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June 13, 2018

Top Longs Based on Momentum

a15
tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
BATBRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO (MALAYSIAMalaysiaConsumer Staples42.55
4911SHISEIDO LTDJapanConsumer Staples22.61
322TINGYI (CAYMAN ISLANDS) HOLDINGS CChinaConsumer Staples19.47
168TSINGTAO BREWERY LTD HChinaConsumer Staples18.58
271560ORION CORPKorea (South)Consumer Staples13.78
271560ORION CORPKorea (South)Consumer Staples13.78
SABSAIGON BEER-ALCOHOL-BEVERAGE CORPVietnamConsumer Staples13.03
151WANT WANT CHINA HOLDINGS LTDChinaConsumer Staples12.36
151WANT WANT CHINA HOLDINGS LTDChinaConsumer Staples12.36
1044HENGAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP LTDChinaConsumer Staples11.91

Top Shorts Based on Momentum

9c5
tickernamecountrysectorPeriodChange
ULKERULKER BISKUVI SANAYI ATurkeyConsumer Staples-23.86
BIMBOAGRUPO BIMBO AMexicoConsumer Staples-18.02
COTYCOTY INC CLASS AUnited StatesConsumer Staples-17.22
EASTEASTERN CO.EgyptConsumer Staples-16.48
ABEV3AMBEV SABrazilConsumer Staples-16.14
ABEV3AMBEV SABrazilConsumer Staples-16.14
LALABGRUPO LALAMexicoConsumer Staples-15.87
AEFESANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANTurkeyConsumer Staples-15.36
AEFESANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANTurkeyConsumer Staples-15.36
SBTSOCIETE DE BOURBON TAY NINHVietnamConsumer Staples-14.81
35f
MLIndexnameytd1monthFy1PE
MXEF Index MSCIMSCI EM-1.94-0.4611.0
MSGUCSTA Index MSCIMSCI World Consumer Staples US-8.98-0.05-

Commodities YTD Performance

1f40
NameUnitsKeyLastPriceCurrencyYTDChange USDpct1month
Lumber (CME)USD/1000 board feetLumber609.10USD35.2712.13
Cocking CoalCNY/MTCocking Coal1360CNY30.7722.52
Cocoa (ICE)USD/MTCocoa2517.00USD30.21-11.25
NickelUSD/MTNickel14870USD21.391.57
Orange Juice (ICE)USd/lb.Orange Juice1.6425USD20.5912.54
Wheat (CBOT)USd/bu.Wheat5.2575USD19.496.53
Cotton #2 (ICE)USd/lb.Cotton0.9057USD16.967.95
Brent Crude (ICE)USD/bbl.Oil76.32USD14.842.65
Lean Hogs (CME)USd/lb.Lean Hogs0.7943000000000001USD11.363.83
Corn (CBOT)USd/bu.Corn3.9625USD10.840.57
Ethanol (CBOT)USD/gal.Ethanol1.50USD10.290.67
Canola (ICE)CAD/MTCanola537.80CAD9.670.94
Soybean (CBOT)USd/bu.Soybean10.21USD5.72-0.99
SteelUSD/MTSteel555USD5.710.00
Oats (CBOT)USd/bu.Oats2.4225USD4.195.21
3Mo Tin (LME)USD/MT3Mo Tin20425.00USD2.00-5.98
3Mo Aluminum (LME)USD/MT3Mo Aluminum2275.00USD0.31-7.86
Feeder Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Feeder Cattle1.4487999999999999USD-0.43-1.32
Gold SpotUSD/t oz.Gold1301.15USD-0.81-1.87
Rough Rice (CBOT)USD/cwtRough Rice11.50USD-2.21-12.68
Platinum SpotUSD/t oz.Platinum907.44USD-3.39-0.45
Silver (Comex)USD/t oz.Silver16.45USD-4.25-1.20
Natural Gas (Nymex)USD/MMBtuNatural Gas2.88USD-4.643.60
Coffee 'C' (ICE)USd/lb.Coffee1.2195USD-5.942.52
3Mo Zinc (LME)USD/MT3Mo Zinc3089.00USD-6.93-4.44
Copper (Comex)USd/lb.Copper3.0435000000000003USD-7.00-3.43
Rubber (Tokyo)JPY/kgRubber191.50JPY-7.491.70
Palladium SpotUSD/t oz.Palladium980.26USD-10.14-0.58
Live Cattle (CME)USd/lb.Live Cattle1.014USD-17.39-3.96
Sugar #11 (ICE)USd/lb.Sugar0.1255USD-17.978.47

