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September 24, 2018

Top Longs Based on Momentum

9fd
tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
SBTTHANH THANH CONG - BIEN HOAVietnamConsumer Staples28.57
4912LION CORPJapanConsumer Staples20.42
282330BGF RETAIL LTDKorea (South)Consumer Staples18.43
282330BGF RETAIL LTDKorea (South)Consumer Staples18.43
007070GS RETAIL LTDKorea (South)Consumer Staples17.79
007070GS RETAIL LTDKorea (South)Consumer Staples17.79
B4BMETRO AGGermanyConsumer Staples17.37
2912PRESIDENT CHAIN STORE CORP.TaiwanConsumer Staples12.95
BARNBARRY CALLEBAUT AGSwitzerlandConsumer Staples12.06
051905LG HOUSEHOLD & HEALTH CARE LTD. PRKorea (South)Consumer Staples11.30

Top Shorts Based on Momentum

9e2
tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
EASTEASTERN CO.EgyptConsumer Staples-48.05
GODREJCPGODREJ CONSUMER PRODUCTS LTDIndiaConsumer Staples-41.41
TBSTIGER BRANDS LTDSouth AfricaConsumer Staples-26.67
ULKERULKER BISKUVI SANAYI ATurkeyConsumer Staples-25.60
PFGPIONEER FOOD GROUP LTDSouth AfricaConsumer Staples-23.11
007310OTTOGI CORPKorea (South)Consumer Staples-19.84
007310OTTOGI CORPKorea (South)Consumer Staples-19.84
322TINGYI (CAYMAN ISLANDS) HOLDINGS CChinaConsumer Staples-19.21
VNMVIET NAM DAIRY PRODUCTSVietnamConsumer Staples-17.77
271560ORION CORPKorea (South)Consumer Staples-17.59
35f
MLIndexnameytd1monthFy1PE
MSGUCSTA Index MSCIMSCI World Consumer Staples US-5.870.08-
MXEF Index MSCIMSCI EM-11.62-3.7110.7

Commodities YTD Performance

1f40
NameUnitsKeyLastPriceCurrencyYTDChange USDpct1month
Cocking CoalCNY/MTCocking Coal1334CNY28.27-4.17
Brent Crude (ICE)USD/bbl.Oil79.70USD19.922.49
Wheat (CBOT)USd/bu.Wheat5.2025USD18.247.60
Cocoa (ICE)USD/MTCocoa2195.00USD13.55-10.44
Feeder Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Feeder Cattle1.5773USD8.417.43
Orange Juice (ICE)USd/lb.Orange Juice1.466USD7.64-8.63
Oats (CBOT)USd/bu.Oats2.49USD7.104.84
Cotton #2 (ICE)USd/lb.Cotton0.7896USD1.96-5.49
NickelUSD/MTNickel12465USD1.76-15.18
Canola (ICE)CAD/MTCanola486.30CAD-0.84-4.72
SteelUSD/MTSteel516USD-1.71-6.27
Corn (CBOT)USd/bu.Corn3.4525USD-3.43-2.54
Natural Gas (Nymex)USD/MMBtuNatural Gas2.91USD-3.64-1.36
Live Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Live Cattle1.1798USD-3.8913.74
Palladium SpotUSD/t oz.Palladium1039.45USD-4.726.04
3Mo Tin (LME)USD/MT3Mo Tin18870.00USD-5.77-7.61
Ethanol (CBOT)USD/gal.Ethanol1.25USD-8.09-12.59
Gold SpotUSD/t oz.Gold1205.34USD-8.12-7.36
3Mo Aluminum (LME)USD/MT3Mo Aluminum2026.00USD-10.67-10.95
Platinum SpotUSD/t oz.Platinum824.48USD-12.22-9.14
Soybean (CBOT)USd/bu.Soybean8.265USD-14.42-6.45
Rough Rice (CBOT)USD/cwtRough Rice9.98USD-15.14-11.05
Copper (Comex)USd/lb.Copper2.7405USD-16.26-9.96
Silver (Comex)USD/t oz.Silver14.36USD-16.41-12.71
Rubber (Tokyo)JPY/kgRubber169.70JPY-18.02-2.69
Lean Hogs (CME)USd/lb.Lean Hogs0.579USD-18.83-23.53
Lumber (CME)USD/1000 board feetLumber347.20USD-22.90-35.80
Sugar #11 (ICE)USd/lb.Sugar0.1164USD-23.92-4.98
Coffee 'C' (ICE)USd/lb.Coffee0.9670000000000001USD-25.41-16.46
3Mo Zinc (LME)USD/MT3Mo Zinc2434.00USD-26.66-21.20

