performance Last Month

1117
SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
Media Industry Group0.610.682.752.17
Media: Media0.610.682.752.17
Retailing: Internet & Direct Marketing Retail-0.07-0.074.692.11
Retailing: Multiline Retail0.250.000.911.61
Retailing: Distributors0.000.00-2.131.60
Consumer Services: Diversified Consumer Services0.000.002.671.55
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Leisure Products0.000.003.301.23
Retailing Industry Group0.16-0.182.031.21
Consumer Discretionary Sector0.01-0.081.490.95
Automobiles & Components: Automobiles0.160.160.110.70
Automobiles & Components Industry Group0.150.150.000.64
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Household Durables0.550.153.110.63
Automobiles & Components: Auto Components0.100.12-0.380.51
Consumer Durables & Apparel Industry Group-0.46-0.951.850.40
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods-0.65-0.970.740.16
Retailing: Specialty Retail0.16-0.19-1.460.11
Consumer Services Industry Group0.060.891.56-0.02
Consumer Services: Hotels Restaurants & Leisure0.060.890.69-0.03

Consumer Discretionary Regional Performance YTD

1156
SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
Retailing: Internet & Direct Marketing Retail36.0036.0039.6248.96
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Household Durables48.8135.67-17.3136.57
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods38.8246.8948.9131.62
Consumer Durables & Apparel Industry Group40.2946.628.1130.95
Consumer Services: Hotels Restaurants & Leisure19.4520.8333.4930.57
Consumer Services Industry Group19.4520.8356.2830.44
Automobiles & Components: Auto Components27.6830.2319.9730.37
Retailing Industry Group-5.284.7732.3127.12
Consumer Discretionary Sector21.0226.4440.0122.88
Automobiles & Components Industry Group26.0326.6132.0320.46
Consumer Services: Diversified Consumer Services0.000.00100.7919.41
Automobiles & Components: Automobiles25.3525.3535.9716.64
Retailing: Multiline Retail-0.480.0020.2115.16
Retailing: Distributors0.000.0055.3313.87
Retailing: Specialty Retail-8.291.2432.2113.86
Media Industry Group-0.824.1572.017.75
Media: Media-0.824.1572.017.75
Consumer Durables & Apparel: Leisure Products0.000.001.991.50

Consumer Discretionary Performance in Various Countries Last Month

d38
countryPeriodChange
South Africa21.76
Hong Kong19.10
Chile17.85
Greece15.09
Turkey14.96
Denmark12.53
Poland10.45
Switzerland9.00
Macau8.09
Taiwan6.84
Ireland5.02
Philippines4.54
China4.47
United Kingdom4.38
Canada2.67
United States2.40
Brazil2.26
Malaysia2.10
Korea (South)1.72
France1.71
Italy1.66
Slovenia1.56
Germany1.48
Japan1.32
India-0.03
Kuwait-0.32
Mexico-0.72
Argentina-0.98
Spain-1.13
Croatia (Hrvatska)-1.46
Indonesia-2.05
Thailand-2.12
Singapore-2.72
Sweden-4.13
United Arab Emirates-5.56
Netherlands-51.86

Consumer Discretionary Valuation and Growth in Various Countries (Simple Averages)

10b1
CountryPEFy0PEFy12017Growth
INDIA13.5816.9552.87
SINGAPORE0.000.0042.49
GERMANY10.5111.3441.21
CHINA14.8415.2633.51
MACAU18.9425.1426.04
JAPAN13.0113.4225.72
FRANCE22.9920.4323.36
SPAIN32.7028.3623.01
RUSSIA10.5812.5621.17
BRAZIL11.3517.8619.34
INDONESIA22.5513.7517.22
HONG KONG15.1314.3014.67
CHILE21.2326.3511.94
ITALY35.9525.3511.52
MEXICO33.7919.748.41
TAIWAN17.3113.027.16
CANADA20.6517.416.91
SWEDEN26.8317.636.67
SOUTH KOREA10.3011.676.00
SOUTH AFRICA13.9512.254.33
UNITED STATES19.1317.193.52
MALAYSIA19.0817.39-4.35
TURKEY11.5414.02-8.19
BRITAIN12.1511.66-9.33
LUXEMBOURG23.9116.88-19.95
1aed
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    Valuation and Growth of Various Sectors in Consumer Discretionary

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    Link to Consumer Discretionary Macro Page 44

    Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2017 simple average 13 PE Fy1 of 16.2 x a and 2018 57 PE Fy2 of 14.6 x

    Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2017 simple average 20 EV/EBITDA of 9.7 x and 2018 66 EV/EBITDA of 9.2 x