Country USD Yields Ordered By YTD Yield Change

1f40
countryYieldYieldChange
Jamaica10.964.00
Ecuador9.472.72
Zambia8.912.69
Lebanon9.292.03
Argentina7.691.93
Bahrain7.991.89
Turkey7.181.82
Tunisia7.541.75
Bermuda10.311.66
Italy5.981.53
Sri Lanka6.371.51
Pakistan7.641.50
Senegal7.021.50
Ethiopia7.141.33
Gabon7.361.31
India5.701.27
Russian Federation5.591.24
Belgium6.611.21
Cote D'Ivoire (Ivory Coast)6.871.16
China5.731.12
Lithuania3.581.11
Nigeria6.961.08
Serbia4.201.07
Dominican Republic5.891.06
Kenya6.751.06
Jordan7.251.06
Croatia (Hrvatska)4.251.05
Bolivia6.011.03
Romania4.361.02
Vietnam4.541.00
Ukraine7.700.98
Hungary4.110.95
Chile5.290.95
Trinidad and Tobago5.550.94
Supranational4.500.93
Ghana6.970.92
New Zealand6.000.92
Mexico5.430.91
Morocco4.860.91
El Salvador7.250.91
Indonesia4.890.91
Oman5.630.90
Macau5.910.88
Poland3.570.87
Peru4.880.86
Egypt6.630.85
Kuwait4.610.85
Brazil6.490.83
Malaysia4.420.82
Philippines4.160.82
Slovak Republic3.290.81
Panama4.920.80
Uruguay4.500.79
Hong Kong4.800.79
Colombia5.290.78
Kazakhstan5.480.77
Mongolia6.190.77
Singapore5.250.76
Taiwan4.200.75
Canada6.700.75
Qatar4.550.74
United Arab Emirates5.020.74
Costa Rica6.740.73
United Kingdom5.720.73
Guatemala5.410.68
South Africa5.540.67
Paraguay5.830.67
Netherlands5.000.65
Azerbaijan5.390.63
Iraq7.010.62
Thailand4.520.61
Australia5.290.59
Korea (South)4.340.58
Ireland5.590.58
Saudi Arabia5.250.55
Finland4.590.55
United States6.080.54
Sweden4.510.47
Israel5.860.44
France6.800.44
Angola7.350.37
Germany5.460.32
Switzerland7.300.16
Luxembourg8.35-1.61
Venezuela0.10-52.59

Consumer Staples Regional Performance Last Month

a1d
SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
Household & Personal Products: Household Products2.422.220.293.80
Household & Personal Products Industry Group1.331.192.142.69
Food Beverage & Tobacco: Beverages2.113.34-1.022.67
Food & Staples Retailing Industry Group1.211.60-0.942.36
Food & Staples Retailing: Food & Staples Retailing1.211.60-0.942.36
Consumer Staples Sector0.581.900.392.03
Food Beverage & Tobacco Industry Group0.192.570.461.65
Food Beverage & Tobacco: Food Products0.660.611.391.60
Household & Personal Products: Personal Products0.840.973.081.38
Food Beverage & Tobacco: Tobacco-4.010.000.93-0.11

Consumer Staples Regional Performance YTD

a50
SubindustryEuropeEMUGEMWorld
Household & Personal Products: Personal Products1.872.964.488.82
Food & Staples Retailing Industry Group3.46-5.64-8.49-1.90
Food & Staples Retailing: Food & Staples Retailing3.46-5.64-8.49-1.90
Food Beverage & Tobacco: Beverages-3.13-4.76-11.09-4.21
Household & Personal Products Industry Group-2.571.573.27-4.69
Consumer Staples Sector-7.66-2.77-4.97-7.55
Food Beverage & Tobacco: Food Products-9.59-7.830.02-9.08
Food Beverage & Tobacco Industry Group-10.87-5.62-6.02-10.51
Household & Personal Products: Household Products-11.38-4.620.90-13.45
Food Beverage & Tobacco: Tobacco-24.100.00-11.13-22.11