Country USD Yields Ordered By YTD Yield Change

1f40
countryYieldYieldChange
Zambia12.125.90
Turkey10.945.58
Jamaica11.754.94
Lebanon11.794.53
Argentina9.613.93
Ecuador10.043.29
Tunisia8.772.98
Bermuda11.122.47
Russian Federation6.482.07
Sri Lanka6.912.05
Kenya7.611.92
Gabon7.951.90
India6.301.81
Ukraine8.491.70
Cote D'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)7.361.66
Senegal7.181.65
Italy6.591.61
Egypt7.281.50
South Africa6.291.39
China5.961.39
Nigeria7.251.38
Pakistan7.501.36
El Salvador7.601.27
Bahrain7.311.21
Ethiopia7.001.19
Iraq7.561.18
Mongolia6.601.18
Trinidad and Tobago5.271.11
Singapore5.111.08
Brazil6.781.06
Ghana7.111.06
Romania4.381.05
Jordan7.201.02
Dominican Republic5.831.00
Indonesia4.900.97
Belgium6.350.95
Australia5.650.95
Lithuania3.400.93
Serbia4.040.91
Morocco4.780.91
Hong Kong4.690.91
Oman5.640.90
Costa Rica6.880.86
Hungary4.010.85
Bolivia5.820.84
Chile5.170.83
Malaysia4.410.82
Macau5.850.82
Uruguay4.500.79
Kazakhstan5.510.79
Slovak Republic3.270.79
Netherlands5.120.78
Poland3.470.77
Kuwait4.360.76
Philippines4.080.74
Vietnam4.270.72
Peru4.810.71
Mexico5.180.68
Croatia (Hrvatska)3.900.67
Taiwan4.100.65
New Zealand5.720.65
Guatemala5.370.64
Qatar4.420.61
Panama4.700.59
Angola7.570.59
Paraguay5.740.58
Saudi Arabia5.290.58
Colombia5.010.54
Korea (South)4.150.54
United Arab Emirates4.810.53
Supranational4.100.53
Thailand4.600.53
Finland4.550.51
France7.140.47
Azerbaijan5.170.41
Sweden4.410.37
Canada6.380.30
United Kingdom5.800.30
Ireland5.420.26
United States5.660.24
Israel5.34-0.08
Germany4.98-0.16
Switzerland6.96-0.18
Venezuela5.66-1.55
Luxembourg7.39-2.09

Consumer Staples Regional Performance Last Month

a2f
SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
Household & Personal Products: Household Products3.19-3.04-5.773.28
Food Beverage & Tobacco: Tobacco-2.160.00-2.063.14
Household & Personal Products Industry Group0.22-1.17-5.551.58
Food Beverage & Tobacco Industry Group-0.61-0.930.451.55
Food Beverage & Tobacco: Beverages-0.27-0.920.511.54
Consumer Staples Sector-0.47-1.02-0.281.42
Food & Staples Retailing Industry Group-1.67-0.882.010.85
Food & Staples Retailing: Food & Staples Retailing-1.67-0.882.010.85
Food Beverage & Tobacco: Food Products-0.20-0.951.380.66
Household & Personal Products: Personal Products-1.16-0.78-5.42-0.70