    In terms of Dividend yield Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2017 1c Yield of 2.3 % and 2018 5d Dividend Yield of 2.5 %

    On ROE basis Consumer Discretionary sector trades at 2017 1b ROE of 13.3 % and 2018 62 ROE of 14.1 %

    Largest Companies in Consumer Discretionary by Market Capitalisation mn$

    17cc
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryMarketCapUSDmn
    AMZN USAmazon.com IncUNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re472011.3
    7203 JPToyota Motor CorpJAPANAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers190368.7
    HD USHome Depot Inc/TheUNITED STATESRetailingHome Improvement Retail188504.7
    CMCSA USComcast CorpUNITED STATESMediaCable & Satellite178636.8
    DIS USWalt Disney Co/TheUNITED STATESMediaMovies & Entertainment151091.4
    MC FPLVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SEFRANCEConsumer Durables & ApparelApparel, Accessories & Luxury138779.7
    MCD USMcDonald's CorpUNITED STATESConsumer ServicesRestaurants126626.8
    ITX SMIndustria de Diseno Textil SASPAINRetailingApparel Retail119380.4
    CHTR USCharter Communications IncUNITED STATESMediaCable & Satellite115406.0
    NPN SJNaspers LtdSOUTH AFRICAMediaCable & Satellite100531.9
    PCLN USPriceline Group Inc/TheUNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re91673.7
    NKE USNIKE IncUNITED STATESConsumer Durables & ApparelFootwear87650.4
    DAI GRDaimler AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers84009.8
    VOW3 GRVolkswagen AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers83325.7
    NFLX USNetflix IncUNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re79938.5
    TWX USTime Warner IncUNITED STATESMediaMovies & Entertainment78557.9
    SBUX USStarbucks CorpUNITED STATESConsumer ServicesRestaurants77306.4
    BMW GRBayerische Motoren Werke AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers65598.4
    LOW USLowe's Cos IncUNITED STATESRetailingHome Improvement Retail65509.0
    TSLA USTesla IncUNITED STATESAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers60538.3

    Number of Companies in Consumer Discretionary by Country by SubIndustry and Market Capitalisation mn$

    1263
    CountryIndustrySubIndustryNumber of companiesMarketCapUSDmn
    SOUTH KOREARetailingDepartment Stores39711.9
    HONG KONGRetailingDistributors1935.9
    TAIWANRetailingAutomotive Retail16354.3
    TAIWANRetailingDepartment Stores1727.9
    CHINARetailingDepartment Stores22448.8
    JAPANRetailingAutomotive Retail16315.1
    JAPANRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re116282.0
    CHINARetailingComputer & Electronics Retail12329.0
    CHINARetailingAutomotive Retail15206.8
    JAPANRetailingApparel Retail130470.7
    UNITED STATESRetailingAutomotive Retail452708.3
    UNITED STATESRetailingInternet & Direct Marketing Re5676123.8
    UNITED STATESRetailingHomefurnishing Retail14198.6
    UNITED STATESRetailingComputer & Electronics Retail116990.7
    UNITED STATESRetailingGeneral Merchandise Stores372541.6
    CHILERetailingDepartment Stores123636.3
    UNITED STATESRetailingApparel Retail492185.2
    UNITED STATESRetailingHome Improvement Retail2254013.7
    BRAZILRetailingApparel Retail11465.0
    SWEDENRetailingApparel Retail143276.2

    Top Companies Consumer Discretionary by Dividend Yield

    687
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryDividendYld_fy1
    MPLU3 BZMultiplus SABRAZILMediaAdvertising7.6
    SESG FPSES SALUXEMBOURGMediaCable & Satellite7.6
    BST MKBerjaya Sports Toto BhdMALAYSIAConsumer ServicesCasinos & Gaming7.3
    M USMacy's IncUNITED STATESRetailingDepartment Stores7.0
    NXT LNNext PLCBRITAINRetailingDepartment Stores6.3

    Cheapest Companies in Consumer Discretionary on FY1 PE

    731
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryPE_fy1
    PAH3 GRPorsche Automobil Holding SEGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers4.6
    RNO FPRenault SAFRANCEAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers5.3
    489 HKDongfeng Motor Group Co LtdCHINAAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers5.4
    VOW3 GRVolkswagen AGGERMANYAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers5.7
    GM USGeneral Motors CoUNITED STATESAutomobiles & ComponentsAutomobile Manufacturers6.1


    Earnings Relises and Dividends

    4c4
  • 0