Consumer Staples Performance in Various Countries Last Month

ede
countryPeriodChange
China12.36
Poland10.42
Russian Federation9.59
Argentina8.44
Canada4.79
Japan3.86
Taiwan3.06
Malaysia2.58
Ireland1.87
Italy1.75
United States1.49
United Kingdom1.05
Hong Kong0.96
Denmark0.81
Norway0.77
India0.67
Belgium0.47
Australia0.45
Sweden-0.20
Indonesia-0.39
Kuwait-0.42
Korea (South)-0.47
Netherlands-0.53
Switzerland-0.66
Germany-1.70
France-1.91
Jordan-3.50
Brazil-3.60
Vietnam-4.30
Thailand-4.46
South Africa-5.55
Portugal-6.10
Morocco-6.28
Chile-6.63
Kenya-8.73
Nigeria-9.40
Mexico-9.89
Bangladesh-11.01
Turkey-12.73
Philippines-14.18
Egypt-16.48

Consumer Staples Valuation and Growth in Various Countries (Simple Averages)

1490
CountryPEFy0PEFy12018Growth
CHILE19.0020.5040.17
THAILAND23.5026.5035.40
RUSSIA7.9011.5035.07
TURKEY31.5021.0031.51
MALAYSIA25.4020.0031.47
SOUTH AFRICA19.8020.6027.47
MEXICO14.5714.2927.25
CHINA26.0020.1724.55
BRITAIN18.0013.2521.38
GERMANY23.6719.0016.81
FRANCE16.5020.5015.92
NORWAY25.0020.0014.59
BELGIUM22.0019.5014.26
UNITED STATES20.1515.3313.80
NETHERLANDS16.0014.3311.05
INDONESIA18.8016.6010.25
IRELAND0.0024.009.38
SWEDEN17.0019.007.92
AUSTRALIA18.5018.007.68
JAPAN21.3320.006.10
SOUTH KOREA11.8311.174.59
CANADA20.3316.334.46
INDIA21.679.333.92
SPAIN20.0010.00-0.38
UKRAINE1.674.33-8.15
BRAZIL14.5014.25-10.11
HONG KONG18.0017.00-16.99
SINGAPORE0.000.00-22.10
PHILIPPINES25.0030.00-36.31
TAIWAN16.0026.33-37.15
SWITZERLAND0.000.00-40.07
9ef
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    Valuation and Growth of Various Sectors in Consumer Staples

    35
    38d
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    3e8
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  • Despite Underperformance Consumer Staples Still Look Overpriced
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    35a
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    Link to Consumer Staples Macro Page 3e

    Consumer Staples sector trades at 2018 simple average 13 PE Fy1 of 16.7 x a and 2018 13 PE Fy2 of 15.0 x 3e

    Consumer Staples sector trades at 2018 simple average 16 EV/EBITDA of 9.5 x a and 2018 15 EV/EBITDA of 8.7 x 4b

    In terms of Dividend yield Consumer Staples sector trades at 2018 12 Yield of 1.6 % a and 2018 1a Dividend Yield of 1.8 % 3d

    On ROE basis Consumer Staples sector trades at 2018 11 ROE of 12.4 % a and 2018 5c ROE of 12.0 %