Consumer Staples Regional Performance YTD

a50
SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
Household & Personal Products: Personal Products2.353.29-11.655.58
Food & Staples Retailing Industry Group1.88-4.85-14.025.06
Food & Staples Retailing: Food & Staples Retailing1.88-4.85-14.025.06
Household & Personal Products Industry Group0.051.29-8.82-0.46
Food Beverage & Tobacco: Beverages-6.69-9.04-14.85-3.50
Consumer Staples Sector-6.06-3.91-10.84-4.00
Household & Personal Products: Household Products-4.63-7.53-3.25-4.34
Food Beverage & Tobacco: Food Products-2.57-4.92-6.36-4.83
Food Beverage & Tobacco Industry Group-9.31-7.88-9.99-8.26
Food Beverage & Tobacco: Tobacco-25.710.00-9.31-20.42

Consumer Staples Performance in Various Countries Last Month

ee1
countryPeriodChange
Philippines9.13
Switzerland7.77
Vietnam7.03
Bangladesh5.33
Ireland3.83
Germany3.83
Thailand3.37
Japan3.34
Morocco3.01
Portugal2.91
United States2.43
Taiwan2.12
Sweden1.91
Canada1.52
France0.91
Norway0.71
Mexico0.16
Italy-0.12
Denmark-1.40
Indonesia-1.47
Malaysia-1.82
China-2.72
Jordan-2.86
Korea (South)-2.94
Poland-2.95
Chile-4.07
United Kingdom-4.32
Australia-5.17
Russian Federation-5.73
Kuwait-6.36
Netherlands-6.41
Belgium-7.99
Argentina-9.51
South Africa-10.31
Brazil-11.00
Turkey-11.45
Nigeria-11.83
India-12.19
Hong Kong-16.05
Kenya-17.04
Egypt-48.05

Consumer Staples Valuation and Growth in Various Countries (Simple Averages)

1490
CountryPEFy0PEFy12018Growth
CHILE19.0020.5040.17
THAILAND23.5026.5035.40
RUSSIA7.9011.5035.07
TURKEY31.5021.0031.51
MALAYSIA25.4020.0031.47
SOUTH AFRICA19.8020.6027.47
MEXICO14.5714.2927.25
CHINA26.0020.1724.55
BRITAIN18.0013.2521.38
GERMANY23.6719.0016.81
FRANCE16.5020.5015.92
NORWAY25.0020.0014.59
BELGIUM22.0019.5014.26
UNITED STATES20.1515.3313.80
NETHERLANDS16.0014.3311.05
INDONESIA18.8016.6010.25
IRELAND0.0024.009.38
SWEDEN17.0019.007.92
AUSTRALIA18.5018.007.68
JAPAN21.3320.006.10
SOUTH KOREA11.8311.174.59
CANADA20.3316.334.46
INDIA21.679.333.92
SPAIN20.0010.00-0.38
UKRAINE1.674.33-8.15
BRAZIL14.5014.25-10.11
HONG KONG18.0017.00-16.99
SINGAPORE0.000.00-22.10
PHILIPPINES25.0030.00-36.31
TAIWAN16.0026.33-37.15
SWITZERLAND0.000.00-40.07
a17
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    Link to Consumer Staples Macro Page 3e

    Consumer Staples sector trades at 2018 simple average 13 PE Fy1 of 16.7 x a and 2018 13 PE Fy2 of 15.0 x 3e

    Consumer Staples sector trades at 2018 simple average 16 EV/EBITDA of 9.5 x a and 2018 15 EV/EBITDA of 8.7 x 4b

    In terms of Dividend yield Consumer Staples sector trades at 2018 12 Yield of 1.6 % a and 2018 1a Dividend Yield of 1.8 % 3d

    On ROE basis Consumer Staples sector trades at 2018 11 ROE of 12.4 % a and 2018 10 ROE of 12.0 % 4c