    Largest Companies in Consumer Staples by Market Capitalisation mn$

    1825
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryMarketCapUSDmn
    WMT USWal-Mart Stores IncUNITED STATESFood & Staples RetailingHypermarkets & Super Centers252078.0
    ABI BBAnheuser-Busch InBev SA/NVBELGIUMFood Beverage & TobaccoBrewers212360.0
    PG USProcter & Gamble Co/TheUNITED STATESHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products196108.0
    KO USCoca-Cola Co/TheUNITED STATESFood Beverage & TobaccoSoft Drinks187765.0
    ULVR LNUnilever PLCBRITAINHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products166039.0
    UNA NAUnilever NVBRITAINHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products166036.0
    PM USPhilip Morris International IncUNITED STATESFood Beverage & TobaccoTobacco155835.0
    PEP USPepsiCo IncUNITED STATESFood Beverage & TobaccoSoft Drinks153740.0
    BATS LNBritish American Tobacco PLCBRITAINFood Beverage & TobaccoTobacco135319.0
    OR FPL'Oreal SAFRANCEHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products132495.0
    MO USAltria Group IncUNITED STATESFood Beverage & TobaccoTobacco120108.0
    ABEV3 BZAmbev SABRAZILFood Beverage & TobaccoBrewers107614.0
    DGE LNDiageo PLCBRITAINFood Beverage & TobaccoDistillers & Vintners87436.0
    COST USCostco Wholesale CorpUNITED STATESFood & Staples RetailingHypermarkets & Super Centers82858.0
    CVS USCVS Health CorpUNITED STATESFood & Staples RetailingDrug Retail65121.0
    WBA USWalgreens Boots Alliance IncUNITED STATESFood & Staples RetailingDrug Retail63506.0
    HEIA NAHeineken NVNETHERLANDSFood Beverage & TobaccoBrewers63394.0
    MDLZ USMondelez International IncUNITED STATESFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats62340.0
    CL USColgate-Palmolive CoUNITED STATESHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products61960.0
    EL USEstee Lauder Cos Inc/TheUNITED STATESHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products55714.0

    Number of Companies in Consumer Staples by Country by SubIndustry and Market Capitalisation mn$

    13a5
    CountryIndustrySubIndustryNumber of companiesMarketCapUSDmn
    SOUTH KOREAHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products348315.0
    CHINAHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products112023.0
    JAPANHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products260648.0
    JAPANHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products117074.0
    BRITAINHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products3333287.0
    GERMANYHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products128772.0
    UNITED STATESHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products6326792.0
    INDIAHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products220373.0
    UNITED STATESHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products155714.0
    GERMANYHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products2107706.0
    INDIAHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products146768.0
    MEXICOHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products15968.0
    BRAZILHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products14170.0
    FRANCEHousehold & Personal ProductsPersonal Products1132495.0
    INDONESIAHousehold & Personal ProductsHousehold Products127850.0
    SOUTH KOREAFood Beverage & TobaccoDistillers & Vintners11351.0
    SOUTH KOREAFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats312824.0
    SOUTH KOREAFood Beverage & TobaccoTobacco112783.0
    UKRAINEFood Beverage & TobaccoAgricultural Products11201.0
    TAIWANFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats215828.0

    Top Companies Consumer Staples by Dividend Yield

    705
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryDividendYld_fy1
    CO FPCasino Guichard Perrachon SAFRANCEFood & Staples RetailingFood Retail7.0
    ROTH MKBritish American Tobacco Malaysia BhdMALAYSIAFood Beverage & TobaccoTobacco7.0
    2914 JPJapan Tobacco IncJAPANFood Beverage & TobaccoTobacco5.0
    DIA SMDistribuidora Internacional de Alimentacion SASPAINFood & Staples RetailingHypermarkets & Super Centers5.0
    MHPC LIMHP SAUKRAINEFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats5.0

    Cheapest Companies in Consumer Staples on FY1 PE

    6fd
    TickerCompanyCountryIndustrySubIndustryPE_fy1
    MHPC LIMHP SAUKRAINEFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats5.0
    GCHE RMCherkizovo Group PJSCRUSSIAFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats7.0
    JBSS3 BZJBS SABRAZILFood Beverage & TobaccoPackaged Foods & Meats7.0
    0KE GRKernel Holding SAUKRAINEFood Beverage & TobaccoAgricultural Products8.0
    AGRO LIRos Agro PLCRUSSIAFood Beverage & TobaccoAgricultural Products9.0


    Earnings Relises and Dividends

    4c4
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