    Largest Companies in Consumer Staples by Market Capitalisation mn$

    17bc
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryMarketCapUSDmn
    WMT USWal-Mart Stores IncUNITED STATESFood & Staples RetailingHypermarkets & Super Centers252078.0
    ABI BBAnheuser-Busch InBev SA/NVBELGIUMFood Beverage & TobaccoBrewers212360.0
    PG USProcter & Gamble Co/TheUNITED STATESHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products196108.0
    KO USCoca-Cola Co/TheUNITED STATESFood Beverage & TobaccoSoft Drinks187765.0
    ULVR LNUnilever PLCBRITAINHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products166039.0
    UNA NAUnilever NVBRITAINHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products166036.0
    PM USPhilip Morris International IncUNITED STATESFood Beverage & TobaccoTobacco155835.0
    PEP USPepsiCo IncUNITED STATESFood Beverage & TobaccoSoft Drinks153740.0
    BATS LNBritish American Tobacco PLCBRITAINFood Beverage & TobaccoTobacco135319.0
    OR FPL'Oreal SAFRANCEHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products132495.0
    MO USAltria Group IncUNITED STATESFood Beverage & TobaccoTobacco120108.0
    ABEV3 BZAmbev SABRAZILFood Beverage & TobaccoBrewers107614.0
    DGE LNDiageo PLCBRITAINFood Beverage & TobaccoDistillers & Vintners87436.0
    COST USCostco Wholesale CorpUNITED STATESFood & Staples RetailingHypermarkets & Super Centers82858.0
    CVS USCVS Health CorpUNITED STATESFood & Staples RetailingDrug Retail65121.0
    WBA USWalgreens Boots Alliance IncUNITED STATESFood & Staples RetailingDrug Retail63506.0
    HEIA NAHeineken NVNETHERLANDSFood Beverage & TobaccoBrewers63394.0
    MDLZ USMondelez International IncUNITED STATESFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats62340.0
    CL USColgate-Palmolive CoUNITED STATESHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products61960.0
    EL USEstee Lauder Cos Inc/TheUNITED STATESHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products55714.0
    69

    Number of Companies in Consumer Staples by Country by SubIndustry and Market Capitalisation mn$

    1368
    CountryIndustrySubIndustryNumber of companiesMarketCapUSDmn
    SOUTH KOREAHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products348315.0
    CHINAHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products112023.0
    JAPANHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products260648.0
    JAPANHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products117074.0
    BRITAINHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products3333287.0
    GERMANYHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products128772.0
    UNITED STATESHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products6326792.0
    INDIAHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products220373.0
    UNITED STATESHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products155714.0
    GERMANYHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products2107706.0
    INDIAHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products146768.0
    MEXICOHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products15968.0
    BRAZILHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products14170.0
    FRANCEHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products1132495.0
    INDONESIAHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products127850.0
    SOUTH KOREAFood Beverage & TobaccoDistillers & Vintners11351.0
    SOUTH KOREAFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats312824.0
    SOUTH KOREAFood Beverage & TobaccoTobacco112783.0
    UKRAINEFood Beverage & TobaccoAgricultural Products11201.0
    TAIWANFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats215828.0
    3d

    Top Companies Consumer Staples by Dividend Yield

    6c7
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryDividendYld_fy1
    CO FPCasino Guichard Perrachon SAFRANCEFood & Staples RetailingFood Retail7.0
    ROTH MKBritish American Tobacco Malaysia BhdMALAYSIAFood Beverage & TobaccoTobacco7.0
    2914 JPJapan Tobacco IncJAPANFood Beverage & TobaccoTobacco5.0
    DIA SMDistribuidora Internacional de Alimentacion SASPAINFood & Staples RetailingHypermarkets & Super Centers5.0
    MHPC LIMHP SAUKRAINEFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats5.0
    3e

    Cheapest Companies in Consumer Staples on FY1 PE

    6fd
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryPE_fy1
    MHPC LIMHP SAUKRAINEFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats5.0
    GCHE RMCherkizovo Group PJSCRUSSIAFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats7.0
    JBSS3 BZJBS SABRAZILFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats7.0
    0KE GRKernel Holding SAUKRAINEFood Beverage & TobaccoAgricultural Products8.0
    AGRO LIRos Agro PLCRUSSIAFood Beverage & TobaccoAgricultural Products9.0


    Earnings Relises and Dividends

    4c4
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